"The premise of this paper is that the speed of light is constant regardless of the inertial frame of reference. Having accepted this premise, the coordinate transformations it entails follow from elementary geometry and are not new. Indeed, Lorentz and Poincare have already derived such results, albeit in a somewhat different context. The implied conservation law, which can be approximated by E = m c^2 + 1/2 m v^2, is highly hypothetical and, probably, of no empirical significance." -- anonymous R4
“This is a Mickey Mouse example, but don’t underestimate the power of Mickey Mouse.” -- Nobu Kiyotaki

Publications

Dynamic Asset-Backed Security Design

with Emre Ozdenoren and Kathy Yuan. (paper)  forthcoming at  Review of Economic Studies

A dynamic loop of low collateral asset price, severe adverse selection, and low funding causes financial fragility. Optimally designed asset-backed securities as repo contracts eliminate it.

The Limits of onetary Economics: On Money as a Constraint on Market Power

with Ricardo Lagos. Econometrica, 2022. (paper, presentation recording)

Even if fiat money is not used, it disciplines the market power of private payment systems.

Equilibrium Securitization with Diverse Beliefs 

with Andrew Ellis and Michele Piccione. Theoretical Economics, 2022. (paper, supplementary appendix

Investors' disagreement over the correlation of asset payoffs can motivate profit-maximizing intermediaries to pool the assets and tranch the asset pool.

Turnover Liquidity and the Transmission of Monetary Policy 

with Ricardo LagosAmerican Economic Review, 2020. (paper)

Tightened monetary policy reduces turnover liquidity and the speculative premium in the asset price.

Monetary Exchange in Bilateral Over-the-Counter Markets

with Ricardo Lagos,  special issue of the Review of Economic Dynamics on fragmented markets, 2019. (paper)

We develop a model of monetary exchange in bilateral over-the-counter markets to study the effects of monetary policy on asset prices and financial liquidity. The theory predicts asset prices carry a speculative premium that reflects the asset's marketability and depends on monetary policy and the market microstructure where it is traded. These liquidity considerations imply a positive correlation between the real yield on stocks and the nominal yield on Treasury bonds—an empirical observation long regarded anomalous.

The Role of Firm Factors in Demand, Cost, and Export Market Selection for Chinese Footwear Producers

with Mark Roberts, Daniel Xu, and Xiaoyan Fan,  Review of Economic Studies, 2017. (paper)

In this article, we use micro data on both trade and production for a sample of large Chinese manufacturing firms in the footwear industry from 2002 to 2006 to estimate an empirical model of export demand, pricing, and market participation by destination market. We use the model to construct indexes of firm-level demand, marginal cost, and fixed cost. The empirical results indicate substantial firm heterogeneity in all three dimension with demand being the most dispersed. The firm-specific demand and marginal cost components account for over 30% of market share variation, 40% of sales variation, and over 50% of price variation among exporters. The fixed cost index is the primary factor explaining differences in the pattern of destination markets across firms. The estimates are used to analyse the supply reallocation following the removal of the quota on Chinese footwear exports to the EU. This led to a rapid restructuring of export supply sources on both the intensive and extensive margins in favour of firms with high demand and low fixed costs indexes, with marginal cost differences not being important.

Liquidity Misallocation in an Over-The-Counter Market 

Journal of Economic Theory, 2017. (paper)

To understand the illiquidity of the over-the-counter market when dealers and traders are in long-term relationships, I develop a framework to study the endogenous liquidity distortions resulting from the profit-maximizing, screening behavior of dealers. The dealer offers the trading mechanism contingent on the aggregate history of his customers summarized by the asset allocation. The equilibrium distortion is type dependent: trade with small surplus breaks down; trade with intermediate surplus may be delayed; trade with large surplus is carried out with a large bid/ask spread but without delay. Because of dealers' limited commitment, the distortions become more severe when the valuation shock is frequent, the valuation dispersion is large or the matching friction to form new relationships is large. Calibrating the model and running a horse race between matching efficiency, trading speed and relationship stability, I found that the liquidity disruption in the market during the recent financial crisis is more consistent with declining matching efficiency of forming trading relationships. The optimal mechanism can be implemented by random quote posting.

Rehypothecation and Liquidity 

with David Andolfatto and Fernando Martin, European Economic Review, 2017. (paper)

We develop a dynamic general equilibrium monetary model where a shortage of collateral and incomplete markets motivate the formation of credit relationships and the rehypothecation of assets. Rehypothecation improves resource allocation because it permits liquidity to flow where it is most needed. The liquidity benefits associated with rehypothecation are shown to be more important in high-inflation (high-interest rate) regimes. Regulations restricting the practice are shown to have very different consequences depending on how they are designed. Assigning collateral to segregated accounts, as prescribed in the Dodd–Frank Act, is generally welfare-reducing. In contrast, an SEC15c3-3 type regulation can improve welfare through the regulatory premium it confers on cash holdings, which are inefficiently low when interest rates and inflation are high.

Working Papers

The Limits of onetary Economics: On Money as a Medium of Exchange in Near-Cashless Credit Economies 

with Ricardo Lagos. (paper appendix)

Monetary Exchange in Over-the-Counter Markets: A Theory of Speculative Bubbles, the Fed Model, and Self-fulfilling Liquidity Crises 

with Ricardo Lagos. (paper slides)

Endogenous Market Making and Network Formation 

with Briana Chang. (paper)  Revise and Resubmit at  Journal of Economic Theory

Financial Market Structure and Risk Concentration

with Briana Chang. (paper)

Funding Horizons, Interest Rates, and Growth

with Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and John Moore. Previously titled "Credit Horizons", CICM Best Paper Award. (paper, slides, presentation recording)

Key Workers and Funding Horizons

with Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and John Moore.

Intangibles, Inequality and Stagnation 

with Nobuhiro Kiyotaki. (paper)  

International Trade Finance and Learning Dynamics

with David Kohn, Emiliano Luttini, and Michal Szkup

On the Fragility of DeFi Lending

with Jonathan Chiu, Emre Ozdenoren, and Kathy Yuan. (paper)

Casting Light on the Network of Decentralized Finance

with Jonathan Chiu, Thorston Koeppl, and Hanna Yu.

Secrecy is a Barrier to Knowledge Diffusion

with Sichuang Xu.

A q theory of Tokenomics with Search and Matching

with Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang.

Safe Assets as Balance Sheet Multipliers

with Emre Ozdenoren and Kathy Yuan . (paper)

The Risk-Taking Channel of Banks' Debt and Monetary Policy

with Stephan Imhof and Cyril Monnet (paper)

Collateral Risk, Repo Rollover and Shadow Banking 

(paper slides)

Market Runs: Liquidity and the Value of Information

with Klaus-Peter Hellwig. (paper slides)