Political Booms, Financial Crises, NBER Working Paper, July 2014, with Helios Herrera and Guillermo Ordonez
Revise & Resubmit at the Journal of Political Economy
Global Cycles: Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015, with Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart.
Forthcoming in the American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings
The Pitfalls of External Dependence: Greece 1829-2015, NBER Working Paper 21664 and CEPR DP 10898, Oct. 2015, with Carmen Reinhart
forthcoming in the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
Going to Extremes: Politics after Financial Crises, 1870-2014, CEPR and CESifo WPs, Oct. 2015, with Manuel Funke and Moritz Schularick
Revise & Resubmit at the European Economic Review
Sovereign Debt Relief and its Aftermath, June 2015, with Carmen Reinhart ECB Interventions in Distressed Sovereign Debt Markets: The Case of Greek Bonds, CESifo WP No. 4731
accepted at the Journal of the European Economic Association (JEEA), an earlier version is available as NBER Working Paper 20577
March 2014, with Jeromin Zettelmeyer. Revise & Resubmit at the Review of Financial Studies Sovereign Defaults in Court, May 2014, with Julian Schumacher and Henrik Enderlein
Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts, with Juan Cruces (Paper, Appendix
- This paper was cited in the US Government Opinion and the French Government Opinion on the NML vs. Argentina case (Second Circuit/Supreme Court)
- Press Coverage: New York Times, Financial Times [2X: here and here], FT Alphaville [4X: here, here, here and here], FAZ, FAZ Sonntagszeitung, DER SPIEGEL, NZZ, ARD, Bloomberg
) *** NEW *** 2014 Update of Haircut Dataset, August 7, 2014.American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2013, 5(3), pp. 85–117.
The Greek Debt Restructuring: An Autopsy, CESifo WP 4333, July 2013, with Jeromin Zettelmeyer and Mitu Gulati
- Press Coverage: Wall Street Journal, Handelsblatt, Die Zeit, Die Welt, Financial Times, La Repubblica, Le Temps, Die Presse, Kathimerini, El Mundo, El Economista, Sydney Morning Herald, The Nikkei, Les Echos, Bloomberg / Business Week, Roubini, The Guardian (Data Blog), Le Monde (animation). See also Summary piece on VOX
A shorter version has been published in Economic Policy, 2013, 28(75), pp. 513-569.