Working Papers on Performance, Luck, and Strategy
Rahmandad, H., Denrell, J., & Prelec, D. Do experience and markets eliminate opportunities due to poor dynamic decision making?
Denrell, J. Liu, C., Maslach, D. & Barnett, W. P. When Do Reinforcing Processes Make Repeated Successes A Misleading Indicator of Quality?
Liu, C., & Denrell, J., Strong effects of regression to the mean can lead to non-monotonic performance associations: Empirical evidence from sports and firm performances.
Denrell, J. Failure in Selection Systems is not Informative about Skill
Working Papers on Learning and Decision Making
Denrell, J. When Does Variability Strengthen Bayesian Updating?
Denrell, J., Sanborn, A., and J. Spicer. Learning from Missing Feedback: Exemplar versus Rule-Based Models.
Sundh, J. and Denrell, J.. Why does contingent averaging work well for predicting probabilities?
Denrell, J. Adaptive sampling policies imply biased beliefs: a generalization of the hot stove effect.
Working Papers on Organizations and Learning
Denrell, J., Christensen, M., Knudsen, T., & Liu, C. New Perspectives on Exploration and Exploitation: When Learning Fast Is Superior to Slow Learning.
Denrell, J. Information Theory of Atypicality Discounting.
Luukkonen, J. O. ,Denrell, J, and N. Chater. Intellectual Leveraging: Social Learning May Lead to Larger Populations But Greater Fragility