Working Papers
Statistics
Empirical Bayesian Estimation of Treatment Effects, 2018
A Mixture Model of Errors in Twin Education Reports, 2016.
Finite Mixture Models with One Exclusion Restriction, 2016
Inference Bounds on the Joint Distribution of Treatment Outcomes, 2014
Median Survival, Hazard Ratios and Bounding Drug Effectiveness, 2013
Identification in the Roy Model with an Application to Auctions, 2012.
Empirical Auctions
Identification and Estimation with Competing Auctions, 2010.
Identifying Demand from Online Auction Data, 2009
Identifying Demand in EBay Auctions, FTC Working Paper #272, 2004
Focusing on Demand: Using eBay data to analyze the demand for telescopes, with Laura Hosken, FTC Working Paper #257, 2003.
Pharmaceutical R&D
New Drug Development: Estimating entry from human clinical trials, with Van Brantner, FTC Working Paper #262, 2003.
Incentive Contracts
Is it Always Optimal to “Sell the Firm” to a Risk Neutral Agent? FTC Working Paper # 268, 2004.
Agent Discretion, Adverse Selection and the Risk-Incentive Trade Off, FTC Working Paper #255, 2003.
Does Size Really Matter? Empirical evidence on group incentives, FTC Working Paper #252, 2002.
Selection of “High Performance Work Systems” in U.S. Manufacturing, FTC Working Paper #247, 2002.
Decision Making
Decision Making Given Sample Data, 2010
Do Crowds Learn Wisdom? Theoretical and empirical evidence from the World Cup, 2008.
Estimating the Value of “Going For It” (When No One Does), under review at Journal of Sports Economics.