Malaria

Below, I list all my publications relating to malaria. This research is summarized (or soon will be) in separate pages describing clusters of papers focusing on several different themes, including: history and development of the Ross Macdonald model; malaria metrics and metrology; epidemiology; vector ecology and vector control; antimalarial drugs; the evolution of antimalarial drug resistance; and strategic planning for malaria eradication.

Themes:

History
Dynamics
Metrics
Epidemiology
Ecology
Control
Drugs
Resistance
Eradication

Publications by Year:

2004

Smith DL, Dushoff J, McKenzie FE. The risk of a mosquito-borne infection in a heterogeneous environment. PLoS Biology 2(11):e368.
Smith DL, McKenzie FE. Statics and dynamics of malaria infection in Anopheles mosquitoes. Malaria Journal 3(1):13.
Feng Z, Smith DL, McKenzie FE, and Levin SA. Coupling ecology and evolution: Malaria and the S-gene across time scales. Mathematical Biosciences 189(1):1–19.

2005

Smith DL, Dushoff J, Snow RW, Hay SI. The entomological inoculation rate and Plasmodium falciparum infection in African children. Nature 438: 492-495.
Le Menach A, McKenzie FE, Flahault A, Smith DL. The unexpected importance of mosquito oviposition behaviour for malaria: non-productive larval habitats can be sources for malaria transmission. Malaria Journal 4(1):23.
Laxminarayan R, Over M, Smith DL (2005). Will a global subsidy of artemisinin-based combination treatment (ACT) for malaria delay the emergence of resistance and save lives? World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3670.

2006

McKenzie FE, Wongsrichanalai C, Magill AJ, Forney JR, Permpanich B, Lucas C, Erhart LM, O’Meara WP, Smith DL, Sirichaisinthop J, Gasser RA. Gametocytemia in Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum infections. Journal of Parasitology 92(6):1281–1285.
McKenzie FE, Smith DL, O’Meara WP, Forney JR, Magill AJ, Permpanich B, Erhart LM, Sirichaisinthop J, Wongsrichanalai C, Gasser RA. Fever in mixed-species malaria. Clinical Infectious Diseases 42(12):1713–1718.
Takala SL, Smith DL, Stine OC, Coulibaly D, Thera MA, Doumbo K, Plowe CV. A high throughput method for quantifying alleles and haplotypes of the malaria vaccine candidate Plasmodium falciparum merozoite surface protein-1 19 kDa. Malaria Journal 5:e31.
O’Meara WP, Smith DL, McKenzie FE. Potential impact of Intermittent Preventive Treatment (IPT) on spread of drug-resistant malaria PLoS Medicine 3(5):e181.
Laxminarayan R, Over M, Smith DL. Will a global subsidy of antimalarials delay the emergence of resistance and save lives? Health Affairs25(2):325–336.

2007

Smith DL, Guerra CA, Snow RW, Hay SI. Standardizing estimates of the Plasmodium falciparum parasite rate. Malaria Journal 6:131.
Takala SL, Smith DL, Coulibaly D, Thera M, Doumbo O, Plowe CV. Rare Plasmodium falciparum merozoite surface protein 1 19-KDA (MSP-119) haplotypes identified in Mali using high-throughput genotyping methods. American Journal of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene 76(5):855–859.
Smith DL, McKenzie FE, Snow RW, Hay SI. Revisiting the basic reproductive number for malaria and its implications for malaria control. PLoS Biology 5(3):e42.
Takala SL, Coulibaly D, Thera MA, Dicko A, Smith DL, Guindo AB, Kone AK, Traore K, Ouattara A, Djimde AA, Sehdev PS, Lyke KE, Diallo DA, Doumbo OK, Plowe CV. Dynamics of polymorphism in a malaria vaccine antigen at a vaccine-testing site in Mali. PLoS Medicine 4(3):e93.
Le Menach A, Takala S, McKenzie FE, Perisse A, Harris A, Flahault A, Smith DL. An elaborated feeding cycle model for reductions in vectorial capacity of night-biting mosquitoes by insecticide-treated nets. Malaria Journal 6:10.

2008

Boni MF, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. Benefits of using multiple first-line therapies against malaria. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 105(37):14216-21.
Klein EY, Smith DL, Boni MF, Laxminarayan R. Clinically immune hosts as a refuge for drug-sensitive malaria parasites. Malaria Journal 7:67.
McKenzie FE, Smith DL, O’Meara WP, Riley EM. Strain theory of malaria: The first 50 years. Advances in Parasitology 66(1):1–46.
Hay SI, Smith DL, Snow RW. Measuring malaria endemicity from intense to interrupted transmission. The Lancet, Infectious Diseases 8:369–378.
Guerra C, Gikandi, PW, Tatem AJ, Noor AM, Smith DL, Hay SI, Snow RW. The limits and intensity of Plasmodium falciparum transmission: Implications for malaria control and elimination worldwide. PLoS Medicine 5:e38.

2009

Tatem AJ, Qiu Y, Smith DL, Sabot O, Ali AS, Moonen B. The use of mobile phone data for the estimation of travel patterns and imported Plasmodium falciparum rates among Zanzibar residents. Malaria Journal 8:287.
Escalante AA, Smith DL, Kim Y. The dynamic of mutations associated with antimalarial drug resistance in Plasmodium falciparum. Trends in Parasitology 25(12):557-563.
Smith DL, Hay SI, Noor AM, Snow RW. Predicting changing malaria risk after expanded insecticide treated net coverage in Africa. Trends in Parasitology 25(11):511-51.
Lawpoolsri S, Klein EY, Singhasivanon P, Yimsamran S, Thanyavanich N, Maneeboonyang W, Hungerford LL, Maguire JH, Smith DL. Optimally timing primaquine treatment to reduce Plasmodium falciparum transmission in low endemicity Thai-Myanmar border populations. Malaria Journal8:159.
Smith DL, Hay SI (2009). Endemicity response timelines for Plasmodium falciparum elimination. Malaria Journal 8:87.
Hay SI, Guerra CA, Gething PW, Patil AP, Tatem AJ, Noor AM, Kabaria CW, Manh BH, Iqbal RFE, Brooker S, Smith DL, Moyeed RA, Snow RW. A world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2007. PLoS Medicine 6(3): e100.038.
Zanzibar Malaria Control Program, with contributions from Belani A, Ali A, Keneko A, Holla A, Bjorkman A, Tatem A, Spiers A, Moonen B, Smith D, Molteni F, Cohen J, Cohen J, Straehler-Pohl K, Msellem M, Sabot O, McElroy P, Njau R, Qiu Y. Malaria Elimination in Zanzibar: A Feasibility Assessment.
Smith DL, Smith TA, Hay SI. Measuring malaria for elimination. Chapter 7 in Targett G and A Phillips eds. A prospectus on malaria elimination. California, USA: Malaria Elimination Group (MEG), University of California Santa Cruz.
Cohen J, Smith DL, Vallely A, Malefoasi G, Sabot O. Holding the Line. Chapter 3 in Targett G and A Phillips eds. A prospectus on malaria elimination. California, USA: Malaria Elimination Group (MEG), University of California Santa Cruz.
Hay SI, Smith DL, Snow RW. The influence of first nature geography: is it possible to eradicate malaria? Box 3.7 in World Development Report 2009: Reshaping Economic Geography, 117. The World Bank, Washington, DC.
Smith DL, Tatem AJ. This could be the last time: The bioeconomics of eradication. Resources, Fall 2009, 11-12.

2010

Moonen B, Cohen JM, Tatem AJ, Cohen J, Hay SI, Sabot O, Smith DL. A framework for assessing the feasibility of malaria elimination. Malaria Journal 9:322.
Smith DL, Drakeley CJ, Chiyaka C, Hay SI. A quantitative analysis of transmission efficiency versus intensity for malaria. Nature Communications1(8):108.
Moonen B, Cohen JM, Snow RW, Slutsker L, Drakeley C, Smith DL, Abeyasinghe R, Rodriguez MH, Maharaj R, Tanner M, Targett G. Operational strategies to achieve and maintain malaria elimination. The Lancet 376(9752):1592-1603.65.
Tatem AJ, Smith DL, Kabaria CK, Snow RW, Hay SI. Ranking of elimination feasibility between malaria endemic countries. The Lancet 376(9752):1579-91.
Smith DL, Klein EY, McKenzie FE, Laxminarayan R. Prospective strategies to delay the evolution of antimalarial drug resistance: Weighing the uncertainty. Malaria Journal 9:217.
Cohen JM, Moonen B, Snow RW, Smith DL. How absolute is zero? An evaluation of historical and current definitions of malaria elimination. Malaria Journal 9:213.
Tatem AJ, Smith DL. International population movements and regional Plasmodium falciparum malaria elimination strategies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 107(27):12222-7.
Gething PW, Smith DL, Patil AP, Tatem AJ, Snow RW, Hay SI. Climate change and the global malaria recession. Nature 465(7296):342-345.
Laxminarayan R, Parry IWH, Smith DL, Klein E. Should new anti-malarial drugs be subsidized? Journal of Health Economics 29(3):445-456.
Chitnis N, Schapira A, Smith D, Smith T, Hay S, Steketee R (2010). Mathematical Modelling to Support Malaria Control and Elimination. Roll Back Malaria, Progress and Impact Series. Geneva, Switzerland.
Smith DL, Ruktanonchai N (2010). Progress in modelling malaria transmission. Advances in Experimental Medicine and Biology 673(1):1-12.
Boni MF, Smith DL (2010). A new chapter in the history of malaria control. In Parry WH and Day F eds. Issues of the Day: 100 Commentaries on Climate, Energy, the Environment, Transportation, and Public Health Policy. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.

2011

Gething PW, Patil AP, Smith DL, Guerra CA, Elyazar IRF, Tatem AJ, Hay SI. A new world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2010. Malaria Journal 10:378.
Le Menach A, Tatem AJ, Cohen JM, Hay SI, Randell H, Patil A, Smith DL. Travel risk, malaria importation, and malaria transmission in Zanzibar. Scientific Reports 1:93.
Tatarsky A, Aboobakar S, Cohen J, Gopee N, Bheecarry A, Moonasar D, Phillips AA, Kahn JG, Moonen B, Smith DL, Sabot O. Preventing the reintroduction of malaria in Mauritius: a programmatic and financial assessment. PLoS One 6(9): e23832.
Smith DL, Cohen JM, Moonen B, Tatem AJ, Sabot O, Ali A, Mugheiry SM. Solving the Sisyphean problem of malaria in Zanzibar. Science332:1384-1385.
Gething PW, Van Boeckel TP, Smith DL, Guerra CA, Patil AP, Snow RW, Hay SI. Modelling the global constraints of temperature on transmission of Plasmodium falciparum and P. vivax. Parasites & Vectors 4:92.
Alonso PL, Eubank S, Ghani A, Hay SI, Sinden R, Smith DL, Smith TA, Tanner M, White L and the MalERA Consultative Group on Modeling. A research agenda for malaria eradication: Modeling. PLoS Medicine 8(1):e10.0303.

2012

Wesolowski A, Eagle N, Tatem AJ, Smith DL, Noor AM, Snow RW, Buckee CO. Quantifying the impact of human mobility on malaria. Science338:276-270.
Gething PW, Elyazar IRF, Moyes CM, Smith DL, Battle KE, Guerra CA, Patil AP, Tatem AJ, Howes RE, Myers MF, George DB, Horby P, Wertheim HF, Price R, Mu ̈ller I, Baird JK, Hay SI. A long neglected world malaria map: Plasmodium vivax endemicity in 2010. PLoS NTD 6(9):e1814.
Klein EY, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R, Levin SA. Superinfection and the evolution of resistance to antimalarial drugs. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B Biolological Sciences 279(1743):3834-42.
Pindolia D, Garcia A, Wesolowski A, Smith DL, Buckee CO, Noor AM, Snow RW, Tatem AJ. Human movement data for malaria control and elimination strategic planning. Malaria Journal 11:205.
Cohen JM, Smith DL, Cotter C, Ward A, Yamey G, Sabot OJ, Moonen B. Malaria resurgence: a systematic review and assessment of its causes. Malaria Journal 11:122.
Smith DL, Battle K, Hay SI, Barker CM, Scott TW, Ellis FE. Ross, Macdonald and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens. PLoS Pathogens 8(4): e1003588.
Midega JT, Smith DL, Olotu A, Mwangangi JM, Nzovu JG, Wambua J, Nyangweso G, Mbogo C, Christophides GK, Marsh K, Bejon P. Wind direction and proximity to larval habitats determines malaria risk in Kilifi District in Kenya. Nature Communications 3:674.
Bousema T, Griffin JT, Sauerwein RW, Smith DL, Churcher TS, Takken W, Ghani A, Drakeley C, Gosling R. Hitting hotspots: spatial targeting of malaria for control and elimination. PLoS Medicine 9(1): e1001165.

2013

Perkins TA, Le Menach A, Scott TW, Smith DL. Heterogeneity, mixing, and the spatial scales of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission. PLoS Computational Biology 9(12):e1003327.
Kamuliwo M, Chanda E, Haque U, Mwanza-Ingwe M, Sikaala C, Katebe-Sakala C, Mukonka VM, Norris DE, Smith DL, Glass GE, Moss WJ. Assessing progress and revising strategies for malaria control in Zambia: 2006-2011. Malaria Journal 12:437.
Pindolia DK, Garcia AJ, Huang Z, Smith DL, Alegana V, Noor AM, Snow RW, Tatem AJ. The demographics of human and malaria movement and migration patterns in East Africa. Malaria Journal 12:397.
White M, Smith DL. Life-stage specific kinetic requirements for malaria vaccines. Malaria Journal 12:280.
Smith DL, Perkins TA, Tusting LS, Scott TW, Lindsay SW. Mosquito population regulation and larval source management in heterogeneous environments. PLoS ONE 8(8):e71247.
Searle KM, Shields T, Hamapumbu H, Kobayashi T, Mharakurwa S, Thuma PE, Smith DL, Glass G, Moss WE. Efficiency of household reactive case detection for malaria in rural Southern Zambia: Simulations based on cross-sectional surveys from two epidemiological settings. PLoS ONE8:e70972.
Smith DL, Cohen JM, Chiyaka C, Johnston G, Gething PW, Gosling R, Buckee C, Laxminarayan R, Hay SI, Tatem AJ. A sticky situation: The unexpected stability of malaria elimination. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B Biological Sciences 368:20120145.
Sturrock HJW, Hsiang MS, Cohen JM, Smith DL, Greenhouse B, Bousema T, Gosling RD. Targeting asymptomatic malaria infections: Active surveillance in control and elimination. PLoS Medicine 10:e1001467.
Johnston GJ, Smith DL, Fidock DA. Malaria’s missing number: Calculating the human component of R₀ by a within-host mechanistic model of Plasmodium falciparum infection and transmission. PLoS Computational Biology 9:e1003035.
Tatem AJ, Gething PW, Smith DL, Hay SI. Urbanization and the global malaria recession. Malaria Journal 12:133.
Chiyaka C, Tatem AJ, Cohen JM, Gething PW, Johnston G, Gosling R, Laxminarayan R, Hay SI, Smith DL. The stability of malaria elimination. Science 339:909-910.
Reiner RC, Perkins TA, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, Ellis AM, George DB, Le Menach A, Pulliam J, Bisanzio D, Buckee C, Chiyaka C, Cummings DAT, Garcia A, Gatton M, Gething PW, Hartley DM, Hartley DM, Johnston G, Klein EY, Michael E, Lindsay SW, Lloyd AL, Pigott D, Reisen WK, Ruktanonchai N, Singh B, Tatem AJ, Kitron U, Hay SI, Scott TW, Smith DL. A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10: 20120921.
Wesolowski A, Buckee C, Pindolia D, Eagle N, Smith DL, Garcia AJ, Tatem AJ. The use of census migration data to approximate human movement patterns across temporal scales. PLoS One 8:e52971.

2014

Kouyos RD, Metcalf CJE, Birger R, Klein EY, zur Wiesch PA, Ankomah P, Arinaminpathy N, Bogich TL, Bonhoeffer S, Brower C, Chi-Johnston G, Cohen T, Day T, Greenhouse B, Juijben S, Metlay J, Mideo N, Pollitt LC, Read AF, Smith DL, Wale N, Grenfell B. The path of least resistance: aggressive or moderate treatment? Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, B, Biological Sciences 281: 20140566. [Web]
Perkins TA, Garcia AJ, Paz-Soldan V, Stoddard ST, Reiner RC, Vazquez-Prokopec G, Bisanzio D, Morrison AC, Halsey ES, Kochel TJ, Smith DL, Kitron U, Scott TW, Tatem AJ. Theory and data for simulating fine-scale human movement in an urban environment. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 11: 20140642. [Web / PDF]
Guerra CA, Reiner RC, Perkins TA, Lindsay SW, Midega J, Kitron U, Barker CM, Reisen WK, Harrington LC, Scott TW, Smith DL. An assembly of adult female mosquito mark-release-recapture data to inform vector-borne pathogen transmission models. Parasites & Vectors 7:276.
Weiss DJ, Bhatt S, Mappin B, van Boekel TP, Smith DL, Hay SI, Gething PW. Air temperature suitability for Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa 2000-2012: a high-resolution spatiotemporal prediction. Malaria Journal 13:171.
Pindolia D, Garcia AG, Huang Z, Fik T, Smith DL, Tatem AJ. Quantifying cross-border movements for guiding the strategic planning of malaria control and elimination. Malaria Journal 13:169.
Bejon P, Williams TN, Nyundo C, Hay SI, Benz D, Gething PW, Otiende M, Peshu J, Bashraheil M, Greenhouse B, Bousema T, Bauni E, Marsh K, Smith DL, Bormann S. A micro-epidemiological analysis of febrile malaria in Coastal Kenya showing hotspots within hotspots. eLife 10.7554 / eLife.02130.
Battle KE, Karhunen MS, Bhatt S, Gething PW, Howes RE, Golding N, van Boeckel TP, Messina JP, Shanks GD, Smith DL, Baird JK, Hay SI. Geographical variation in Plasmodium vivax relapse. Malaria Journal 13:144.
Kilama M, Smith DL, Hutchinson R, Kigozi R, Yeka A, Lavoy G, Kamya MR, Staedke SG, Donnelly MJ, Drakeley C, Greenhouse B, Dorsey G, Lindsay SW. Estimating the annual entomological inoculation rate for Plasmodium falciparum transmitted by Anopheles gambiae s.l. using three sampling methods in three sites in Uganda. Malaria Journal 13:111.
Smith DL, Perkins TA, Reiner RC Jr, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, Ellis AM, George DB, Le Menach A, Pulliam JR, Bisanzio D, Buckee C, Chiyaka C, Cummings DA, Garcia AJ, Gatton ML, Gething PW, Hartley DM, Johnston G, Klein EY, Michael E, Lloyd AL, Pigott DM, Reisen WK, Ruktanonchai N, Singh BK, Stoller J, Tatem AJ, Kitron U, Godfray HC, Cohen JM, Hay SI, Scott TW. Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene 108:185-197.
Tatem AJ, Huang Z, Narib C, Kumar U, Kandula D, Pindolia DK, Smith DL, Cohen JM, Graupe B, Uusiku P, Laurenco C. Integrating rapid risk mapping and mobile phone call record data for strategic malaria elimination planning. Malaria Journal 13:52.
Gething PW, Battle KE, Bhatt S, Smith DL, Eisele TP, Cibulskis RE, Hay SI. Declining malaria in Africa: Improving the measurement of progress. Malaria Journal 13:39.
Tusting L, Bousema T, Smith DL, Drakeley C. Measuring changes in Plasmodium falciparum transmission: Precision, accuracy and costs of metrics. Advances in Parasitology 84(3):151-208.
Johnston G, Gething PW, Hay SI, Smith DL, and Fidock D. Modeling within-host effects of drugs on Plasmodium falciparum transmission and prospects for malaria elimination. PLoS Computational Biology 10(1):e1003434.
Haque U, Overgaard HJ, Clements ACA, Norris DE, Islam N, Karim J, Roy S, Haque W, Kabir M, Smith DL, Glass GE. Epidemiological and economic evaluation of malaria burden and control in Bangladesh: Prospects for elimination. The Lancet, Global Health 2(2): e98-e105.
Ruktanonchai N, Smith DL, St. Mary CM. Selection of interdependent choice of two complementary resources. Behavioral Ecology 25(1): 25-43.
WHO. From malaria control to malaria elimination: A manual for elimination scenario planning. April 25, 2014. Geneva, Switzerland.

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