Abstract
Asymmetric information can distort market outcomes and harm welfare. This paper examines how cheaper access to review platforms affects consumer behavior and firms’ incentives to improve product quality in markets where information is traditionally limited. I first develop a consumer search model with firms making endogenous quality decisions. The model predicts that lower search costs shift demand toward higher-quality producers, raising firms’ incentives to upgrade quality, especially for firms selling ex-ante lower-quality products. I then use online ratings as a proxy for reduced consumer search costs and estimate their impact on the restaurant industry in Rome, leveraging the abolition of mobile roaming charges in the EU in 2017 for identification. Using a unique dataset that combines monthly Tripadvisor information with administrative social-security records, I find that revenues and total employment in higher-rated restaurants increased by 4–10% after the internet price drop. The effects were particularly strong for less visible high-rated establishments, indicating a complementarity between ratings and navigation platforms. Meanwhile, the probability for lower-rated restaurants to exit the market doubled, while surviving lower-rated establishments hired workers with higher wages and better experience, ultimately improving their online reputation. These findings highlight the significant role of review platforms in mitigating asymmetric information and fostering quality upgrades.
Abstract
How does the internet affect young people's mental health? We study this question in the context of Italy using administrative data on the universe of cases of mental disorders diagnosed in Italian hospitals between 2001 and 2013, which we combine with information on the availability of high-speed internet at the municipal level. Our identification strategy exploits differences in the proximity of municipalities to the pre-existing voice telecommunication infrastructure, which was previously irrelevant but became salient after the advent of the internet. We find that access to high-speed internet has a harmful effect on mental health for young cohorts but not for older ones. In particular, internet access is associated with an increase in diagnoses of depression, anxiety, drug abuse, and personality disorders-- for both males and females - and of eating and sleep disorders - for females only. We find similar results for urgent and compulsory hospitalizations and self-harm episodes. These results suggest that the effect of broadband is driven by a rise in the underlying prevalence of mental disorders and not merely by increased awareness about these pathologies.
I exploit the staggered introduction of 3G mobile Internet technology across South Africa to estimate its impact on political participation, electoral competition, voters’ preferences, and protests. Combining granular coverage data with administrative records on municipal elections, I show that in 2016 mobile Internet availability caused a 2-percentage-point increase in voter turnout and a 3-percentage-point reduction in the vote share of the ruling party. The main opponents gained from mobile Internet arrival. The number of parties running for election and the number of protests grew. I provide suggestive evidence that both information and coordination mechanisms could explain the observed results.
[Media: Promarket, CBS Insights]
Abstract
This paper investigates the short-run effects of platform market concentration on advertising prices, leveraging the temporary TikTok app outage in January 2025 in the US as a quasi-exogenous shock to advertising demand and supply on other social media platforms. While increased demand from advertisers on other platforms would drive prices upward, more impression opportunities from users substituting to those platforms would drive prices downward, creating opposing forces on ad prices. We rely on publicly available data from the Meta Ad Library and construct a time series of ad spend and impressions across 30,000 advertisers. Using a difference-in-differences approach comparing ads in the US and other markets, we find that the average cost per thousand impressions (CPM) increased by 10% on Meta platforms as a result of the outage. This price increase was driven by intensified competition on the demand side, with higher spend and more ads--especially among larger advertisers--that were not compensated by a proportional rise in impressions. The greater shift by relatively larger advertisers suggests that Meta platforms are a better substitute for them than for smaller ones. This implies that a TikTok ban would impose a disproportionate burden on small businesses.
[Media and blogs: Digital Development, The World Bank, Chora Media Podcast]
Abstract
This study uses a cluster randomized controlled trial to evaluate the impact of a nationwide malaria prevention advertising campaign delivered through social media in India. Ads were randomly assigned at the district level, and the study relies on data from two independently recruited samples (8,257 individuals) and administrative records. Among users residing in solid (concrete) dwellings, where malaria risk is lower, the campaign led to an 11 percent increase in mosquito net usage and a 13 percent increase in timely treatment seeking. Self-reported malaria incidence decreased by 44 percent. Consistently, recorded health facility data indicate a reduction in urban monthly incidence of 6.2 cases per million people, corresponding to 30 percent of the overall monthly incidence rate of malaria. Conversely, the study finds no impact on households living in non-solid dwellings, which face higher malaria risk, nor among rural settlements where such dwellings are more prevalent. To disentangle if this lack of impact stems from ineffective content or insufficient reach, an individual-level trial was conducted (1,542 individuals), ensuring campaign exposure for both household types. The findings indicate an increase in bed net usage and timely treatment seeking for both groups, underscoring the need for improved targeting in social media campaigns to fulfill public health goals.
[Media and blogs: Voices, The World Bank]
Abstract
Virtual Lab is an open-source set of tools for online recruitment, intervention, and surveying via digital advertising and social-media platforms. It was built specifically for researchers and policymakers. It can be used to perform impact evaluations, inform the targeting of large-scale digital ad campaigns, collect and visualize cross-sectional survey data in real time, or build high-frequency longitudinal panel surveys. This manual provides an introduction to the survey theory underpinning Virtual Lab, lays out detailed guidelines for designing online studies within the platform, shares costs data and lessons learned from recent trials, and lays out promising areas for future research. Virtual Lab can be self-hosted on private or public cloud infrastructure. All code is open source. Further details about this platform, including the code to independently run it, can be found at https://vlab.digital.
"Marketing Gender Norms: A Social Media Experiment in India", joint with Victor Orozco (The World Bank) and Nandan Rao (UAB and BGSE), World Bank Working Paper Series 2022
[Media and blogs: Let's Talk Development, The World Bank]
Abstract
We conducted a field experiment on Facebook Messenger to evaluate the effectiveness of two social marketing video series at reshaping gender norms and reducing social acceptability of violence against women in India. To test different formats, we randomly invited participants to watch either a humorous fictitious drama (implicit format) or a documentary with clear calls to action (explicit format), or a placebo series (control). Our results show that the fictitious drama was more successful in facilitating attitudinal change, reducing the acceptability of regressive gender norms and violence against women by respectively 0.20 and 0.17 standard deviations. In contrast, the documentary was more effective in encouraging behavioral change, influencing the willingness to share the videos and promoting information-seeking behaviors. Moreover, in the medium term, documentary viewers were 91% more likely to add a frame anti-violence against women to their Facebook profile picture, a public commitment to social action. The absence of heterogeneous effects across socioeconomic indicators suggests that social media could be a viable platform for conveying social marketing campaigns to marginalized communities.