Published Popular Work
Analysis, Opinion, and Blogs
Here's What the Pandemic Is Doing to Trump's Reelection Prospects. New America Weekly. Published May 14, 2020.
An analysis combining public opinion polls and election predictions based on leading economic indicators (LEIs) to assess the impact of coronavirus on President Trump's reelection prospects. Using local economic data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, I synthesize an LEI-based perspective with one simply based on favorability for a POTUS whose favorability has remained remarkably consistent (albeit low).
Florida's Poll Tax Shows We've Ignored the Lessons of Jim Crow. New America Weekly. Published March 12, 2020.
An analytical opinion piece that contextualizes Florida's Amendment 4 / SB 7066 in a broader historical frame of Jim Crow voter suppression. Combines independent analysis and synthesis from existing literature.
Juvenile Justice in the 21st Century: Sifting Through the Trends (series). Coalition for Juvenile justice blog. Published January 29, 2018 and April 03, 2018.
Using data from the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) for 2017, I present summary statistics for demographics (race, gender, etc.) and criminal penalty distribution, and offer commentary on trends for youth in juvenile detention.
Foreign-born Clinicians Essential to Underserved Populations. Healthforce Center blog. Published February 17, 2017.
During the first iteration of what is commonly referred to as President Trump's first travel ban, and prompted by work done in support of a blog post from the California Health Care Foundation (CHCF), I used ACS data to estimate the number of foreign-born medical clinicians in the U.S. and assess their importance for health care in California.
During the Trump administration's efforts to repeal and replace the ACA (Obamacare) in early 2017, former Senator John McCain made national headlines for a dramatic vote that ultimately sank the effort and dealt an early blow to the administration. I took a look at the data to see what polling told us about ACA public opinion at the time.
Policy Research
Healthforce Center / Philip R. Lee Institute for Health Policy Studies (UC San Francisco)
California's Primary Care Workforce — multi-part report.
Supply Characteristics, and Pipeline (report 1). An assessment of California's supply of primary care providers (MD physicians, PAs, and advance practice RNs) across a multitude of data sources. Dimensions that were analyzed include geographic distribution, racial and ethnic composition, and years of clinical experience.
Forecasted Supply, Demand, and Pipeline of Trainees, 2016-2030 (report 2). A forecast of primary care providers using projections built on report 1 as well as estimates of demand from the California Health Interview Study (CHIS) and privately obtained data on clinician trainees from individual programs.
California's Current and Future Behavioral Health Workforce. An analysis of the current and expected future supply of behavioral health professionals (e.g., therapists and psychologists) with a particular focus on areas with disparities between need and supply (e.g., California's San Joaquin Valley).
Evaluation of California's Community Paramedicine Program. Evaluation project conducted on behalf of the California Health Care Foundation (CHCF) and California Emergency Medical Services Authority (CalEMSA) looking at cost and effectiveness of various community paramedicine pilot programs in California. Programs included alternate transportation for patients exhibiting adverse effects from intoxication or behavioral health experiences.
Posts to Medium and Other Personal Publication
A few select posts that I have published to Medium and other personal outlets:
Economic data shows a storm brewing for some must-win Trump counties, stronger footing in others. Published May 7, 2020.
A brief survey of what local-level BLS economic data suggest for Donald Trump's reelection chances in swing states and pivot counties (i.e. counties that voted twice for Barack Obama and then Donald Trump in 2016). Updated to reflect most recent Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) data as it becomes available.
Medicare For All: 'Yes, And...'. (curated as part of Medium's Politics collection). Published January 29, 2019.
In January 2019, the leading Democratic presidential candidates (Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, but also Kamala Harris) began openly advocating for their versions of universal health care in the United States. Leaning on the Medicare for All legislation supported in the House by Pramila Jayapal and others, I conducted a brief policy analysis of Medicare for All with a particular focus on what universal insurance coverage would mean for the actual delivery and availability of care.
Your anti-Russian politics are bad and you should feel bad. Published September 25, 2018.
A very brief, personal post describing the perception of popular political sloganeering among Russian-Americans. In short, politicians should be respectful and mindful with their campaign rhetoric — this is doubly true for Democrats that run on tolerance and open-mindedness.
An Optimist's Take on the 2016 Presidential Election. Published January 12, 2017.
Written shortly after Donald Trump's inauguration, this post offered an optimistic look at the outcome. I posed a question: Would there be a 'pressure makes diamonds' kind of moment driven by the election of Donald Trump? In other words, could the unavoidable complacency of the Obama era be shaken into action by the Trump era? The case remains open, but this early reaction may contain questions still worth considering.
Government Business Council
Is the Federal Government Ready for AI? Survey Highlights. Insights, GovExec.com. Published in May 2019.
Using a survey of hundreds of federal government employees — including technical experts — I wrote up an analysis of the federal government's readiness with regards to artificial intelligence (AI). The report analyzes the full survey findings, including breakouts by demographic group and professional function in the government.
Findings were cited in several conversations by federal Chief Information Officer (CIO) Suzette Kent, and were mentioned in a number of media publications (citations forthcoming).
Sponsored by Dell EMC and Vion Corporation.
Surveying the Federal Shutdown: Behind the Numbers. Insights, GovExec.com. Published in January 2019.
January 2019
Winter 2018-2019 saw the longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history, shuttering agencies, national parks, and salaries to furloughed employees for 35 days. Using a survey fielded to a diverse sample of federal government employees, my GBC colleagues and I wrote up public opinion around both the shutdown itself and the underlying drivers.
Quick highlights: While some federal government respondents supported both the construction of a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border and the shutdown, a majority of respondents both. Support among Republicans and active duty/civilian military respondents was higher for both the wall and the shutdown. At one point during the shutdown, just one-quarter of respondents were not confident or only slightly confident that they would receive backpay for the furlough period.
This report also saw some media coverage (citations forthcoming).
Journalism
February - March 2019
Various contributions. Waste Dive. Published between February and March 2019. Analyzing primary documents and secondary reports, I provided short-form reporting to Waste Dive on topics including New York State's 'bottle ban' as well as a report on conditions at a waste site that resulted in a worker death.
