Political Booms, Financial Crises, NBER Working Paper, July 2014, with Helios Herrera and Guillermo Ordonez
Revise & Resubmit at the Journal of Political Economy
The Effect of Labor Migration on the Diffusion of Democracy: Evidence from a Former Soviet Republic, with Toman Omar Mahmoud, Hillel Rapoport
and Andreas Steinmayr, CESifo WP 4389. Forthcoming in the American Economic Journal - Applied Economics
Global Cycles: Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015, with Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart.
Forthcoming in the American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings
The Pitfalls of External Dependence: Greece 1829-2015, NBER Working Paper 21664 and CEPR DP 10898, Oct. 2015, with Carmen Reinhart
Forthcoming in the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
Going to Extremes: Politics after Financial Crises, 1870-2014, CEPR and CESifo WPs, Oct. 2015, with Manuel Funke and Moritz SchularickECB Interventions in Distressed Sovereign Debt Markets: The Case of Greek Bonds, CESifo WP No. 4731
Forthcoming in the European Economic Review
March 2014, with Jeromin Zettelmeyer. Revise & Resubmit at the Review of Financial Studies Sovereign Defaults in Court, May 2014, with Julian Schumacher and Henrik Enderlein
Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts, with Juan Cruces (Paper, Appendix
- This paper was cited in the US Government Opinion and the French Government Opinion on the NML vs. Argentina case (Second Circuit/Supreme Court)
- Press Coverage: New York Times, Financial Times [2X: here and here], FT Alphaville [4X: here, here, here and here], FAZ, FAZ Sonntagszeitung, DER SPIEGEL, NZZ, ARD, Bloomberg
) *** NEW *** 2014 Update of Haircut Dataset, August 7, 2014.American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2013.
The Greek Debt Restructuring: An Autopsy, CESifo WP 4333, with Jeromin Zettelmeyer and Mitu Gulati
- Press Coverage: Wall Street Journal, Handelsblatt, Die Zeit, Die Welt, Financial Times, La Repubblica, Le Temps, Die Presse, Kathimerini, El Mundo, El Economista, Sydney Morning Herald, The Nikkei, Les Echos, Bloomberg / Business Week, Roubini, The Guardian (Data Blog), Le Monde (animation). See also Summary piece on VOX
A shorter version has been published in Economic Policy, 2013.