Assistant Professor in Macroeconomics, the University of Birmingham.
Research interests: Behavioral Macroeconomics & Finance; Expectations and Information Economics
Email: LiTang[dot]Econ@gmail[dot]com
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Working Papers
Working Papers
Disagreement under Imperfect Memory: Theory and Evidence (with Pei Kuang and Michael Weber)
Information Treatments, Hypotheticals, and Event Studies: Comparative Estimates (with Carola Binder, Dimitris Georgarakos and Pei Kuang)
Unconditional Treatment Effects in Information Provision Experiments (with Carola Binder, Pei Kuang and Jiannan Zhou)
Reducing Memory Biases in Belief Formation (with Pei Kuang and Michael Weber)
Focusing on What Matters: Information Relevance and Macroeconomic Expectations (with Shihan Xie and Penghui Yin)
Output Gap Estimation and Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge (with Pei Kuang and Kaushik Mitra) [PDF]
Politics and others
Politics and others
Multi-Dimensional Policy Congruence and Political Attitudes (with Royce Carroll and Yen-Chieh Liao)
Generative AI and the Labor Market: Workers’ Beliefs and Behavioral Responses (with Marian Rizov and Xufei Zhang) [PDF]
Publications
Publications
Central Bank Communication and House Price Expectations (with Carola Binder and Pei Kuang) [NBER WP(31232)] Journal of the European Economic Association, forthcoming. Coverage: [Central banking]
Electoral Reform and Geographically-Targeted Oversight: Evidence from Taiwan Legislative Yuan (with Yen-Chieh Liao) Electoral Studies, Volume 99, February 2026, 103026.
Macroprudential Policy and Housing Market Expectations (with Pei Kuang, Kaushik Mitra and Shihan Xie) European Economic Review, Volume 181, January 2026, 105191.
Navigating Fiscal Fog: Household Expectations in an Uncertain Fiscal Environment (with Junjie Guo, Shihan Xie and Penghui Yin) Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Volume 240, December 2025, 107321.
(Mis)perception of Party Congruence and Satisfaction with Democracy (with Royce Carroll and Yen-Chieh Liao) Political Science Research and Methods, Volume 13, Issue 4, Page 885-902, 2025
Are Stock Price Forecasts Anchored by Fundamental Forecasts? A Long-run Perspective (with Pei Kuang, Renbin Zhang and Tongbin Zhang) Economic Theory, Volume 79, Pages 657–685, 2025.
Worker Productivity During Covid-19 and Adaptation to Working From Home (with Ashley Burdett, Ben Etheridge, and Yikai Wang) European Economic Review, Volume 167, August 2024, 104788. Coverage: [ISER] [CEPR]
Forecast Disagreement about Long-run Macroeconomic Relationships (with Pei Kuang, Renbin Zhang and Tongbin Zhang) Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Volume 200, August 2022, Pages 371-387.
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