Research
I am a social scientist interested in using big data and methods for causal inference to further our understanding of how to promote well-functioning democracies. I study two interrelated questions: first, can citizens in a democracy adequately hold their government accountable? And second, what needs to be done in order to ensure that governments will be responsive to their constituents’ desires? As a scholar of democratic accountability, I study various topics regarding how citizens interact with their government and, on the flip side, how the government interacts with its citizens. These topics include political participation, retrospective voting, political polarization, political representation, discrimination, and education policy. My research draws on an interdisciplinary set of theories and methodological approaches to help improve our understanding of political and social institutions and citizens’ capacities.
Book
Book
[1] Holbein, John B. and D. Sunshine Hillygus. Making Young Voters: Converting Civic Attitudes into Civic Action. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2020
[1] Holbein, John B. and D. Sunshine Hillygus. Making Young Voters: Converting Civic Attitudes into Civic Action. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2020
Articles
Articles
[34] Tyler Reny, Ben Newman, John B. Holbein, and Hans Hassell. "Public mass shootings cause large surges in Americans' engagement with gun policy." Forthcoming, PNAS Nexus
[34] Tyler Reny, Ben Newman, John B. Holbein, and Hans Hassell. "Public mass shootings cause large surges in Americans' engagement with gun policy." Forthcoming, PNAS Nexus
[33] Hans Hassell and John B. Holbein. "Navigating Potential Pitfalls in Difference-in-Differences Designs: Reconciling Conflicting Findings on Mass Shootings’ Effect on Electoral Outcomes" Forthcoming, American Political Science Review [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[33] Hans Hassell and John B. Holbein. "Navigating Potential Pitfalls in Difference-in-Differences Designs: Reconciling Conflicting Findings on Mass Shootings’ Effect on Electoral Outcomes" Forthcoming, American Political Science Review [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[32] Mia Costa, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Michelangelo Landgrave. "Is that Ethical? An Exploration of Political Scientists’ Views on Research Ethics" Forthcoming. Research & Politics [Impact Factor: 4.3]
[32] Mia Costa, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Michelangelo Landgrave. "Is that Ethical? An Exploration of Political Scientists’ Views on Research Ethics" Forthcoming. Research & Politics [Impact Factor: 4.3]
[31] D'Wayne Bell, Jing Feng, John B. Holbein and Jonathan Smith. "Do STEM Students Vote?" American Educational Research Journal Vol. 61; no. 1 (2024): 48-73 [Impact Factor: 6.246]
[31] D'Wayne Bell, Jing Feng, John B. Holbein and Jonathan Smith. "Do STEM Students Vote?" American Educational Research Journal Vol. 61; no. 1 (2024): 48-73 [Impact Factor: 6.246]
[30] Holbein, John B and Charles Crabtree. "Do Sleep Disruptions Promote Social Fragmentation?" Politics and the Life Sciences Vol. 42; no. 2 (2023): 205-233 [Impact Factor: 0.97]
[30] Holbein, John B and Charles Crabtree. "Do Sleep Disruptions Promote Social Fragmentation?" Politics and the Life Sciences Vol. 42; no. 2 (2023): 205-233 [Impact Factor: 0.97]
[29] Hillygus, D. Sunshine and John B. Holbein. "Refocusing Civic Education to Help Young People Develop the Skills They Need to Engage in Democracy" Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science Vol. 705; no. 1 (2023): 73-94 [Impact Factor: 3.14]
[29] Hillygus, D. Sunshine and John B. Holbein. "Refocusing Civic Education to Help Young People Develop the Skills They Need to Engage in Democracy" Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science Vol. 705; no. 1 (2023): 73-94 [Impact Factor: 3.14]
[28] Holbein, John B., Marcos Rangel, Raeal Moore, and Michelle Croft. “Is Voting Transformative? Expanding and Meta-Analyzing the Evidence” Political Behavior Vol. 45, no. 3 (2023): 1015-1044 [Impact Factor: 5.27]
[28] Holbein, John B., Marcos Rangel, Raeal Moore, and Michelle Croft. “Is Voting Transformative? Expanding and Meta-Analyzing the Evidence” Political Behavior Vol. 45, no. 3 (2023): 1015-1044 [Impact Factor: 5.27]
[27] Crabtree, Charles D., S. Michael Gaddis, Cameron Guage, John B. Holbein, Jae Yeon Kim, and William W. Marx. "Validated Names for Experimental Studies on Ethnicity and Race" Nature: Scientific Data. Vol. 10, no. 130 (2023) [Impact Factor: 11.21]
[27] Crabtree, Charles D., S. Michael Gaddis, Cameron Guage, John B. Holbein, Jae Yeon Kim, and William W. Marx. "Validated Names for Experimental Studies on Ethnicity and Race" Nature: Scientific Data. Vol. 10, no. 130 (2023) [Impact Factor: 11.21]
[26] Gaddis, S. Michael, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Edvard Nergård Larsen. "Racially Distinctive Names Signal Race and Class" Sociological Science. Vol. 9 (2022): 454-472 [Impact Factor: 4.59]
[26] Gaddis, S. Michael, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Edvard Nergård Larsen. "Racially Distinctive Names Signal Race and Class" Sociological Science. Vol. 9 (2022): 454-472 [Impact Factor: 4.59]
[25] Block, Ray, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Quin Monson. "Conceptual and Empirical Issues that Arise When Using Correspondence Audits to Measure Racial Discrimination." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol. 119, no. 38 (2022): e2210695119 [Impact Factor: 12.78]
[25] Block, Ray, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Quin Monson. "Conceptual and Empirical Issues that Arise When Using Correspondence Audits to Measure Racial Discrimination." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol. 119, no. 38 (2022): e2210695119 [Impact Factor: 12.78]
[24] Mo, Cecilia, John B. Holbein, and Elizabeth Mitchell Elder. "Civilian National Service Programs Can Powerfully Increase Youth Voter Turnout." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol 119, no. 29 (2022): e2122996119 [Impact Factor: 12.78]
[24] Mo, Cecilia, John B. Holbein, and Elizabeth Mitchell Elder. "Civilian National Service Programs Can Powerfully Increase Youth Voter Turnout." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol 119, no. 29 (2022): e2122996119 [Impact Factor: 12.78]
[23] Barber, Michael, and John B. Holbein. "400 million voting records show profound racial and geographic disparities in voter turnout in the United States." PloS one 17, no. 6 (2022): e0268134. [Impact Factor: 3.75]
[23] Barber, Michael, and John B. Holbein. "400 million voting records show profound racial and geographic disparities in voter turnout in the United States." PloS one 17, no. 6 (2022): e0268134. [Impact Factor: 3.75]
[22] Crabtree, Charles D., John B. Holbein, and Quin Monson. "Patients' Traits Shape Healthcare Providers' Choices on How to Best Allocate Life-Saving Care" Nature Human Behaviour 6 (2022): 244-257 [Impact Factor: 24.25]
[22] Crabtree, Charles D., John B. Holbein, and Quin Monson. "Patients' Traits Shape Healthcare Providers' Choices on How to Best Allocate Life-Saving Care" Nature Human Behaviour 6 (2022): 244-257 [Impact Factor: 24.25]
[21] Holbein, John B., Catherine Bradshaw, Nicholas Ialongo, B. Kal Munis, Jill Rabinowitz. "Promoting Voter Turnout: An Unanticipated Impact of Early Childhood Preventive Interventions." Prevention Science. Vol. 23 (2022): 192-203 [Impact Factor: 4.52]
[21] Holbein, John B., Catherine Bradshaw, Nicholas Ialongo, B. Kal Munis, Jill Rabinowitz. "Promoting Voter Turnout: An Unanticipated Impact of Early Childhood Preventive Interventions." Prevention Science. Vol. 23 (2022): 192-203 [Impact Factor: 4.52]
[20] Block, Ray, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Quin Monson. "Are Americans Less Likely to Reply to Emails from Black People Relative to White People?" Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol. 118, no. 52 (2021): e2110347118 [Impact Factor: 12.78]
[20] Block, Ray, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Quin Monson. "Are Americans Less Likely to Reply to Emails from Black People Relative to White People?" Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol. 118, no. 52 (2021): e2110347118 [Impact Factor: 12.78]
[19] Pfaff, Steven, Charles Crabtree, Holger L. Kern, and John B. Holbein. "Do Street‐Level Bureaucrats Discriminate Based on Religion? A Large‐Scale Correspondence Experiment among American Public School Principals" Public Administration Review. Vol. 81, no. 2 (2021): 244-259 [Impact Factor: 8.14]
[19] Pfaff, Steven, Charles Crabtree, Holger L. Kern, and John B. Holbein. "Do Street‐Level Bureaucrats Discriminate Based on Religion? A Large‐Scale Correspondence Experiment among American Public School Principals" Public Administration Review. Vol. 81, no. 2 (2021): 244-259 [Impact Factor: 8.14]
[18] Easton, Matt and John B. Holbein. "The Democracy of Dating: How Political Affiliations Shape Relationship Formation." Journal of Experimental Political Science. Vol. 8, no. 3 (2021): 260-272. [Impact Factor: 1.66]
[18] Easton, Matt and John B. Holbein. "The Democracy of Dating: How Political Affiliations Shape Relationship Formation." Journal of Experimental Political Science. Vol. 8, no. 3 (2021): 260-272. [Impact Factor: 1.66]
[17] Barber, Michael and John B. Holbein. "The Participatory and Partisan Impacts of Mandatory Vote-by-Mail" Science Advances Vol. 6, no. 35 (2020): eabc7685 [Impact Factor: 14.14]
[17] Barber, Michael and John B. Holbein. "The Participatory and Partisan Impacts of Mandatory Vote-by-Mail" Science Advances Vol. 6, no. 35 (2020): eabc7685 [Impact Factor: 14.14]
[16] Hassell, Hans, John B. Holbein, and Matthew Baldwin. "Mobilize for Our Lives? School Shootings and Democratic Accountability in U.S. Elections" American Political Science Review. Vol. 114, no. 4 (2020): 1375-1385 [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[16] Hassell, Hans, John B. Holbein, and Matthew Baldwin. "Mobilize for Our Lives? School Shootings and Democratic Accountability in U.S. Elections" American Political Science Review. Vol. 114, no. 4 (2020): 1375-1385 [Impact Factor: 8.5]
★ Best Paper in Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior Award [American Political Science Association; 2020]
★ Best Paper in Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior Award [American Political Science Association; 2020]
[15] Holbein, John B. and Marcos Rangel. "Does Voting Have Upstream and Downstream Consequences? Regression Discontinuity Tests of the Transformative Voting Hypothesis." The Journal of Politics. Vol. 82, no. 4 (2020): 1196-1216 [Impact Factor: 3.46]
[15] Holbein, John B. and Marcos Rangel. "Does Voting Have Upstream and Downstream Consequences? Regression Discontinuity Tests of the Transformative Voting Hypothesis." The Journal of Politics. Vol. 82, no. 4 (2020): 1196-1216 [Impact Factor: 3.46]
[14] Holbein, John B., D. Sunshine Hillygus, Matthew A. Lenard, Christina Gibson-Davis, Darryl V. Hill, and. "The Development of Students’ Engagement in School, Community, and Democracy" British Journal of Political Science. Vol. 50, no. 4 (2020): 1439-1457 [Impact Factor: 5.62]
[14] Holbein, John B., D. Sunshine Hillygus, Matthew A. Lenard, Christina Gibson-Davis, Darryl V. Hill, and. "The Development of Students’ Engagement in School, Community, and Democracy" British Journal of Political Science. Vol. 50, no. 4 (2020): 1439-1457 [Impact Factor: 5.62]
[13] Hassell, Hans, John B. Holbein, and Matt Miles. "There Is No Liberal Media Bias in Which News Stories Political Journalists Choose to Cover" Science Advances Vol. 6, no. 14 (2020): eaay9344 [Impact Factor: 14.14]
[13] Hassell, Hans, John B. Holbein, and Matt Miles. "There Is No Liberal Media Bias in Which News Stories Political Journalists Choose to Cover" Science Advances Vol. 6, no. 14 (2020): eaay9344 [Impact Factor: 14.14]
[12] Akee, Randall, William Copeland, John B. Holbein, and Emilia Simeonova. "Human Capital and Voting Behavior across Generations: Evidence from an Income Intervention." American Political Science Review 114, no. 2 (2020): 609-616 [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[12] Akee, Randall, William Copeland, John B. Holbein, and Emilia Simeonova. "Human Capital and Voting Behavior across Generations: Evidence from an Income Intervention." American Political Science Review 114, no. 2 (2020): 609-616 [Impact Factor: 8.5]
★ Best Paper in Political Behavior [Midwest Political Science Association, 2018]
★ Best Paper in Political Behavior [Midwest Political Science Association, 2018]
[11] Dynes, Adam and John B. Holbein. "Noisy Retrospection: The Effect of Party Control on Policy Outcomes" American Political Science Review 114, no. 1 (2020): 237-257. [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[11] Dynes, Adam and John B. Holbein. "Noisy Retrospection: The Effect of Party Control on Policy Outcomes" American Political Science Review 114, no. 1 (2020): 237-257. [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[10] Schafer, Jerome and John B. Holbein. "When Time Is of the Essence: A Natural Experiment on How Time Constraints Influence Elections" The Journal of Politics 82, no. 2 (2020): 418-432 [Impact Factor: 3.46]
[10] Schafer, Jerome and John B. Holbein. "When Time Is of the Essence: A Natural Experiment on How Time Constraints Influence Elections" The Journal of Politics 82, no. 2 (2020): 418-432 [Impact Factor: 3.46]
[9] Fraga, Bernard and John B. Holbein. "Measuring Youth and College Student Voter Turnout." Electoral Studies 65, no. 3 (2020). [Impact Factor: 2.08]
[9] Fraga, Bernard and John B. Holbein. "Measuring Youth and College Student Voter Turnout." Electoral Studies 65, no. 3 (2020). [Impact Factor: 2.08]
[8] Holbein, John B., Jerome Schafer, and David Dickinson. "Insufficient Sleep Reduces Voting and Other Prosocial Behaviors." Nature Human Behaviour 3, May (2019): 492-500. [Impact Factor: 24.25]
[8] Holbein, John B., Jerome Schafer, and David Dickinson. "Insufficient Sleep Reduces Voting and Other Prosocial Behaviors." Nature Human Behaviour 3, May (2019): 492-500. [Impact Factor: 24.25]
[7] Carnes, Nicholas and John B. Holbein. "Do Public Officials Exhibit Social Class Biases when they Handle Casework? Evidence from Multiple Correspondence Experiments" PLOS ONE 14, no. 3 (2019). [Impact Factor: 3.75]
[7] Carnes, Nicholas and John B. Holbein. "Do Public Officials Exhibit Social Class Biases when they Handle Casework? Evidence from Multiple Correspondence Experiments" PLOS ONE 14, no. 3 (2019). [Impact Factor: 3.75]
[6] Holbein, John B. and Hans J.G. Hassell. "When Your Group Fails: The Effect of Race-Based Performance Signals on Citizen Voice and Exit" Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 29, no. 2 (2019): 268–286. [Impact Factor: 7.7]
[6] Holbein, John B. and Hans J.G. Hassell. "When Your Group Fails: The Effect of Race-Based Performance Signals on Citizen Voice and Exit" Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 29, no. 2 (2019): 268–286. [Impact Factor: 7.7]
★ Beryl A. Radin Award for the best article in Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory [Public Management Research Association, 2019]
★ Beryl A. Radin Award for the best article in Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory [Public Management Research Association, 2019]
[5] Holbein, John B. “Childhood Skill Development and Adult Political Participation.” American Political Science Review 111, no. 3 (2017): 572-583. [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[5] Holbein, John B. “Childhood Skill Development and Adult Political Participation.” American Political Science Review 111, no. 3 (2017): 572-583. [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[4] Holbein, John B. & Helen F. Ladd. “Accountability pressure: Regression discontinuity estimates of how No Child Left Behind influenced student behavior.” Economics of Education Review 58 (2017): 55-67 [Impact Factor: 2.24]
[4] Holbein, John B. & Helen F. Ladd. “Accountability pressure: Regression discontinuity estimates of how No Child Left Behind influenced student behavior.” Economics of Education Review 58 (2017): 55-67 [Impact Factor: 2.24]
[3] Ladd, Helen F., Charles T. Clotfelter, and John B. Holbein. “The Growing Segmentation of the Charter School Market in North Carolina” Education Finance and Policy 12, no. 4 (2017): 536-563. [Impact factor: 1.78]
[3] Ladd, Helen F., Charles T. Clotfelter, and John B. Holbein. “The Growing Segmentation of the Charter School Market in North Carolina” Education Finance and Policy 12, no. 4 (2017): 536-563. [Impact factor: 1.78]
[2] Holbein, John B. “Left Behind? Citizen Responsiveness to Government Performance Information.” American Political Science Review 110, no. 2 (2016): 353-368. [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[2] Holbein, John B. “Left Behind? Citizen Responsiveness to Government Performance Information.” American Political Science Review 110, no. 2 (2016): 353-368. [Impact Factor: 8.5]
[1] Holbein, John B. and D. Sunshine Hillygus. "Making Young Voters: The Impact of Preregistration on Youth Turnout." American Journal of Political Science 60, no. 2 (2016): 364-382 [Correction] [Additional analysis]. [Impact Factor: 6.08]
[1] Holbein, John B. and D. Sunshine Hillygus. "Making Young Voters: The Impact of Preregistration on Youth Turnout." American Journal of Political Science 60, no. 2 (2016): 364-382 [Correction] [Additional analysis]. [Impact Factor: 6.08]
Working Papers
Working Papers
[7] Michael Gaddis, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Steve Pfaff. "Local Political Party Voting Context Moderates Public School Principals’ Levels of Racial/Ethnic Discrimination" Under Review
[7] Michael Gaddis, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Steve Pfaff. "Local Political Party Voting Context Moderates Public School Principals’ Levels of Racial/Ethnic Discrimination" Under Review
[6] Gaddis, S. Michael, Edvard Nergård Larsen, Charles Crabtree, and John B. Holbein. "How Prevalent is Racial Discrimination Against Black and Hispanic Americans Across Contexts? A Meta-Analysis of Correspondence Audits." Under Review
[6] Gaddis, S. Michael, Edvard Nergård Larsen, Charles Crabtree, and John B. Holbein. "How Prevalent is Racial Discrimination Against Black and Hispanic Americans Across Contexts? A Meta-Analysis of Correspondence Audits." Under Review
[5] Michael Gaddis, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Steve Pfaff. "Racial/Ethnic Discrimination in Interactions with the U.S. Public Education System: A Correspondence Audit of Principals." Under Review
[5] Michael Gaddis, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Steve Pfaff. "Racial/Ethnic Discrimination in Interactions with the U.S. Public Education System: A Correspondence Audit of Principals." Under Review
[4] Gaddis, S. Michael, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Edvard Nergård Larsen. "Changes in the amount and type of social science research on discrimination: 1950 to 2015" Under Review
[4] Gaddis, S. Michael, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Edvard Nergård Larsen. "Changes in the amount and type of social science research on discrimination: 1950 to 2015" Under Review
[3] Hans Hassell and John B. Holbein. "George Floyd’s Murder Prompted Thousands of Americans to Register to Vote." Under Review
[3] Hans Hassell and John B. Holbein. "George Floyd’s Murder Prompted Thousands of Americans to Register to Vote." Under Review
[2] Gaddis, S. Michael, Natasha Quadlin, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Edvard Nergård Larsen. "Intersectional Discrimination: A Meta-Analysis of Gendered Racial Discrimination and Racialized Gender Discrimination using Correspondence Audits"
[2] Gaddis, S. Michael, Natasha Quadlin, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein, and Edvard Nergård Larsen. "Intersectional Discrimination: A Meta-Analysis of Gendered Racial Discrimination and Racialized Gender Discrimination using Correspondence Audits"
[1] D'Wayne Bell, John B. Holbein, Sam Imlay, and Jonathan Smith. "Which Colleges Increase Voting Rates?" Under Review
[1] D'Wayne Bell, John B. Holbein, Sam Imlay, and Jonathan Smith. "Which Colleges Increase Voting Rates?" Under Review
