Publications
Peer-Reviewed Papers
Irani Rahaghi, A., D. Odermatt, O. Anneville, O. Sepúlveda Steinerd, R. S. Reiss, M. Amadori, M. Toffolon, S. Jacquet, T. Harmel, M. Werther, F. Soulignac, E. Dambrine, D. Jezequel, C. Hatté, V. Tran-Khac, S. Rasconi, F. Rimet, D. Bouffard (2024), Combined Earth observations reveal the sequence of conditions leading to a large algal bloom in Lake Geneva, Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 229, doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01351-5
Piccolroaz, S., S. Zhu, R. Ladwig, L. Carrea, S. Oliver, A.P. Piotrowski, M. Ptak, R. Shinohara, M. Sojka, R.I. Woolway, D.Z. Zhu (2024), Lake water temperature modeling in an era of climate change: Data sources, models, and future prospects. Reviews of Geophysics, 62, e2023RG000816. doi:10.1029/2023RG000816
Piccolroaz, S. (2024), Polemics and controversies as catalyst for science communication and source of local knowledge, Limnology and Oceanography Bullettin, doi:10.1002/lob.10631
Hinegk, L., L. Adami, S. Piccolroaz, M. Amadori, M. Moretti, M. Tubino and M. Toffolon (2023), Multidecadal analysis of Lake Garda water balance, Journal of Limnology, 82, 2144, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2023.2144
Alic, A., L.E. Schäffer, M. Toffolon, V. Trovato (2023), Optimal price-based scheduling of a pumped-storage hydropower plant considering environmental constraints, Energy Systems, 614, doi:10.1007/s12667-023-00614-y.
Wood, T., S. Wherry, S. Piccolroaz, S. Girdner (2023), Future climate-induced changes in mixing and deep oxygen content of a caldera lake with hydrothermal heat and salt inputs, Journal of Great Lakes Research, 49, 3, doi:10.1016/j.jglr.2023.03.014
Toffolon, M., A. Yousefi, S. Piccolroaz (2022), Estimation of the thermally reactive layer in lakes based on surface water temperature, Water Resources Research, 58, e2021WR031755, doi:10.1029/2021WR031755.
Yousefi, A., M. Toffolon (2022), Critical factors for the use of machine learning to predict lake surface water temperature, Journal of Hydrology, 606, 127418, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127418.
Epting J., L. Råman Vinnå, S. Piccolroaz, A. Affolter, S. Scheidler (2022), Impacts of climate change on Swiss alluvial aquifers – A quantitative forecast focused on natural and artificial groundwater recharge by surface water infiltration, Journal of Hydrology X, 17(100140), doi:10.1016/j.hydroa.2022.100140
Golub M., W. Thiery, R. Marcé, D. Pierson, ... S. Piccolroaz, ... (2022), A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide: The ISIMIP Lake Sector, Geoscientific Model Development, 15(11), doi:10.5194/gmd-15-4597-2022
Siyi W., H. Yongli, Shujuan H, Fei J., Bin W., Xiaodan G., S. Piccolroaz (2022), Enhanced warming in global dryland lakes and its drivers, Remote Sensing, 14(1), doi:10.3390/rs14010086
Toffolon, M., L. Cortese, D. Bouffard (2021), SELF v1.0: A minimal physical model for predicting time of freeze-up in lakes, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 7527-7543, doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-234.
López Moreira M., G.A., M. Toffolon, F. Holker (2021), Hitting the sweet spot of complexity: Reasons why the development of new custom-tailored models is still warranted and should be encouraged in aquatic sciences, J. Limnol., 80, 2035, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2021.2035.
Fernández Castro B., D. Bouffard, C. Triy, H.N. Ulloa, S. Piccolroaz, O. Sepúlveda Steiner, H.E. Chmiel, L. Serra Moncadas, S. Lavanchy, A. Wüest (2021), Seasonality modulates wind-driven mixing pathways in a large lake, Communications Earth and Environment, 2(1), doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00288-3
Piccolroaz, S., B. Fernández-Castro, M. Toffolon, and H.A. Dijkstra (2021), A multi-site, year-round turbulence microstructure atlas for the deep perialpine Lake Garda, Sci. Data, 8, 188, doi:10.1038/s41597-021-00965-0.
Amadori, M., V. Zamparelli, G. De Carolis, G. Fornaro, M. Toffolon, M. Bresciani, C. Giardino, F. De Santi (2021), Monitoring lakes surface water velocity with SAR: A feasibility study on Lake Garda, Italy, Remote Sensing, 13(12), 2293, doi:10.3390/rs13122293.
Biemond, B., M. Amadori, M. Toffolon, S. Piccolroaz, H. van Haren, and H.A. Dijkstra (2021), Deep-mixing and deep-cooling events in Lake Garda: Simulation and Mechanisms, J. Limnol., 80(2):2010, https://doi.org/10.4081/jlimnol.2021.2010.
Amadori, A., L. Giovannini, M. Toffolon, S. Piccolroaz, D. Zardi, M. Bresciani, C. Giardino, G. Luciani, M. Kliphuis, H. van Haren, H.A. Dijkstra (2021), Multi-scale evaluation of a 3D lake model forced by an atmospheric model against standard monitoring data, Environmental Modeling and Software, 139, 105017, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105017.
Calamita, E., S. Piccolroaz, B. Majone, M. Toffolon (2021), On the role of local depth and latitude on surface warming heterogeneity in the Laurentian Great Lakes, Inland Waters, 11(2), 208-222, doi:10.1080/20442041.2021.1873698.
van Haren, H., S. Piccolroaz, M. Amadori, M. Toffolon, H.A. Dijkstra (2021), Moored observations of turbulent mixing events in deep Lake Garda, Italy, J. Limnol., 80(1):1983, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2020.1983.
Ghirardi, N., M. Amadori, G. Free, L. Giovannini, M. Toffolon, C. Giardino, M. Bresciani (2021), Using remote sensing and numerical modelling to quantify a turbidity discharge event in Lake Garda, J. Limnol., 80(1):1981, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2020.1981.
Piccolroaz S., S. Zhu, M. Ptak, M. Sojka, and X. Du (2021), Warming of lowland Polish lakes under future climate change scenarios and consequences for ice cover and mixing dynamics, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 34(100780), doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100780
Swann G.E.A., V.N. Panizzo, S. Piccolroaz, V. Pashley, M.S.A. Horstwood, S. Roberts, E. Vologina, N. Piotrowska, M. Sturm, A. Zhdanov, N. Granin, C. Norman, S. McGowan, A.W. Mackay (2021), Changing nutrient cycling in Lake Baikal, the world’s oldest lake, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(44), doi:10.1073/pnas.2013181117
Stradiotti, G., M. Righetti, T. H. Tarekegn, G. Wharton, M. Toffolon (2020), New conceptual framework for the erosion of fine sediment from a gravel matrix based on experimental analysis, Journal of Hydraulic Engineering – ASCE, 146(9), doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HY.1943-7900.0001795.
Amadori, M., G. Morini, S. Piccolroaz, M. Toffolon (2020), Involving citizens in hydrodynamic research: A combined local knowledge - numerical experiment on Lake Garda, Italy, Science of the Total Environment, 722, 137720, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137720.
Flaim G., D. Andreis, S. Piccolroaz, U. Obertegger (2020), Ice cover and extreme events determine dissolved oxygen in a placid mountain lake, Water Resources Research, 56(9), DOI:10.1029/2020WR027321
Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, E. Calamita (2020), On the use of averaged indicators to assess lakes' thermal response to changes in climatic conditions, Environ. Res. Lett., 15, 034060, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab763e.
Piccolroaz S., R.I. Woolway, C.J. Merchant (2020), Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone, Climatic Change, 160(3), doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02663-z
Carraro, L., M. Toffolon, A. Rinaldo, and E. Bertuzzo (2020), SESTET: A spatially explicit stream temperature model based on equilibrium temperature, Hydrological Processes, 34, 355-369, doi:10.1002/hyp.13591.
Amadori, M., S. Piccolroaz, H.A. Dijkstra, and M. Toffolon (2020), What makes an elongated lake ‘large’? Scales from wind-driven steady circulation on a rotating Earth, Journal of Great Lakes Research, 46(4), 703-717, doi:10.1016/j.jglr.2019.10.013.
Piccolroaz, S., M. Amadori, M. Toffolon, and H. A. Dijkstra (2019), Importance of planetary rotation for ventilation processes in deep elongated lakes: Evidence from Lake Garda (Italy), Scientific Reports, 9, 8290, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-44730-1.
Zhu S., S. Heddam, E.K. Nyarko, M. Hadzima-Nyarko, S. Piccolroaz, S. Wu (2019), Modelling daily water temperature for rivers: comparison between adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems and artificial neural networks models, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(1), doi:10.1007/s11356-018-3650-2
Amadori, M., S. Piccolroaz, L. Giovannini, D. Zardi, and M. Toffolon (2018), Wind variability and Earth’s rotation as drivers of transport in a deep, elongated subalpine lake: The case of Lake Garda, Journal of Limnology, 77(3), 505-521, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2018.1814.
Piccolroaz, S., and M. Toffolon (2018), The fate of Lake Baikal: How climate change may alter deep ventilation in the largest lake on Earth, Climatic Change, 150(3-4), 181-194, doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2275-2.
Piccolroaz, S., M. Toffolon, C. T. Robinson, and A. Siviglia (2018), Exploring and quantifying river thermal response to heatwaves, Water, 10(8), 1098, doi:10.3390/w10081098.
López Moreira, G., L. Hinegk, A. Salvadore, G. Zolezzi, F. Hölker, R.A. Monte Domecq, M. Bocci, S. Carrer, L. De Nat, J. Escribá, C. Escribá, G.A. Benítez, C.R. Ávalos, I. Peralta, M. Insaurralde, F. Mereles, J.M. Sekatcheff, A. Wehrle, J.F. Facetti-Masulli, J.F. Facetti, and M. Toffolon (2018), Eutrophication, research and management history of the shallow Ypacaraí Lake (Paraguay), Sustainability, 10(7), 2462, doi:10.3390/su10072426.
Arora, R., M. Toffolon, K. Tockner, and M. Venohr (2018), Thermal discontinuities along a lowland river: the importance of urban areas and lakes, Journal of Hydrology, 564, 811-823, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.05.066.
Piccolroaz, S., N. C. Healey, J. D. Lenters, S. G. Schladow, S. J. Hook, G. B. Sahoo, and M. Toffolon (2018), On the predictability of lake surface temperature using air temperature in a changing climate: A case study for Lake Tahoe (U.S.A.), Limnol. Oceanogr., 63(1), 243-261, doi:10.1002/lno.10626.
Santo, M.A., M. Toffolon, G. Zanier, L. Giovannini, and V. Armenio (2017), Large eddy simulation (LES) of wind-driven circulation in a peri-alpine lake: Detection of turbulent structures and implications of a complex surrounding orography, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 122, 4704–4722, doi:10.1002/2016JC012284.
Piccolroaz, S., E. Calamita, B. Majone, A. Gallice, A. Siviglia, and M. Toffolon (2016), Prediction of river water temperature: a comparison between a new family of hybrid models and statistical approaches, Hydrol. Process., 30(21), 3901-3917, doi:10.1002/hyp.10913.
Piccolroaz S. (2016), Prediction of lake surface temperature using the air2water model: guidelines, challenges, and future perspectives, Advances in Oceanography and Limnology, 7:36-50, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.4081/aiol.2016.5791
la Cecilia, D., M. Toffolon, C. E. Woodcock, and S. Fagherazzi (2016), Interactions between river stage and wetland vegetation detected with a Seasonality Index derived from LANDSAT images in the Apalachicola delta, Florida, Adv. Water Resour., 89, 10-23, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2015.12.019.
Toffolon, M., and S. Piccolroaz (2015), A hybrid model for river water temperature as a function of air temperature and discharge, Environ. Res. Lett., 10(11), 114011, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114011.
Piccolroaz, S., M. Toffolon, and B. Majone (2015), The role of stratification on lakes’ thermal response: The case of Lake Superior, Water Resour. Res, 51, 7878–7894, doi:10.1002/2014WR016555.
Toffolon, M., A. Wüest, and T. Sommer (2015), Minimal model for double diffusion and its application to Kivu, Nyos and Powell Lake, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 120, 6202–6224, doi:10.1002/2015JC010970.
Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, B. Majone, A.-M. Soja, F. Peeters, M. Schmid, and A. Wüest (2014), Prediction of surface temperature in lakes with different morphology using air temperature, Limnol. Oceanogr., 59(6), 2182-2202, doi:10.4319/lo.2014.59.6.2185.
Piccolroaz, S., and M. Toffolon (2013), Deep water renewal in Lake Baikal: A model for long-term analyses, J. Geophys. Res., 118, 6717–6733, doi:10.1002/2013JC009029.
Piccolroaz, S., M. Toffolon, and B. Majone (2013), A simple lumped model to convert air temperature into surface water temperature in lakes, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 3323-3338, doi:10.5194/hess-17-3323-2013.
Toffolon, M. (2013), Ekman circulation and downwelling in narrow lakes, Adv. Water Resour., 53, 76-86, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2012.10.003.
Toffolon, M., M. Ragazzi, M. Righetti, C. R. Teodoru, M. Tubino, C. Defrancesco, and S. Pozzi (2013), Effects of artificial hypolimnetic oxygenation in a shallow lake. Part 1: Phenomenological description and management, Journal of Environmental Management, 114, 520–529, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.10.062.
Toffolon, M., and M. Serafini (2013), Effects of artificial hypolimnetic oxygenation in a shallow lake. Part 2: Numerical modelling, Journal of Environmental Management, 114, 530–539, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.10.063.
Righetti, M., M. Toffolon, C. Lucarelli, and M. Serafini (2011), Sediments as tracers for transport and deposition processes in peri-alpine lakes: a case study, Journal of Hydrology, 411, 1-11, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.08.018.
Zolezzi, G., A. Siviglia, M. Toffolon, and B. Maiolini (2011), Thermopeaking in Alpine streams: event characterization and time scales, Ecohydrol., 4, 564–576, doi: 10.1002/eco.132.
Toffolon, M., A. Siviglia, and G. Zolezzi (2010), Thermal wave dynamics in rivers affected by hydropeaking, Water Resour. Res., 46, W08536, doi:10.1029/2009WR008234.
Toffolon, M., and G. Rizzi (2009), Effects of spatial wind inhomogeneity and turbulence anisotropy on circulation in an elongated basin: a simplified analytical solution, Adv. Water Resour., 32, 1554-1566, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2009.08.001.
Other Publications
Toffolon, M. (2022), Currents in Well-Mixed Layers. In: Mehner, Thomas and Tockner, Klement, Encyclopedia of Inland Waters 2nd edition. vol. 1, pp. 490-509. Oxford: Elsevier. doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-819166-8.00012-8.
Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, and H. Dijkstra (2017), A plunge into the depths of Italy’s Lake Garda, Eos, 98, doi:10.1029/2017EO074499. Published on 30 May 2017.
Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, and D. Bouffard (2014), Crossing the Boundaries of Physical Limnology, Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 95(44), 403, doi:10.1002/2014EO440009.
Toffolon, M., and S. Piccolroaz (Eds.), Proceedings of the 17th International Workshop on Physical Processes in Natural Waters: PPNW2014, Trento, Italy, 1-4 July 2014, Trento: Università degli Studi di Trento, 2014, pp. 112, ISBN: 978-88-8443-550-7. Available also in Open Access at http://eprints.biblio.unitn.it/4293/ (ISBN: 978-88-8443-551-4).