Prof. Dr. Christoph Trebesch
Professor and Director of Research Area "International Finance and Macroeconomics"
Kiel Institute for the World Economy and Department of Economics, Kiel University
Research Affiliate of CEPR, Research Fellow of CESifo
Member, Academic Advisory Board, German Ministry of Finance
Please contact me via email: christoph.trebesch@ifw-kiel.de
Recent Research:
Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century, with Kris Mitchener, forthcoming, Journal of Economic Literature
Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo, with Josefin Meyer and Carmen Reinhart, forthcoming, Quarterly Journal of Economics
Political Booms, Financial Crises, with Helios Herrera and Guillermo Ordonez, Journal of Political Economy, 2020.
Coping with Disasters: Two Centuries of International Official Lending, with Sebastian Horn and Carmen Reinhart, NBER Working Paper 27343
Populist Leaders and the Economy, with Manuel Funke and Moritz Schularick, R&R at the American Economic Review
China's Overseas Lending, with Sebastian Horn and Carmen Reinhart, forthcoming Journal of International Economics
The older July 2019 version is here, issued as Kiel Institute WP and NBER WP No. 26050.
Click here, for the China debt stock dataset by country and year, 2000-2017
Sovereign Defaults in Court, March 2018, ECB and CEPR Working Papers, with Julian Schumacher and Henrik Enderlein, forthcoming
Journal of International EconomicsNEW paper: How China Lends: A Rare Look into 100 Debt Contracts with Foreign Governments, March 2021, with Anna Gelpern, Sebastian Horn, Scott Morris and Bradley Parks
NEW: Update of monthly sovereign default dataset (Asonuma/Trebesch): see here
Recent Media Coverage and Outreach:
March 2021: My coauthor and former PhD student Sebastian Horn was invited to testify before U.S. Congress (House Financial Services Committee) and summarized our two joint research papers on China's overseas lending
March 2021: Our paper "How China Lends" was covered by the Economist, Financial Times, Washington Post, Reuters, Spiegel, FAZ, SZ, Die Zeit
March 2021: Vox.eu column on The cost of populism: evidence from history
October 2020: Our paper on populists and the economy was covered by Der Spiegel.
September 2020: "The Debt Pandemic: New steps are needed", IMF Finance & Development (with Bulow, Reinhart and Rogoff)
April 2020: Vox.eu column on Coronabonds and the forgotten history of European community debt (based on Kiel Policy Brief)
March 2020: OpEd in Sueddeutsche Zeitung on why Germany can easily borrow now
March 2020: Vox.eu column on disasters and their international response (with Horn and Reinhart)
March 2020: OpEd in FAZ asking for European financial solidarity (with 6 other German economists), also in Le Monde, El Mundo, Fin. Dagblad
March 2020: Piece in LSE Business Review on our paper on political booms gone bust (with Herrera and Ordonez)
February 2020: Piece in Harvard Business Review on Chinese overseas lending (with Horn and Reinhart)
September 2019: OpEd in the FAZ based on our research on Germany's foreign investments and their low returns
2019/2020: Our paper on China's ovserases lending was covered in The Economist, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, NZZ, FAZ, Der Spiegel
June/July 2019: Our paper on the returns on Germany's foreign investments was covered in Die Zeit, FAZ, Süddeutsche, and NZZ
February 2019 column on Project Syndicate on pensions and asset returns (with Carmen Reinhart)
Our paper on sovereign bond returns and haircuts ("Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo") was covered in in NBER Digest, April 2019
as well as in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Bloomberg and FAZ
September 2018: column in Foreign Affairs on populism and financial crises (with Manuel Funke and Moritz Schularick)
Older, 2015 Portrait in Süddeutsche Zeitung