Before the closing match, except for Qatar who was definitely eliminated because there were no points), the opportunity to earn two tickets to the 1/8 round of the group is in the hands of the remaining 3 teams that everyone has. autonomy.

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The last round (all taking place at 22:00 on November 29)

- Netherlands vs Qatar

- Ecuador vs Senegal

Currently, the Netherlands is temporarily leading with 4 points and is only ahead of Ecuador due to having fewer cards (1 vs 3) because both have the same 4 points, own the same goal difference - defeat (3-1) and Draw in a direct confrontation (1-1). So teachers and coach Van Gaal just need not lose to Qatar in the last match to be sure to pass the group stage, just in any position.

The Netherlands holds a 99.99% chance to continue

To protect the top, the Netherlands needs to beat Qatar and expect the remaining match, Ecuador either does not beat Senegal or wins with a lower score (or scores fewer goals). At that time, Oranje was somehow better than Ecuador in terms of points or sub-indexes (goals - losses, number of goals).

Most interesting is the case where the Netherlands and Ecuador won identical results in terms of scores. At that time, both sides will continue to have to use the fai-play index (play well) to rank up. FIFA has stipulated that a yellow card is 1 point, a red card due to receiving 2 yellow cards is 3 points and a direct red card is 4 points. The team with the lower card score (playing better) will be on top. In the case of balancing the fair-play index, it is imperative to use the last "trick": the draw to choose the top team.

It is because of the balance with the Netherlands in most technical parameters that the situation of Ecuador is the same: just draw is to continue and if you want to rise to the top, you just need to reverse the cases that we have analyzed. above.

But surely Ecuador will be more "potato" than the Netherlands because the Senegal opponent is both formidable and still has the opportunity. However, the representative of Africa must win to determine his own fate. In the event of a draw, Senegal needs to wait for the Netherlands to suddenly lose to Qatar with a difference of at least 2 goals. At that time, Senegal had the same 4 points as the Netherlands, but ranked above thanks to the goal difference - defeat. But that possibility seems to exist only in theory because the Netherlands and Qatar are already a bit "fantasy" to say nothing of losing the gap.

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