Work in progress

Belief Disagreement, Instability, and Uncertainty under Stochastic Recall 

Information Treatments, Hypotheticals, and Event Studies: Comparative Estimates 

Polarization and Belief Entrenchment Through Memory

Pei Kuang, Michael Weber and Shihan Xie. Central Bank Communication with the Polarized Public

Net Zero and Inflation Expectations: the Role of Monetary and Fiscal Policies 

Ballots, Budgets and Bricks: Brexit and the Polarisation of Individual Economic Behaviours

Pei Kuang, Michael Weber and Shihan Xie. Perceived Political Bias of the Federal Reserve  

Output gap estimation and monetary policy with imperfect knowledge (with Kaushik Mitra and Li Tang)

Unconditional Treatment Effects in Information Provision Experiments (with Carola Binder and Li Tang)

Reducing Memory Biases in Belief Formation (with Li Tang and Michael Weber)

Observability and equilibrium selection in New Keynesian Models paper download, under revision

How does inflation shape house price expectations? (with Wei Cui, Xie and Y. Zhang) paper

Bank credit constraints, expectation, and firm activities: evidence from UK SMEs (with Mitra, Y. Wu, and Tianshu Zhao) paper

Learning with Data (Quasi-)Differencing  paper 

The roots and consequences of Euroscepticism: theory and evidence (with Wei) paper