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I am proud to belong to the school of my PhD supervisor Prof. Shlomo Havlin who was awarded the Nicholson Medal (2006) and 2010 Julius Edgar Lilienfeld Prize of the American Physical Society for achivements in science and teaching. His list of publications encounters more than 770 papers in peer-reviewed journals (more than 20 in "Nature"), with collaborators in 30 countries. His teaching made me a researcher.

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ResearcherID / Publons page

ORCID ID 0000-0003-3759-9013

Scopus ID 19337595200

 I am a Chartered Mathematician and Fellow of the Insitute of Mathematics and its Applications (CMath FIMA). 

Book

The future of atmospheric oxygen, Springer Briefs in Environmental Sciences, ISBN 978-3-030-43664-3 (2020)

Published papers

1. Estimation of the Fatigue Life of a Fiber Bragg Grating Overhead Line Sag Sensor, IEEE I2MTC 2024

2. Machine learning explanations by design: a case study explaining the predicted degradation of a roto-dynamic pump. NDT 2023 - 60th Annual British Conference on NDT, Northampton, UK (2023)

3. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on levels of deep-ocean acoustic noise, Nature Scientific Reports 13, 4631 (2023).

4. Network analysis: Connected climate tipping elements, Nature Climate Change 13, 15–16 (2023)

5. Long-Term Wind and Solar Energy Generation Forecasts, and Optimisation of Power Purchase Agreements, Energy Reports 9, 292-302 (2023)

6. Standardisation of Artificial Intelligence: Making a “New World” Brave, with Support of Human Requirements in a Machine Intelligence Environment, In "E-learning for sustainability and education beyond pandemic", Eds. J. Uhomoibhi, P. Linecar, M. Ross, and G. Staples, International Conference INSPIRE XXVII, British Computer Society, ISBN 978-1-85923-289-7, pp 237-252 (2022)

7. Full-cycle failure analysis using conventional time series and machine learning techniques, Journal of Failure Analysis and Prevention 22, 1121–1134 (2022) 

8. Scaling the 14C-excursion signal in multiple tree-ring series with Dynamic Time Warping, Radiocarbon, 2022, DOI:10.1017/RDC.2022.25 

9. Machine Learning for Text Classification in Building Management Systems, Journal of Civil Engineering and Management  28 (5), 408-421 (2022)

10. Power spectrum scaling as a measure of critical slowing down and precursor to tipping points in dynamical systems, Environmental Research Letters 17, 035004 (2022)

11. Early Warning Signals of Failures in Building Management Systems, International Journal of Metrology and Quality Engineering 12, 11 (2021).

12. Data-driven resilience assessment for transport infrastructure exposed to multiple hazards by integrating multiscale terrestrial and airborne monitoring systems, Proceedings of IABMAS: 10th International conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, 2021.  

13. Detectability of an AMOC decline in current and projected climate changes, Geophys. Res. Lett. 47, e089974 (2020).

14. Machine learning for BMS analysis and optimisation, Engineering Research Express 2, 045003 (2020).

15. Tipping point analysis of electrical resistance data with early warning signals of failure for predictive maintenance, Journal of Electronic Testing 36, 569-576 (2020); arXiv:1904.04636

16. Modelling Demand Response Interventions with Long-Short-Term-Memory Networks, Energy Efficiency 13, 1263-1280, DOI: 10.1007/s12053-020-09879-z (2020).  

17. Some trends and features in deep-ocean noise determined from the CTBTO hydroacoustc stations, The Journal of the Acoustical Society of America 146, 2848 (2019); https://doi.org/10.1121/1.5136879

18. Analysis of Primary Care Computerised Medical Records with Deep Learning, Stud Health Technol Inform. 258, 249-250 (2019).

19. Analysis of Primary Care Computerised Medical Records Data with Deep Autoencoders, Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics 5:42 (2019), doi: 10.3389/fams.2019.00042

20. Generalised early warning signals in multivariate and gridded data, Chaos 29, 073105 (2019).

21. What Drives Symbiotic Calcium Signalling In Legumes? Insights And Challenges Of Imaging, International Journal of Molecular Science 20, 2245 (2019), doi:10.3390/ijms20092245.

22. A statistical method for the evaluation of long term trends in underwater noise measurements, The Journal of the Acoustical Society of America 145, 228 (2019).

23. Model-based algorithms for phenotyping from 3D imaging of dense wheat crops, Proceedings of the IEEE International Workshop on Metrology for Agriculture and Forestry, MetroAgriFor, 95-99 (2019).

24. Automated differentiation of incident and prevalent cases in primary care computerised medical records, Studies in Health Technology and Informatics, 247,151-155 (2018).

25. A novel scaling indicator of early warning signals helps anticipate tropical cyclones, Europhysics Letters 121, 10002 (2018)

26. Tipping point analysis of ocean acoustic noise, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 25, 89-97 (2018).

27. The human physiological impact of global deoxygenation, Journal of Physiological Sciences 67, 97-106 (2017).

28. Estimation of background gas concentration from differential absorption lidar measurements, Atmospheric Measurement Techniques 9, 4879-4890 (2016) .

29. Optimisation of costs and carbon savings in relation to the economic dispatch problem as associated with power system operation, Electric Power Systems Research 140, 173-183 (2016).

30. Tipping point analysis of cracking in reinforced concrete, Smart Materials and Structures, 25 (1), 015027 (2016).

31. Detecting and anticipating climate tipping points, in "Extreme events: observations, modelling, and economics" (Eds. M.Chavez, M.Ghil, and J.Urrutia-Fucugauchi), AGU monograph 214, Wiley-Blackwell, pp. 51-62 (2016)

32. Application of ensemble Kalman filter in forecasting the electricity grid carbon factor, International Journal of Electrical Energy, 3 (4) 209-212 (2015)

33. Carbon savings in the UK Demand Side Response programmes, Applied Energy 159, 478-459 (2015)

34. The UK electricity Demand Side Response: carbon savings analysis, Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market, Lisbon, 19-22 May 2015.

35. Tipping point analysis of atmospheric oxygen concentration, Chaos 25, 036403 (2015). The pdf-preprint is available in ResearchGate.

36. Optimisation of carbon emissions in smart grids, IEEEXplore, Proceedings of Power Engineering Conference (UPEC), 4p (2014).

37. Early warning signals of ecological transitions: methods for spatial patterns, PLoS ONE 9 (3): e92097 (2014), doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0092097

38. Tipping point analysis of the NPL footbridge, Journal of Civil Structural Health Monitoring, 4, 91-98 (2014), doi: DOI 10.1007/s13349-013-0066-z

39. Modelling carbon emissions in electric systems, Energy Conversion and Management, 80, 573-581 (2014), doi: 10.1016/j.enconman.2014.01.045

40. Spontaneous, abrupt climate change due to an atmospheric blocking/sea-ice/ocean feedback in an unforced climate model simulation, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110 (49), 19713–19718 (2013), doi: 10.1073/pnas.1304912110

41. No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns, Nature 500, 327-330 (2013), doi: 10.1038/nature12310

42. Forecasting the underlying potential governing the time series of a dynamical system, Physica A, 392 (18), 3891-3902 (2013), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2013.04.036

43. Dansgaard-Oeschger events: bifurcation points in the climate system, Climate of the Past , 9, 323-333 (2013), doi:10.5194/cp-9-323-2013

44. A recent tipping point in the Arctic sea-ice cover: abrupt and persistent increase in the seasonal cycle since 2007, The Cryosphere 7, 275-286 (2013), doi:10.5194/tc-7-275-2013

45. Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data, PLoS ONE 7(7): e41010 (2012), doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0041010

46. Climate bifurcation during the last deglaciation? Climate of the Past 8, 1127–1139 (2012), DOI:10.5194/cp-8-1127-2012

47. Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 370, 1185-1204 (2012), DOI:10.1098/rsta.2011.0304

48. An independent test of methods of detecting system states and bifurcations in time-series data, Physica A, 391 (3), 485-496 (2012), DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2011.08.025

49. Changing climate states and stability: from Pliocene to present, Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12), 2437-2453 (2011), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0980-2

50. Seasonality effects on nonlinear properties of hydrometeorological records, In Extremis: Disruptive Events and Trends in Climate and Hydrology (Eds. J. Kropp & H. J. Schellnhuber), Springer (2011).

51. Resonance induced by repulsive interactions in a model of globally coupled bistable systems, Phys. Rev. E 81, 041103 (2010)

52. Potential analysis reveals changing number of climate states during the last 60 kyr, Climate of the Past 6, 77-82 (2010)

53. Using GENIE to study a tipping point in the climate system, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 367, 871 (2009)

54. A wavelet coefficient score for the comparison of two-dimensional climatic data fields, Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society 134, 941 (2008)

55. Long-term memory in earthquakes and the distribution of interoccurrence times, Europhysics Letters, 81, 69001 (2008), doi:10.1209/0295-5075/81/69001

56. Effects of atmospheric dynamics and ocean resolution on bi-stability of the thermohaline circulation examined using the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling framework, Climate Dynamics 29 (6), 591 (2007)

57. Temporal scaling comparison of real hydrological data and model runoff records, Journal of Hydrology 336 (1-2), 186-198 (2007)

58. A modified method for detecting incipient bifurcations in a dynamical system, Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L03712 (2007)

59. Memory in the occurrence of earthquakes, Phys. Rev. Lett. 95, 208501 (2005)

60. Recurrence intervals between earthquakes strongly depend on history, Physica A 348, 591 (2005)

61. A stochastic model of river discharge fluctuations, Physica A 330, 283 (2003)

62. Multifractality of river runoff and precipitation: comparison of fluctuation analysis and wavelet methods, Physica A 330, 240 (2003)

63. Nonlinear volatility of river flux fluctuations, Phys. Rev. E 67, 042101 (2003)

64. Approximating finite-dimensional reductions of functionals of the Ginzburg-Landau type. Proceedings of International conference ”Differential and integral equations”. Chelyabinsk, June 22-26, 1999, p.73 (in Russian).

65. On periodic solutions of the Ginzburg-Landau equation. International conference ”Pontryagin readings - X” ”Modern methods in the theory of boundary problems”. Voronezh, 1999, p.156 (in Russian).

66. Approximating final-dimensional reductions and visualization of functionals of the Ginzburg-Landau type. Collection of papers of postgraduate students of Voronezh State University. Voronezh, 1999, p.79-84 (in Russian).

67. On critical orbits of the Ginzburg-Landau functional on the space of periodic functions. Proceedings of conference ”Mathematical system modelling. Methods and applications”. October 12-16, 1998. Voronezh, 1998, p.25-26 (in Russian).

68. Perturbation of symmetry in the Ginzburg-Landau equation and continuum of periodic solutions. Proceedings of Mathematical Department of Voronezh State University, 1998, N.2, p.9-13 (in Russian).

69. Bifurcation of periodic solutions of the Ginzburg-Landau equation. Proceedings of International conference of students and young scientists in fundamental sciences ”Lomonosov”. Moscow State University, 1998, Issue 2, p.77-79 (in Russian).

70. About TeX. Students tutorial. Voronezh State University, 1997, p.1-16 (in Russian).

71. Investigation of critical points of some functionals of the Ginzburg-Landau type. International Conference ”Stochastic and Global Analysis”, 13-19.01.1997. Voronezh University Press, 1996, P.44-45 (in Russian).

72. On bifurcations of extremals of the Ginzburg-Landau functional. Proceedings of mathematical department of Voronezh State University, 1996, N.1, p.56-61 (in Russian).

73. Finite-dimensional reductions for superfluid phase of helium. Proceedings of Voronezh spring mathematical school ”Pontryagin readings - VII”, April 17-23, 1996. Voronezh State University, 1996, p.116 (in Russian).

74. Spin dynamics of B-phase of He-3. Proceedings of XXVI Voronezh winter mathematical school. January 28 - February 3, 1994. Voronezh State University, 1994, p.23 (in Russian).

Submitted papers

• Assuring Explainability of Machine Learning Predictions for Non-Expert Users

Published reports

• Report "Assessment of Weather Logistics Ltd's precipitation forecasts", 2022

• Report "Review of the Hydrostar economic model", 2022

• Report "Assessment of the Emtec methodology for estimation of vehicle’s carbon emissions based on mass air flow rate obtained using machine learning from on-board diagnostics", NPL report 1140, 2022

• Report of CEN\CENELEC JTC21 AHG3 "Green and Sustainable AI", 2021

• Report "Assessment of the Emtec methodology for carbon emissions of diesel vehicles in comparison with a Millbrook test performed on 23.01.2020", NPL report 012, 2020

• Report on DSR project of a power aggregator, 2015

• Report on DSR project of a telecommunication company, 2015

• Report on Nesta finalist team “Community substation” Kudos(TM), 2014

• Report on Nesta finalist team “Demand Shaper”, 2014

• Report on Nesta finalist team “Power Vault”, 2014

• Report on Nesta finalist team “thEnergy”, 2014

• Report on Nesta finalist team “UPSide”, 2014

• Report on CarbonGenie carbon footprint methodology, 2014

• Report of the Met Eireann, "Ireland's climate: the road ahead", 2013

• Report of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers "Climate Change: Adapting to the Inevitable", 2008

Students

• Eng Tseng Lau (2013-2015, Brunel University, viva with minor corrections 16.02.2016), PhD thesis "Quantification of Carbon Emissions and Savings in Smart Grids".

• Vicky Papaioannou (2015-2019, Reading University, viva with minor corrections 22.05.2019), PhD thesis "Uncertainty in GB electricity grid carbon intensity and its implications for carbon accounting and reporting”.

• Joshua Prettyman (2015-2019, Imperial College-Reading CDT, viva with major corrections 09.09.2019, after revision and Covid lockdown delays PhD awarded in February 2021), thesis "Tipping points and early warning signals with applications to geophysical data”.

• Delphine Lobelle (2015-2019, Southampton University, viva with minor corrections 17.09.2019), PhD thesis "Past, present, and future variations of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation".

• Joaquin Mesa (2018-2020, Brunel University, viva with minor corrections 02.12.2020), PhD thesis "Artifical Intelligence for Optimisation and Demand Side Response in Built Environment”.

• Berkem Billuroglu (one-year BSc placement, July 2019 - August 2020, Surrey University)

• Mir Burhan (2020- , Strathclyde University)

• Himanshi Singh (2022- , Strathclyde University)

• Omnia Amin (2021- , Strathclyde University) 

External examiner

• Yacine Koucha (Brunel University, viva with minor corrections 07.12.2021)

Reviewer for magazines

• Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

• Books of American Geophysical Union

• Climate Dynamics

• Climate of the Past

• Complex and Intelligent Systems

• Computers and Geosciences

• Computer Physics Communications

• MDPI Data

• Earth and Planetary Science Letters

• Earth System Dynamics

• Ecology Letters

• Energy sources, part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy

• Environmental Research Letters

• Environmental Science and Technology

• The European Physical Journal Special Topics

• Europhysical Letters

• F1000Research

• Frontiers in Earth Science

• Frontiers in Physics

• Frontiers in Physiology

• Geophysical Journal International

• Geophysical Research Letters

• Geosciences

• Global Biogeochemical Cycles

• Global Change Biology

• Helyion

• IEEE Transactions on Reliability

• International Journal of Climatology

• ISA Transactions

• Journal of Applied Remote Sensing

• Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology

• Journal of Hydrology

• Journal of Meteorological Research 

• Journal of the Royal Society Interface

• Mathematical Geosciences

• Nature

• Nature Geoscience

• Nature Climate Change

• Nature Communications

• New Journal of Physics

• Nonlinear Dynamics

• Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics

• Philosophical Transactions A of the Royal Society

• Physica A

• Physica D

• Physical Review A

• Physical Review E

• Physical Review Letters

• Physical Review Research

• Physical Review X

• Physics Letters A

• PLoS ONE

• Quantitative Plant Biology

• Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

• Reliability Engineering and System Safety

• River Research and Applications

• Scientific Programming

• SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems

• Shock and Vibration

• Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment

• Sustainable Cities and Society

• Water Resources Management

• Water Resources Research

I am APS Outstanding Referee (USA) and Trusted Reviewer of the Institute of Physics (UK). 

My recent CV is available here.