Working Papers
Political Parties as Drivers of U.S. Polarization: 1927-2018 (with Chad Kendall and Francesco Trebbi)
pdf Version. Also on SSRN. Previously NBER WP 28296- UPDATED! (June 29, 2023)
Media Coverage: FD (Netherlands)
Revised and Resubmitted (2nd round), Journal of Political Economy
Measuring Democracy Using the Wisdom of the Crowds (with Anujit Chakraborty)
pdf Version. Also CEPR Discussion Paper #20551 and on SSRN. NEW! (August 5, 2025)
Innovation Adoption by Committee: Evaluating Decision-Making in the FDA (with Matias Iaryczower)
pdf Version. Also NBER WP 32787. Funded by NSF Grant #2214796 (Economics) - NEW! (July 27, 2024)
A Decomposition Approach to Counterfactual Analysis in Game-Theoretic Models (with Kevin Song)
pdf Version. Also on the Arxiv. - UPDATED! (April 7, 2025)
Simple Inference on a Simplex-Valued Weight (with Kevin Song)
pdf Version. Also on the Arxiv. - NEW! (January 26, 2025).
Synthetic Decomposition for Counterfactual Predictions (with Kevin Song).
pdf Version. Also on the Arxiv and Warwick Economics Working Paper Series. - UPDATED! (January 26, 2025)
Work in Progress
Multidimensional Learning in Committee Deliberations (with Perry Carter and Matias Iaryczower)
Learning Under the Shadow of Regulation (with Matias Iaryczower)
Information Accumulation and the Timing of Voting Decisions.
Previous version - pdf Version.