Peer-Reviewed Publications
Estimating the Value of Investments in Militaristic Deterrence
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (2026)
with Daniel HicksSee Also: PDF Copy, Pre-Publication VersionMedia: Wilson CenterPresentations: 19th Defence and Security Economics Workshop (2024), Bordeaux Workshop on Defence Economics (2024), Royal Economic Society (2026)Demilitarization and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Support of a Peace Dividend
Journal of Comparative Economics (2023)
See Also: Pre-Publication Version, Online Appendix, Presentation Slide DeckPresentations: OU (2021), Center for Naval Analysis (2022), RAND (2022), DOD Office of the Secretary of Defense CAPE (2022)Data: Demilitarization Data SetThe Economic Cost of a Nuclear Weapon: A Synthetic Control Approach
Defence and Peace Economics (2023)See also: Pre-Publication VersionPresentations: OU (2020), Center for Naval Analysis (2022)Media: Marginal RevolutionWorking Papers
Political Economy + Economic Growth
Leaders Don't Matter, Successions Do: Evidence from Deaths in Office
See Also: Expanded Leader Deaths Dataset, Replication Files, SSRNThe Macroeconomic Cost of Sanctioning Coups
See Also: Replication Files, SSRNSee Also: Narrative Companion Paper, Replication Files, SSRNWar and the Macroeconomy: 200 Years of Evidence
See Also: Magnitude Dataset, Replication Files, SSRNMacroeconomics + Labor
See Also: Replication Files, SSRNLabor Market Policy Shocks and the Wage-Phillips Curve
See Also: Federal Shocks, State-Level Shocks, Replication Files, SSRNÂ Presentations: 10th Annual Amazon Consumer Science Summit (2023), Amazon Economist's Summit (2023), Amazon Forecasting & Macroeconomics Finance Seminar Series (2023)The Geography of the Wage-Phillips Curve
See Also: Replication Files, SSRN(coming soon) Macroeconomic Implications of National AI Strategies
See Also: National AI Strategy Dataset, Replication Files, SSRN