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Pick #1 Duke Dave
9th Place
Best Pick - CJ Cox Purdue (2nd best 9th Round pick) 39 points
Worst Pick - Xavaian Lee Florida (worst 2nd round pick) 27 pts
Odds 5-1
Tough year to have the top pick but it was a no brainer. Boozer got him points also, finishing 4th overall despite not making the Final 4. Dave's 2nd rounder (Florida) hurt him and in the end he never got any upsets he needed from his mid seed picks (Kansas, Texas Tech, Vandy). Next year Dave.
Pick #2 - Harry
3rd Place
Best Pick - Alex "My 12th year of eligibility" Karaban UCONN (Top 4th Round pick) 97 Pts
Worst Pick - Nolan Winter WISC (2nd Worst 8th Round Pick) 8 Pts
Odds 10.5-1
Yes, I had way too many Big East players and the wrong ones at that. I needed the Zags to go deeper and my second half of the draft picks were nothing short of atrocious.
Pick #3 - Rob & Josh
2nd Place
Best Pick - Jamarques Lawrence NEB (2nd best 11th Round pick) 31 Pts
Worst Pick - Anthony Dell'Orso ARZ (4th Worst 7th Round pick) 25 Pts (this pick demonstrates why the strategy of just longevity does not work, this pick played five games and averaged only 5 a game).
Odds 10-1
The Pritchard philosophy is the polar opposite of the Joe Doc stratgey. While Joe seeks out the gunslingers the Pritchard boys value longevity first and foremost and almost exclusively. Problem is that means that while they didn't make any bad picks, they also didn't make any good picks (Only one player above 80, only two above 70, only three above 60 and half the team at 43 or below) . Josh was feelin mighty good after getting all 11 through to the sweet 16 and requested an odds revision but your humble commissioner told him, it's a marathon, not sprint young man. sure enough, The Pritchard guys crossed the line but got lapped by Kel's crew who had the same longevity but much more potent scoring. The good news is some minor tweaks (stay away from those single digit average guys a la Dell'Orso) and they just might take it one of these years.
Pick #4 - Ben
5th Place
Best Pick - Stirtz IOWA (Top 9th Round pick) 73 Pts
Worst Pick - Boyd WISC (Worst 2nd Rounder) 27 pts
Odds 6-1
The early rounds killed our hero. Getting only 4 games out of your top 3 picks is a recipe for last place but Ben showed his prowess in the mid late rounds maybe making the pick of the draft outside Kel's Reed in Stirtz in the 9th putting up 73. Ben also picked the player with the best nicknames in the pool (Avila). Cream Adbul Jabaar, Larry Nerd, Milk Chamberlain among others.
Pick #5 Kelly
CHAMP
Best Pick - Reed UCONN (Top 3rd Round pick, top scorer in the draft and best pick of the draft) 117 Pts
Worst Pick - Hoiberg NEB (6th Worst Round 10 Pick) {This is how good his draft was, his WORST pick was a middle of the pack pick.}
Odds 5-1
Came within a meager 3 points of his own thought to be unbreakable point total record. He did not have a single bad pick. He single handedly upheld the 11th Round getting more than 25% of the points in that round total with his High Point pick so even his 12th rounder 12-16 guy was a great pick (again telling me I should never take a 12-16 early). Another run for the ages from the load-up king. Like in professional sports, how long until his strategies are copied? While Kel's two wins have been most impressive ones, he still has some work to do though as the next step for him is to join the 3 or more club. Current members in this group are Duke Dave, Harry, Ken and Big Mur (Ken and Big Mur have wins that predate 2007). If not before, it could happen in 2036, Kel seems to like the years ending in 6 when he goes beserk on points (2016 was his record year and 2026 he came within 3 points).
Pick #6 Joe
4th Place
Best Pick - Wagler ILL (Top 2nd rounder) 90 Pts
Worst Pick - Chinyelu FLA (Worst 4th rounder) 14 Pts
Odds 7-1
Joe is the pool gunslinger. All about firepower. It worked for him his rookie year so we can't knock it. With a little more bottom half of the draft production and a better 4th round pick, Joe would have made a run. He did have a very solid start to the draft with his first three picks all ending up top 20.
Pick #7 Ken
10th Place
Best Pick - Wrightsell BAMA (2nd best 7th Rounder) 50 Pts
Worst Pick - White KU (worst 6th rounder) 16 Pts
Odds 999,999 to one
In the age of the top seeds advancing more often than not, KK's load up on the 4-6 seed teams strategy was doomed from the start. He didn't get any upsets he needed to contend but Mur Sr saved him from the basement this year.
Pick #8 Mur Jr
7th Place
Best Pick - Ivisic ILL (Top 8th Rounder) 64 PTs
Worst Pick - Bilodeau UCLA (worst 3rd rounder) 20 PTs
Odds 7-1
Mur Jr had a low scoring round one and had to wait until round two to have a player score more than 17. Most of his guys put up 15 or less each game with 9 single digit scoring games which sealed his fate this year. As usual, if Mur Jr didn't have bad luck, he'd have no luck. He dod reclaim the Murray household title this year from dear old Dad, so bragging rights are his for now!
Pick #9 Andy
6th Place
Best Pick - Mckenney Mich (3rd best 5th Rounder) 72 Pts
Worst Pick - Boogie Wonderland Fland FLA (3rd worst 3rd rounder) 23 Pts
Odds 5-1
Andy needed his top 5 intact until the final 4 (all 1 seeds) but Florida's early exit hurt him this year. He also like most of us, didn't find the mid seed upset in the later rounds so a middle of the pack finish. Unless he had a side bet with Ben (who he lost to by one point), The Boopie pick didn't hurt him, so I'd glad about that.
Pick #10 Jim and Joe
8th PLace
Best Pick - Stojakovic ILL (2nd best 3rd Rounder) 69 Pts
Worst Pick - Wagner ARK (Worst 9th Rounder) 16 PTs
Odds 5-1
Jim & Joe, known for finding late round gems, had their magic elude them this year as the pickens in late rounds were very slim. Their last five picks averaged only 13 points for the tournament. With no stud at the top end (having picked 10th) there was simply no hay to be made this year for the Spanish Joe and his Dad. Joe gets points for participating live from Spain this year.
Pick #11 Mur Sr (Defending Champ-een)
11th PLace (Penthouse to Outhouse)
Best Pick - Zuby SJU (6th best pick of the 6th round)
Worst Pick - The rest
Odds 6-1
Big Mur would probably be the first to tell you that second place is just the best loser so you may as well just go for it and he did. The fact that his best pick was the 6th best in the 6th round tells you that Mur Sr maybe should have paid more attention to his "page ten" guys he loves to point out this year, but again - we can hardly fault his strategies as a three time Champ.
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Scoring by Round:
Round 1 675 (WAY down from 889 - a 24% drop!)
Round 2 639 (SPOT on exactly the same number as last year)
Round 3 565 (13% Higher)
Round 4 550 (7% Higher)
Round 5 575 (WAY Higher = 32% Increase! - Half of the players picked went to the Final 4)
Round 6 387 (24% Higher)
Round 7 321 (12% Lower)
Round 8 338 (41% Higher)
Round 9 301 (13% Higher)
Round 10 257 (9% Higher)
Round 11 224 (9% Higher)
For the first time in recent memory none of the lower rounds outscored a higher round (usually Round 4 outscores 3 for some reason)
Total scoring was up 5% (4,832 total points vs 4,595 last year), not a huge number but the round by round differences are very unusual. Clearly there was a lack of
"can't miss" top picks as first round scoring was way down and all other rounds but the 7th were up mostly double digits percentage wise. Not a good year to be a high picker.My "putrid pick index" is way down this year. This is an indicator of how bad we did. Last year 17% of the pool fell into the putrid index (15 total points or less). This year we had only a 12% putrid Index factor. Well done all. Contributors to the putrid index was fairly well distributed but Jim & Joe led the way with 3 players in the index, Andy, Joe, Harry, Mur Sr and Mur Jr all had 2, Ben and Ken had 1, and Kelly, Dave and Rob & Josh avoided the index.
8 of the top 15 scorers made the Final 4.
The lowest total for a player playing the final 4 was 24 (Harry's Silas Demary of UCONN). Lowest Final 4 player last year got 9 (Duke's Evans who this year put up 65 for Kelly and landed in the top 20).
Rob and Josh continued their trend and for the third straight year had the most games played AND least points per game (two second places and a last place). Their 43 games tied Kelly but they averaged 12.1 per player while the champ got 14.4.
Ken's 23 games ties a three year low; and JoeDoc for the third straight year by far and away had the highest per game avg this year of 16.6, next closest was 15.7 (Harry).
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