"Tracking the Economy with the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes"

Published in Indiana Business Review, 97(3) 2022.

Abstract: I reintroduce a “big data” index of U.S. economic activity that can be used to track business and inflation cycles in real time and estimate monthly real gross domestic product growth, and comment about how it informs the current debate about the stage of the business cycle.

The published article is available here.