Research

Working papers or work in progress:

"Supply and Demand Linkages in Exporting Multiproduct Firms", with Carsten Eckel and Ning Meng, CEPR DP 18627.

"Robotizing to Compete? Firm-level evidence", with Paulo Bastos and Klaus Keller, CRC TRR 190 DP 167.

"North-South Trade: The Impact of Robotization", with Andreas Baur, Isabella Gourevich, and Florian Unger, CESifo WP 10865.

"Credit, Productivity, and Reallocation of Resources", with Jens Arnold, former version: CESifo WP 6677.

"One more document: The Effect of NTBs on Trade", with Lisa Scheckenhofer and Feodora Teti

"Taxing Services in the Global Economy", with Andreas Baur, Martina Magli and Yoto Yotov

"R&D Tax Incentives, Innovation and Exports: Evidence from a Policy Reform", with Graziela Zucoloto

Publications:

"Quantifying the Partial and General Equilibrium Effects of Sanctions on Russia", with Inga Heiland, Mario Larch, Marina Steininger, and Feodora Teti, , Review of International Economics, 2023, 1-43.

    [URL to paper] [Data and Code] [Policy output]

"Quality and Gravity in International Trade", with Florian Unger, Journal of International Economics, 2022, vol. 137.

   [latest version]  [Web Appendix]  [CEPR DP 12602, 2018]  [CESifo WP 6080 2016]  [README file]  [URL to paper]

"Corporate Taxes and Multi-Product Exporters: Theory and Evidence from Trade Dynamics", with Michael Irlacher and Florian Unger, Journal of International Economics, 2021, vol.132.

    [JIE final version] [CESifo working paper] [Web Appendix] [README files]  [URL to paper]

"The Impact of Trade Agreements on World Trade Prices", with Fabian Gräf, Review of International Economics,  DOI:10.1111/caje.12254 [CESifo working paper 2018] [URL to paper]

"Product versus Process: Innovation Strategies of Multi-Product Firms", with Michael Irlacher, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2018, vol. 10, n.1, p.236-77. [URL to paper] [latest version] [CEPR Discussion Paper 11922] 

   This paper was awarded the Young Economist Award 2014 at the 7th FIW-Research Conference, FIW Vienna,     Online supplement - [PINTEC innovation survey]  [Theory Web Appendix]   

"A Note on the Isomorphism of Heterogeneous Firms Models", Economics Letters, 2017, vol. 155, p.24-27. [URL] [Web Appendix]   

"Income Inequality and Export Prices across Countries", with Eckhard Janeba, Canadian Journal of Economics, 2017, vol. 50, n.1, p.162-200.  [latest version] [URL to paper]  [CESifo working paper 2013]

"Quality Upgrading and Price Heterogeneity: Evidence from Brazilian Exporters",  Journal of International Economics, 2016, vol. 102, p. 282-290  [URL to paper]

    An earlier version of this paper was awarded the Best Paper Award at the GEP Postgraduate Conference, University of Nottingham [Award] ,  Online supplement -  [Theory and Empirical Supplement]  [Country Codes]

"The Effect of GATT/WTO Membership on Price Volatility", with Vinh Cao, The World Economy, 2015, vol. 38, n.12, p. 2049–2079 [URL to paper]

"Foreign Direct Investment and Profit Outflows: A Causality Analysis for the Brazilian Economy", with Fernando Seabra. Economics Bulletin, vol. 6, n. 1, p. 1-15, 2005. [pdf]

"Institutional Theory and the Internationalization of Higher Education in South America: The Brazilian Case", with Leonardo Flach. Journal of International Business and Economics, 11(1), p. 25-50, 2010.

"The Role of Institutions in the Economic Development", with Lenina Formaggi and Fernando Seabra. In: Barral, W., Pimentel, L.O. (Eds). Teoria Jurídica e Desenvolvimento. p.71-86 (chapter 6). Fundação Boiteux (2006).

"Foreign Portfolio Investment, the European Monetary Union and Exchange Rate Uncertainty", with Tatiana Santos and Fernando Seabra. In: Stavarek, Daniel and Poloueek, Stanislav (Eds). Consequences of the European Monetary Integration on Financial Systems. Newcastle: Cambridge Scholars Publishing (2008).

Policy reports:

“The export promotion strategy go-international in international comparison” (with Andreas Baur, Isabella Gourevich, and Feodora Teti), Study commissioned by the Austrian Ministry of Labour and Economy, 2022, in German.  [report]

“How dependent is Germany on raw material imports? An analysis of inputs to produce key technologies” (with Feodora Teti, Isabella Gourevich, Lisa Scheckenhofer, Leif Grandum). Study commissioned by the chamber of commerce and industry, IHK für München und Oberbayern, 2022, in German. [report]

“Geopolitical challenges and their consequences for the German economic model” (with Florian Dorn, Clemens Fuest, and Lisa Scheckenhofer). Study commissioned by the vbw e.V., 2022, in German.  [report]

"Global Value Chains - Assessment of Challenges and Opportunities" (with Jasmin Gröschl, Marina Steininger, Feodora Teti and Andreas Baur). Study commissioned by Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, 2021, in German. [report]

"Economic Effects of a Brexit on the German and European Economy - Updated Assessment in Light of Current Developments" (with Felbermayr, Langhammer, Gröschl, Kamin, Teti, Chowdhry, Steininger and Wiest). Study commissioned by German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy, BMWi, 2020, in German. [report]

"The Economic Costs of Sanctions in Relation to Russia" (with Mario Larch, Yoto Yotov, Martin Braml, Jasmin Gröschl, Marina Steininger and Georg Schneider), Study commissioned by the chamber of commerce and industry, IHK Düsseldorf, 2021, in German.[report]

"Globalization in Transition: Opportunities and Challenges for the Bavarian Economy" (with Martin Braml, Marina Steininger und Feodora Teti). Study commissioned by the chamber of commerce and industry, IHK für München und Oberbayern, 2020, in German.[report]

"Dimensions and Effects of a Transatlantic Free Trade Agreement Between the EU and US", with Gabriel Felbermayr, Mario Larch, Erdal Yalcin and Sebastian Benz. Study commissioned by German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology, in German. [report]

"Structural Policies and Productivity in Brazil", with Jens Arnold, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, forthcoming. Technical background paper used as input for Chapter 1, OECD Economic Survey of Brazil, year 2013. [full report]

Policy papers and non-refereed publications since 2020:

“The Effect of Robotization in OECD Countries on Latin American Exports”, (with Andreas Baur and Isabella Gourevich), EconPol Forum 23 (5), 33-36, 2022.

“Langfristige Effekte von Deglobalisierung und Handelskriegen auf die deutsche Wirtschaft“, (with Florian Dorn, Clemens Fuest, and Lisa Scheckenhofer), ifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, Nr. 09, 27-34, 2022.

“Fairness und Eigeninteresse im internationalen Klimaschutz“, (with Johannes Pfeiffer and Karen Pittel), Wirtschaftsdienst, 102. Jahrgang (13), 12–20, 2022.

“Reactions to Supply Chain Disruptions: Evidence from German Firms”, (Cevat Giray Aksoy, Andreas Baur, and Beata Javorcik), EconPol Policy Brief 45, 2022.

“How Dependent Is Germany on Raw Material Imports? An Analysis of Inputs to Produce Key Technologies”, (with Isabella Gourevich, Leif Grandum, Lisa Scheckenhofer, Feodora Teti), EconPol Policy Brief 43, 2022.

“German-Chinese Trade Relations: How Dependent is the German Economy on China?”, (with Andreas Baur), EconPol Policy Report 38, 2022.

“Ökonominnen und Ökonomen für Einschränkung des Handels mit Autokratien“, (with Andreas Baur, Klaus Gründler, Niklas Potrafke, and Fabian Ruthardt), ifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, Nr. 07, 31-35, 2022.

"The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement and Its Expected Effects on World Trade" (with Feodora Teti and Hannah Hildenbrand), Intereconomics, 56(2), 2021.

"Lessons from the pandemics and the future of trade policy". In: Gnan, E. und Schneider, C. (Eds), Schwerpunkt Außenwirtschaft 2020-2021, p. 231-235, 2021.

"Die EU braucht eine klare US-China-Strategie", Wirtschaftsdienst, 101(4), 2021.

"Für robuste Lieferketten und gegen Protektionismus", ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74(7), 2021.

"Containerschifffahrt in stürmischen Zeiten – Analyse und Ausblick" (with Andreas Baur and Jasmin Gröschl), ifo Schnelldienst 74(5), 2021.

"30 Jahre Mercosur – Integrationsfortschritte, Misserfolge und zukünftige Handelspolitik" (with Andreas Baur and Feodora Teti), ifo Schnelldienst, 74 (4), 2021.

"Recent Challenges for Global Cooperation and the Future of WTO", CESifo Forum 22 (2), 2021.

"RCEP-Abkommen: Versteckte Auswirkungen" (with Feodora Teti), Wirtschaftsdienst, 100(12), 2020.

"EU27 and the UK: Product Dependencies and the Implications of Brexit" (with Feodora Teti, Lena Wiest, and Margherita Atzei). EconPol Policy Brief 32, October 2020.

"Status quo und Zukunft globaler Lieferketten" (with Martin Braml and Rahel Aichele). ifo Schnelldienst, 5(73), 2020.

"Globalisierung nach Covid-19: Die Folgen der Pandemie für die deutsche Wirtschaft " (with Marina Steininger), ifo Schnelldienst, 73(3), 17-23, 2020.