Resume
Financial Analysis Division
Congressional Budget Office
Ford House Office Building
Washington DC 20024
(703) 217-3625
christopherpadams@gmail.com
https://sites.google.com/site/christopherpadams/
Citizenship: United States and Australia
Current Position:
Principal Analyst, Congressional Budget Office
Previous Positions:
Economist, Federal Trade Commission
Adjunct Lecturer, Johns Hopkins University
Adjunct Lecturer, George Mason University Law School
Assistant Professor (Visiting), University of Vermont
Teaching Assistant, University of Wisconsin
Academic:
Ph.D. (Economics), University of Wisconsin
Masters of Science (Economics), University of Wisconsin
Masters of Commerce (Economics), University of Melbourne
Bachelor of Commerce (Honors), University of Melbourne
2019 to Present
2001 to 2019
2017 to Present
2014 to 2015
2000 to 2001
1995 to 1999
2001
1996
1993
1991
Research Areas:
Econometrics
Empirical Industrial Organization
Pharmaceutical R&D
Incentive Contracts
Published Papers:
Finite Mixture Models with One Exclusion Restriction, The Econometrics Journal, 19:150-165, 2016
‘Vettes and Lemons on eBay, with Laura Hosken and Peter Newberry, Quantitative Marketing and Economics, 9(2): 109-127, 2011.
The Sealed-Bid Abstraction in Online Auctions, with Robert Zeithammer, Marketing Science (Lead Article), 29(6): 964-987, 2010.
Causes and Implications of Some Bidders Not Conforming to the Sealed-Bid, with Robert Zeithammer, Marketing Science (Rejoinder), 29(6): 998-1000, 2010.
Spending on New Drug Development, with Van Brantner, Health Economics, 19(2):130-141, 2010.
Estimating Demand from eBay Prices, International Journal of Industrial Organization, 25(6): 1213-1232 (Symposium on Online Auctions), 2007.
Introduction to Online Auction Symposium, with Patrick Bajari, International Journal of Industrial Organization, 25(6): 1159-1162 (Symposium on Online Auctions), 2007.
Estimating the Cost of New Drug Development: Is it really $802m? with Van Brantner, Health Affairs, March/April: 420-428, 2006.
Optimal Team Incentives with CES Production, Economics Letters, 92: 143-148, 2006.
Pharmaceutical Development Phases: A duration analysis, with Rosa Abrantes-Metz and Albert Metz, Journal of Pharmaceutical Finance, Economics and Policy, 14(4): 19-42, 2005.
Empirical Facts and Innovation Market Analysis, with Rosa Abrantes-Metz and Albert Metz, Antitrust Source, March 2005.
The Use of Profit Sharing When Workers Make Decisions: Evidence from a Survey of Manufacturing Workers, in The Determinants of the Incidence and the Effects of Participatory Organizations, Takao Kato and Jeffery Pliskin (eds), chapter 7, volume 7, 2003, pp. 173-209, 2003.
Forthcoming Book
Learning Microeconometrics with R, CRC Press.
Other Research Papers:
Empirical Bayesian Estimation of Treatment Effects, 2018
Choice over Experiments, 2018
Stochastic Matrix Factorization, 2016
A Mixture Model of Measurement Error in Twin Education Reports, 2016
Inference Bounds on the Joint Distribution of Treatment Effects, 2014
Identification in the Roy Model with an Application to Auctions, 2012.
Decision Making Given Sample Data, 2010.
Do Crowds Learn Wisdom? Theoretical and empirical evidence from the World Cup, 2008.
Estimating the Value of “Going For It” (When No One Does), under review at Journal of Sports Economics.
Identifying Demand in EBay Auctions, FTC Working Paper #272, 2004
Is it Always Optimal to “Sell the Firm” to a Risk Neutral Agent? FTC Working Paper # 268, 2004.
New Drug Development: Estimating entry from human clinical trials, with Van Brantner, FTC Working Paper #262, 2003.
Focusing on Demand: Using eBay data to analyze the demand for telescopes, with Laura Hosken, FTC Working Paper #257, 2003.
Agent Discretion, Adverse Selection and the Risk-Incentive Trade Off, FTC Working Paper #255, 2003.
Does Size Really Matter? Empirical evidence on group incentives, FTC Working Paper #252, 2002.
Selection of “High Performance Work Systems” in U.S. Manufacturing, FTC Working Paper #247, 2002.
Presentations:
Georgetown University, Washington DC
University of Virginia, Charlottesville VA
International Association for Applied Econometrics, Montreal CA
Penn State University, State College PA
Annual Health Econometrics Workshop, Toronto CA
Georgetown University, Washington DC
Penn State University, State College PA
Maryland University, College Park MD
Duke University, Durham NC
Cornell Johnson School, Ithaca NY
Econometric Society North American Summer Meetings, St Louis MO
Bureau of Economic Analysis, Washington DC
Department of Justice, Washington DC
University of Minnesota, Minneapolis MN
North American Summer Meetings of Econometric Society, Boston MA
University of Wisconsin, Madison WI
International Industrial Organization Conference, Boston MA
Other Experience
Organizer of the Annual FTC Microeconomics Conference
Local Co-Chair of 2012 International Industrial Organization Conference at George Mason University Law School (with Josh Wright)
Organizer of Rising Star Sessions at IIOC (with Emek Basker)
Session organizer, American Economic Association Conference.
Local Co-Chair of 2008 International Industrial Organization Conference at Marymount University Ballston Center (with Ken Button)
Co-Editor of Symposium on Online Auctions in IJIO (December) (with Patrick Bajari)
Organizer for the FTC Grocery Store Antitrust Conference (with Michael Salinger)
Organizer for the FTC Economics of the Pharmaceutical Industry Roundtable
Organizer for the FTC Economics of Internet Auctions Roundtable
CBO Scores: HR 3.
FTC case work: Evonik/Peroxychem, Holcim/Lafarge, Zillow/Trulia, Google “Search Case”, Realcomp II, Synopysis/Nassda, RJR/Brown and Williamson, Pfizer/Pharmacia, Meade/Celestron, Amgen/Immunex
Referee for American Economic Review, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Economics Letters, Health Affairs, Health Economics, Journal of Business, Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, Journal of Health Economics, Journal of Industrial Economics, Industrial Relations, Journal of International Industrial Organization, Journal of Political Economy, Management Science, Marketing Science, Quantitative Marketing and Economics, RAND Journal of Economics, Review of Industrial Organization, Swedish Journal of Economics, Vaccine.
Other
Patient Representative, ECOG Data Safety Monitoring Committee
Level 2 Australian Football League Certified Field Umpire
Field and Boundary Umpire at AFL International Cup
Esprit De Corps Award, USAFL Umpires Association
Hayden Kennedy Medal for Grand Final Umpiring
President, Washington Junior Australian Football Club
Level 1 Australian Football League Certified Field Umpire
Level 1 Australian Football League Certified Coach
FTC’s Outstanding Scholarship Award
FTC’s Paul Rand Dixon Award
November, 2018
October, 2018
June, 2018
September, 2017
September, 2014
April, 2014
September, 2013
September, 2013
October, 2012
April, 2012
June, 2011
June, 2011
September, 2010
February, 2010
June, 2009
April, 2009
April, 2009
2008 to 2013
2012
2009 to 2012
2008
2008
2007
2007
2006
2005
2019 to Present
2002 to 2019
2003 to Present
2018 to Present
2017 to Present
2017
2016
2014 to 2017
2015 to Present
2015 to 2017
2015 to Present
2011
2007