Publications
Gronewold, A., Bednar, J., Cort, M. et al. Can continental transboundary compacts hold water?. Nat Commun 15, 7087 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51456-w.
Shin, S., Gronewold, A. D., Fry, L. M., Dugger, A., & Kessler, J. (2024). Evaluating surface and subsurface fluxes in hydrological models to advance basin-scale operational water supply forecasting. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 1–18. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.umich.edu/10.1080/02626667.2024.2378100.
Timothy J. Calappi, Jonathan M. Waddell, Matthew A. McClerren, Andrew D. Gronewold, Jesse E. McNinch, James P. Selegean. Evaluation of repeat bathymetric surveys on water surface elevations on the Saint Clair River. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2024. 102403, ISSN 0380-1330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2024.102403.
Zuo, C., Wang, R., Hong, Y., Zhou, Y., He, Y., Gronewold, A. D. (2024) “The influence of road network topology on street flooding in New York City—a social media data approach.” Journal of Hydrology, vol. 638, p. 131471, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131471
Sorensen, T., Espey, E., Kelley, J.G.W. Kessler, J., Gronewold, A. D. A database of in situ water temperatures for large inland lakes across the coterminous United States. Sci Data 11, 282 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-03103-8
Polidori, J. A., Paulson, H. L., Gronewold, A. D. (2024) Assessing trends in urban municipal water use across the Great Lakes Basin. Journal of Great Lakes Research, vol. 50, no. 1, p. 102243, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2023.102243
Shriberg, M., Allan, J. W., Dick, G. J., Gronewold, A., Hughes, S., Norton, D., Overpeck, J. T., Porter, D., Read, J., Salin, O., Steiner, A. L., Whyte, K. (2023). Leadership for the next generation of Great Lakes Stewardship. Journal of Great Lakes Research, vol. 49, no. 5, pp. 1211–1213, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2023.06.011
Mei, Y., Mai, J., Xuan Do, H., Gronewold, A., Reeves, H., Eberts, S., Niswonger, R., Regan, R. S., Hunt, R. J. (2023). Can hydrological models benefit from using global soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and runoff products as calibration targets? Water Resources Research, vol. 59, no. 2, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022wr032064
Benjamin, S. G., Smirnova, T. G., James, E. P., Anderson, E. J., Fujisaki-Manome, A., Kelley, J. G. W., Mann, G. E., Gronewold, A. D., Chu, P., Kelley, S. G. T. (2022). Inland Lake Temperature Initialization via coupled cycling with atmospheric data assimilation. Geoscientific Model Development, vol. 15, no. 17, pp. 6659–6676, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6659-2022
Yao, D., Huang, Y., Xue, L., Fu, Y., Gronewold, A. D., Fox, J. L. (2022). Seismicity around Southern Lake Erie during 2013–2020 in Relation to Lake Water Level. Seismological Research Letters; 93 (4): 2268–2280. doi: 10.1785/0220210343
Hong, Y., Hong Do, X., Kessler, J., Fry, L., Read, L., Arezoo Rafieei Nasab, Gronewold, A.D., Mason, L., Anderson, E.J., (2022).
Evaluation of gridded precipitation datasets over international basins and large lakes. Journal of Hydrology, 607 doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127507.
Phillips, D., Jamwal, P., Lindquist, M., Gronewold, A..D., (2022). Assessing catchment-scale performance of in-stream Provisional Green Infrastructure interventions for Dry Weather Flows, Landscape and Urban Planning; 226: 104448. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2022.104448
Fry L.M., Gronewold A.D., Seglenieks F., Minallah S., Apps D. and Ferguson J. (2022) Navigating Great Lakes Hydroclimate Data. Front. Water 4:803869. doi: 10.3389/frwa.2022.803869
VanDeWeghe, A., V. Lin, J. Jayaram, and A. D. Gronewold. (2022). Changes in Large Lake Water Level Dynamics in Response to Climate Change. Frontiers in Water. Vol 4, doi: 10.3389/frwa.2022.805143
Anderson, E.J., Stow, C.A., Gronewold, A.D. et al. (2021). Seasonal overturn and stratification changes drive deep-water warming in one of Earth’s largest lakes. Nature Communications 12, 1688 . doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-21971-1
Gronewold, A. D., Do, H. X., Mei, Y., & Stow, C. A. (2021). A tug-of-war within the hydrologic cycle of a continental freshwater basin. Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2020GL090374
Do, H. X., Mei, Y., & Gronewold, A. D. (2020). To what extent are changes in flood magnitude related to changes in precipitation extremes? Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL088684. doi: 10.1029/2020GL088684
Do, H. X., Smith J. P., Fry, L. M., Gronewold, A. D. (2020). Seventy-year long record of monthly water balance estimates for Earth's largest lake system. Scientific Data 7, 276. doi: 10.1038/s41597-020-00613-z
Fujisaki-Manome, A., Anderson, E. J., Kessler, J., Chu, P. Y., Wang, J., & Gronewold, A. D. (2020). Simulating impacts of precipitation on ice cover and surface water temperature across large lakes. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 125(5). doi: 10.1029/2019JC015950
Apps, D., L. Fry, A.D. Gronewold (2020). Operational seasonal water supply and water level forecasting for the Laurentian Great Lakes.Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 146(9). doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001214
Labuhn, K., A.D. Gronewold, T. Calappi, A. MacNeil, C. Brown, E. Anderson (2020). Towards an operational flow forecasting system for the Upper Niagara River. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 146(9), doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)HY.1943-7900.0001781
Gronewold, A.D., J.P. Smith, L. Read, J. L. Crooks (2020). Reconciling the water balance of large lake systems. Advances in Water Resources. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2020.103505
Quinn, F. H., Clites, A. H., & Gronewold, A. D. (2020). Evaluating estimates of channel flow in a continental-scale lake-dominated basin. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 146(4). doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HY.1943-7900.0001685 [Link to erratum]
Gronewold, A. D., Anderson, E. J., & Smith, J. P. (2019). Evaluating operational hydrodynamic models for real-time simulation of evaporation from large lakes. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(6), 3263–3269. doi:10.1029/2019GL082289
Mason, L. A., Gronewold, A. D., Laitta, M., Gochis, D. J., Sampson, K., Read, L. K., … Major, M. (2019). New transboundary hydrographic dataset for advancing regional hydrological modeling and water resources management. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 145(6), 06019004. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001073
Ji, X., Gronewold, A. D., Daher, H., & Rood, R. B. (2019). Modeling seasonal onset of coastal ice. Climatic Change, 154(1), 125–141. doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02400-1
Gronewold, A. D., & Rood, R. B. (2019). Recent water level changes across Earth's largest lake system and implications for future variability. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 45(1), 1–3. doi: 10.1016/j.jglr.2018.10.012
Charusombat, U., Fujisaki-Manome, A., Gronewold, A. D., Lofgren, B. M., Anderson, E. J., … Cutrell, G. (2018). Evaluating and improving modeled turbulent heat fluxes across the North American Great Lakes. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(10), 5559–5578. doi:10.5194/hess-22-5559-2018
Gronewold, A. D., Fortin, V., Caldwell, R., & Noel, J. (2018). Resolving hydrometeorological data discontinuities along an international border. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(5), 899–910. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0060.1
Bolinger, R. A., Gronewold, A. D., Kompoltowicz, K., & Fry, L. M. (2017). Application of the NMME in the development of a new regional seasonal climate forecast tool. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(3), 555–564. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00107.1
Gaborit, E., Fortin, V., Xu, X., Seglenieks, F., Tolson, B. A., Fry, L. M., … Gronewold, A. D. (2017). A hydrological prediction system based on the SVS Land-Surface Scheme: Implementation and evaluation of the GEM-Hydro platform on the watershed of Lake Ontario. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21(9), 4825–4839. doi: 10.5194/hess-21-4825-2017
Fujisaki-Manome, A., Fitzpatrick, L., Gronewold, A. D., Anderson, E. J., Lofgren, B. M., Spence, C., … Xiao, C. (2017). Turbulent heat fluxes during an extreme lake-effect snow event. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(2), 3145–3163. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-17-0062.1
Gronewold, A. D., Sobsey, M. D., & McMahon, L. (2017). The compartment bag test (CBT) for enumerating fecal indicator bacteria: basis for design and interpretation of results. Science of the Total Environment, 587, 102–107. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.055
Gaborit, E., Fortin, V., Tolson, B. A., Fry, L. M., Hunter, T. S., & Gronewold, A. D. (2017). Great Lakes Runoff Inter-comparison Project, Phase 2: lake Ontario (GRIP-O). Journal of Great Lakes Research, 43(2), 217–227. doi: 10.1016/j.jglr.2016.10.004
Smith, J. P., Hunter, T. S., Clites, A. H., Stow, C. A., Slawecki, T., Muhr, G. C., & Gronewold, A. D. (2016). An expandable web-based platform for visually analyzing basin-scale hydro-climate time series data. Environmental Modelling & Software, 78, 97–105. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.12.005
Gronewold, A. D., Bruxer, J., Durnford, D., Smith, J. P., Clites, A. H., Seglenieks, F., … Fortin, V. (2016). Hydrological drivers of record‐setting water level rise on Earth's largest lake system. Water Resources Research, 52(5), 4026–4042. doi: 10.1002/2015WR018209
Mason, L. A., Riseng, C. M., Gronewold, A. D., Rutherford, E. S., Wang, J., Clites, A. H., … McIntyre, P. B. (2016). Fine-scale spatial variation in ice cover and surface temperature trends across the surface of the Laurentian Great Lakes. Climatic Change, 138(1–2), 71–83. doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1721-2
Bertani, I., Obenour, D. R., Steger, C. E., Stow, C. A., Gronewold, A. D., & Scavia, D. (2016).Probabilistically assessing the role of nutrient loading in harmful algal bloom formation in western Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 42(6), 1184–1192. doi: 10.1016/j.jglr.2016.04.002
Hunter, T. S., Clites, A. H., Campbell, K. B., & Gronewold, A. D. (2015). Development and application of a North American Great Lakes hydrometeorological database—Part I: Precipitation, evaporation, runoff, and air temperature. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 41(1), 65–77. (corrigendum) doi: 10.1016/j.jglr.2014.12.006
Gronewold, A. D., Anderson, E. J., Lofgren, B. M., Blanken, P. D., Wang, J., Smith, J. P., … Bratton, J. F. (2015). Impacts of extreme 2013–2014 winter conditions on Lake Michigan's fall heat content, surface temperature, and evaporation. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(9), 3364–3370. doi: 10.1002/2015GL063799
Gronewold, A. D., Clites, A. H., Bruxer, J., Kompoltowicz, K., Smith, J. P., Hunter, T. S., & Wong, C. (2015). Water levels surge on Great Lakes. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 96(6), 14–17. doi: 10.1029/2015EO026023
Obenour, D. R., Gronewold, A. D., Stow, C. A., & Scavia, D. (2014). Using a Bayesian hierarchical model with a gamma error distribution to improve Lake Erie cyanobacteria bloom forecasts. Water Resources Research, 50(10), 7847–7860. doi: 10.1002/2014WR015616
Clites, A. H., Wang, J., Campbell, K. B., Gronewold, A. D., Assel, R. A., Bai, X., & Leshkevich, G. A. (2014). Cold water and high ice cover on Great Lakes in spring 2014, Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 95(34), 305–306. doi: 10.1002/2014EO340001
Lofgren, B. M., & Gronewold, A. D. (2014). Climate change in the midwest: a synthesis report for the National Climate Assessment. Water Resources. In J. A. Winkler, J. A. Andresen, J. L. Hatfield, D. Bidwell, & D. Brown (Eds.), Washington, DC: Island Press. ISBN: 13: 978-1-61091-429-1
Fry, L. M., Gronewold, A. D., Fortin, V., Holtschlag, D., Buan, S., Clites, A. H., … Restrepo, P. (2014). The Great Lakes runoff intercomparison project phase 1: Lake Michigan (GRIP-M). Journal of Hydrology, 519(Part D), 3448–3465. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.07.021
Kult, J., Fry, L. M., Gronewold, A. D., & Choi, W. (2014). Regionalization of hydrologic response in the Great Lakes basin: Considerations of temporal scales of analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 519(Part B), 2224–2237. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.083
Clites, A. H., Smith, J. P., Hunter, T. S., & Gronewold, A. D. (2014). Visualizing relationships between hydrology, climate, and water level fluctuations on Earth's largest system of lakes. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 40(3), 807–811. doi:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.05.014
Wu, J., Gronewold, A. D., Rodriguez, R. A., Stewart, J., & Sobsey, M. D. (2014). Integrating quantitative PCR and Bayesian statistics in quantifying human adenoviruses in small volumes of source water. Science of the Total Environment, 470, 255–262. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.09.026
Gronewold, A. D., & Stow, C. A. (2014). Water loss from the Great Lakes. Science, 343(6175), 1084–1085. doi: 10.1126/science.1249978
Gronewold, A. D., & Stow, C. A. (2014). Unprecedented seasonal water level dynamics on one of the Earth's largest lakes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(1), 15–17. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00194.1
Lofgren, B. M., Gronewold, A. D., Acciaioli, A., Cherry, J., Steiner, A. L., & Watkins, D. W. (2013). Methodological approaches to projecting the hydrologic impacts of climate change. Earth Interactions, 17(22), 1–19. doi: 10.1175/2013EI000532.1
Gronewold, A. D., Stow, C. A., Vijayavel, K., Moynihan, M. A., & Kashian, D. R. (2013). Differentiating Enterococcus concentration spatial, temporal, and analytical variability in recreational waters. Water Research, 47(7), 2141–2152. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2012.12.030
Gronewold, A. D., Stow, C. A., Crooks, J. L., & Hunter, T. S. (2013). Quantifying parameter uncertainty and assessing the skill of exponential dispersion rainfall simulation models. International Journal of Climatology, 33(3), 746–757. doi: 10.1002/joc.3469
Gronewold, A. D., Fortin, V., Lofgren, B. M., Clites, A. H., Stow, C. A., & Quinn, F. H. (2013). Coasts, water levels, and climate change: A Great Lakes perspective. Climatic Change, 120(4), 697–711. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0840-2
Fry, L. M., Hunter, T. S., Phanikumar, M. S., Fortin, V., & Gronewold, A. D. (2013). Identifying streamgage networks for maximizing the effectiveness of regional water balance modeling. Water Resources Research, 49(5), 2689–2700. doi: 0.1002/wrcr.20233
Gronewold, A. D., Clites, A. H., Smith, J. P., & Hunter, T. S. (2013). A dynamic graphical interface for visualizing projected, measured, and reconstructed surface water elevations on earth's largest lakes. Environmental Modelling & Software, 49, 34–39. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.07.003
Lofgren, B. M., & Gronewold, A. D. (2013). Reconciling alternative approaches to projecting hydrologic impacts of climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(10), ES133–ES135. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00037.1
Holman, K. D., Gronewold, A. D., Notaro, M., & Zarrin, A. (2012). Improving historical precipitation estimates over the Lake Superior basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 39(3), L03405. doi:10.1029/2011GL050468
Gronewold, A. D., & Fortin, V. (2012). Advancing Great Lakes hydrological science through targeted binational collaborative research. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93(12), 1921–1925. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00006.1
Gronewold, A. D., Clites, A. H., Hunter, T. S., & Stow, C. A. (2011). An appraisal of the Great Lakes advanced hydrologic prediction system. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 37(3), 577–583. doi: 10.1016/j.jglr.2011.06.010
Gronewold, A. D., Myers, L., Swall, J. L., & Noble, R. T. (2010). Addressing uncertainty in fecal indicator bacteria dark inactivation rates. Water Research, 45(2), 652–664. doi: 1016/j.watres.2010.08.029
Gronewold, A. D., Qian, S. S., Wolpert, R. L., & Reckhow, K. H. (2009). Calibrating and validating bacterial water quality models: a Bayesian approach. Water Research, 42(13), 2688–2698. doi:10.1016/j.watres.2009.02.034
Gronewold, A. D., & Borsuk, M. E. (2009). A software tool for translating deterministic model results into probabilistic assessments of water quality standard compliance. Environmental Modelling & Software, 24(10), 1257–1262 doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2009.04.004
Gronewold, A.D., Borsuk, M.E., Wolpert, R.L., Reckhow, K.H. (2008) An assessment of fecal indicator bacteria-based water quality standards. Environ Sci Technol. 2008 Jul 1;42(13):4676-4682. doi: 10.1021/es703144k PMID: 18677990.
Gronewold, A. D., and R. L. Wolpert. (2008). Modeling the relationship between most probable number (MPN) and colony-forming unit (CFU) estimates of fecal coliform concentration. Water Research 42(13):3327–3334 doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2008.04.011