Research Statement

Current Projects:

  • A Theory of Soft and Hard Sovereign Defaults (with Grey Gordon)
  • Exchange Rate Dynamics and Endogenous Productivity (with Nils Gornemann and Felipe Saffie)
  • What is Capacity Utilization? (with Han Chen, and Molin Zhong)
  • Filtering with incomplete information (with Thorsten Drautzburg and Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde)(slides)

Working Papers:

Published Papers:

Refereed Publications:

  1. Financial Frictions, Trends, and the Great Recession (with Ryo Jinnai, April 2018) (forthcoming, Quantitative Economics)
  2. Asymmetric Business Cycles and Sovereign Default (with Grey Gordon) 2017, Economic Letters 161, pp:116-119
  3. Dynamics of Investment, Debt, and Default (with Grey Gordon) 2018, Review of Economic Dynamics 28, pp:71-95.
  4. Impulse Response Matching Estimator for DSGE Models (with Atsushi Inoue and Lutz Kilian) 2017, Journal of Econometrics 196, pp: 144-155.
  5. Interest Rates and Prices in an Inventory Model of Money with Credit (with Mike Dotsey) 2016, Journal of Monetary Economics 83, pp: 71-89.
  6. Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity (with Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Keith Kuester and Juan Rubio-Ramirez) 2015, American Economic Review 105, pp: 3352-84.
  7. Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound (with Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Grey Gordon and Juan Rubio-Ramirez) 2015 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 57, pp: 182-204
  8. Estimating Dynamic Equilibrium Models with Stochastic Volatility (with Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Juan Rubio-Ramirez) Forthcoming Journal of Econometrics.
  9. Supply-Side Policies and the Zero Lower Bound (with Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Juan Rubio-Ramirez) IMF Review 62 (2014), pp: 248 - 260.
  10. Frequentist Inference in Weakly Identified DSGE Models (with Atsushi Inoue and Lutz Kilian) Quantitative Economics 4 (2013), pp: 197-229.
  11. Common and Idiosyncratic Disturbances in Developed Small Open Economies Journal of International Economics 90 (2013), pp: 33-49.
  12. Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Stochastic Volatility Shocks (2011, with J. Fernandez-Villaverde, J. Rubio-Ramirez and M.Uribe) American Economic Review 101 (2011), pp: 2530-2561.
  13. The Implications of Inflation in an Estimated New-Keynesian Model Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35 (2011), pp: 947-962.
  14. Economic Development and Heterogeneity in the Great Moderation among the States (with A. Leblecioglu and T. Grennes) B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics 11 (2011) Contributions, article 21.
  15. What you match does matter: The effects of observable variables on DSGE estimation Journal of Applied Econometrics, 25 (2010), pp: 774-804.
  16. Money Demand Heterogeneity and the Great Moderation Journal of Monetary Economics 56 (2009), pp: 255-266.
  17. Refinements on Macroeconomic Modeling: The Role of Non-Separability and Heterogeneous Labor Supply Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 32 (2008), pp: 3613 – 3630.

Other Publications:

  • Economic Development and Volatility among the States (with A. Leblecioglu and T. Grennes) Economics Bulletin (2010), pp: 1963-1976.
  • The Economics of Small Open Economies (2013, Business Review Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia)
  • Reading the Recent Monetary History of the U.S., 1959-2007 (with J. Fernandez-Villaverde and J. Rubio-Ramirez) Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 92 (2010), pp: 311-338.
  • New Macroeconometrics: A Bayesian Approach (with J. Fernandez-Villaverde and J. Rubio-Ramirez), in A. O'Hagan and M. West eds. Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis (2010) Oxford University Press.
  • Risk and Uncertainty (2011, Business Review Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia)
  • Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models (with James Nason) in M. Thornton and N. Hashimzade eds. Handbook of Empirical Methods in Macroeconomics (forthcoming, 2012) Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
  • Do Animal Spirits Drive Economic Cycles? (with Molin Zhong) 2016, Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.


  • Does the New Keynesian Model Have a Uniquess Problem? by Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Johannsen.
  • Fewer but Better: Sudden Stops, Firm Entry, and Financial Selection by Ates and Saffie.
  • Endogenous Technology Adoption by Anzoategui, Comin, Gertler, and Martinez.
  • A Model of Secular Stagnation by Eggerstsson and Mehrotra.
  • Uncertainty and the Signalling Channel of Monetary Policy by Jenny Tang.
  • Empirical Implications of the Zero Lower Bound by Gust, Lopez-Salido, and Smith.
  • Estimating Fiscal Limits: The Case of Greece by Bi and Traum.
  • Non-defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk by Hatchondo and Martinez.
  • The Real Effects of Global Risk Shocks in SOE by Garcia-Cicco, Heresi, and Naudon.