Publications
In chronological order
Note: In my website, you can freely download all papers I (co-)authored (including those not in open-access). If you cannot, please send me an email.
Camarda C. G. and J.-M. Robine (2024)
Limit of human longevity: historical perspectives and new metric
In Lemaître J.-F. and Pavard S.: The Biodemography of Ageing and Longevity. Cambridge University Press.
Forthcoming.
Dang, L. H. K., N. Ouellette, C. G. Camarda and F. Meslé (2024)
Mortality modelling at the oldest ages in human populations: a brief overview
In Lemaître J.-F. and Pavard S.: The Biodemography of Ageing and Longevity. Cambridge University Press.
Forthcoming.
Bonnet, F, P. Grigoriev, M. Sauerberg, I. Alliger, M. Mühlichen and C. G. Camarda (2024)
Spatial disparities in the mortality burden of the covid-19 pandemic across 569 European regions (2020-2021)
Nature Communications. 15: 4246
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-48689-0
Gómez Ugarte Valerio, A. C., U. Basellini, C. G. Camarda, F. Janssen and E. Zagheni (2024)
Reassessing socioeconomic inequalities in mortality via distributional similarities
MPIDR Working Paper. WP-2024-007, 36 pages
DOI: 10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2024-007
Meslé, F., J. Vallin, C. G. Camarda, A. Caporali, S. Poniakina, L. Toussaint and J.-M. Robine (2024)
Vivre au-delà de 105 ans : quand l’improbable devient réalité
Living beyond age 105: When the improbable becomes reality
Population et Sociétés. n° 621, avril 2024
DOI: 10.3917/popsoc.621.0001
Bonnet, F, P. Grigoriev, M. Sauerberg, I. Alliger, M. Mühlichen and C. G. Camarda (2024)
Spatial Variation in Excess Mortality Across Europe: A Cross-Sectional Study of 561 Regions in 21 Countries
Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health. 14, 470-479.
DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00200-0
Bonnet, F. and C. G. Camarda (2024)
Estimating subnational excess mortality in times of pandemic. An application to French départements in 2020
PLOS ONE. 19(1) : e0293752
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293752
van Raalte, A. A., U. Basellini, C. G. Camarda, M. R. Nepomuceno and M. Myrskylä (2023)
The Dangers of Drawing Cohort Profiles From Period Data: A Research Note
Demography. 60, 1689-1698
DOI: 10.1215/00703370-11067917
Bonnet, F., C. G. Camarda, Cambois, E. and O. Merville (2023)
Les ouvriers vivent moins longtemps que les cadres : combien de temps passent-ils vraiment à la retraite ?
The Conversation. 27 September 2023
Camarda, C. G. and M. Durbán (2023).
Coherent cause-specific mortality forecasting via constrained penalized regression models
In Bergherr, E., Groll, A. and Mayr, A.: Proceedings of the 37th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Dortmund (Germany). 16-21 July, 2023. 103-108
(paper)
Bonnet, F. , C. G. Camarda, E. Cambois and O. Merville (2023)
Les ouvriers vivent moins longtemps que les cadres : combien de temps passent-ils à la retraite et en (in)activité?
Employees in higher-level occupations outlive manual workers. How long do they live in retirement or (in)activity?
Population et Sociétés. n° 611, mai 2023
DOI: 10.3917/popsoc.611.0001
Vandendijck, Y., O. Gressani, F. Christel, C. G. Camarda and N. Hens (2023)
Cohort-based smoothing methods for age-specific contact rates
Biostatistics. 25, 521-540
DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxad005
Dang, L. H. K., C. G. Camarda, F. Meslé, N. Ouellette, J.-M. Robine and J. Vallin (2023)
The question of the human mortality plateau: Contrasting insights by longevity pioneers
Demographic Research. 128, 321-338.
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2023.48.11
Demographic Research Tweet, Communiqué de presse de l'Ined, Thread from @Inedfr, Mon interview par Le Parisien
Torres C., J. García, F. Meslé, M. Barbieri, F. Bonnet, C. G. Camarda, E. Cambois, A. Caporali, É. Couppié, S. Poniakina and J.-M. Robine (2023)
Identifying age- and sex-specific COVID-19 mortality trends over time in six countries
International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 128, 32-40.
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.12.004
Basellini, U., C. G. Camarda and H. Booth (2023)
Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality
International Journal of Forecasting. 39. 1033-1049.
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.11.002
Remund, A., C. G. Camarda and T. Riffe (2022)
Excessive mortality of young adults: a natural trait?
The Conversation. 5 May 2022
Schlüter, B.-S, B. Masquelier and C. G. Camarda (2022)
Heterogeneity in Subnational Mortality in The Context of The COVID-19 Pandemic: The Case of Belgian Districts
Archives Of Public Health. 80:130.
DOI: 10.1186/s13690-022-00874-7
Vandendijck, Y., O. Gressani, C. Faes, C. G. Camarda and N. Hens (2022)
Cohort-based Smoothing Methods for Age-specific Contact Rates
Preprint on BioRXiv 10.1101/290551v2.
Caporali, A., J. Garcia, É. Couppié, S. Poniakina, M. Barbieri, F. Bonnet, C. G. Camarda, E. Cambois, I. Hourani, D. Korotkova, F. Meslé, O. Penina, J.-M. Robine, M. Sauerberg and C. Torres (2022)
The demography of COVID-19 deaths database, a gateway to well-documented international data
Scientific Data. 9, 93
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-022-01191-y
Camarda, C. G. (2022)
The curse of the plateau. Measuring confidence in human mortality estimates at extreme ages
Theoretical Population Biology. 144, 24-36.
DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2022.01.002
Basellini, U. and C. G. Camarda (2022)
Explaining regional differences in mortality during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy
Population Studies. 76, 99-118.
DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1984551
Remund, A., C. G. Camarda and T. Riffe (2021)
La surmortalité des jeunes adultes : un trait naturel ?
The Conversation. 21 octobre 2021
Alvarez, J.-A., F. Villavicencio, C. Strozza and C. G. Camarda (2021)
Regularities in human mortality after age 105
PLOS ONE. 16 (7) : e0253940
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253940
Remund, A., C. G. Camarda and T. Riffe (2021)
La surmortalité des jeunes adultes est-elle naturelle ?
Is young adult excess mortality a natural phenomenon?
Population et Sociétés. n° 590, juin 2021
Basellini, U., D. Alburez-Gutierrez, E. Del Fava, D. Perrotta, M. Bonetti, C.G. Camarda and E. Zagheni (2021)
Linking excess mortality to mobility data during the first wave of COVID-19 in England and Wales
SSM - Population Health. 14, 100799
DOI: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2021.100799
Press release from the MPIDR in English (and in Deutsch)
With this paper Ugofilippo Basellini was granted the Jan M. Hoem Paper Award (MPIDR announcement, INED tweet, MPIDR tweet)
Cubaynes, S. S. Galas, M. Richaud, A. Sanz Aguilar, R. Pradel, G. Tavecchia, F. Colchero, S. Roques, R. Shefferson and C. G. Camarda (2021)
Survival Analyses
In Salguero-Gómez, R. and Gamelon, M.: Demographic Methods across the Tree of Life. Oxford University Press, pp. 229-244
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198838609.003.0013
Camarda, C. G. and U. Basellini (2021)
Smoothing, Decomposing and Forecasting Mortality Rates
European Journal of Population. 37 (3), 569-602.
DOI: 10.1007/s10680-021-09582-4
An interview briefly presenting the paper and its outcome: in English and en français.
A kind twitter from Ilya Kashnitsky about this paper.
Garcia, J., C. Torres, M. Barbieri, C. G. Camarda, E. Cambois, A. Caporali, F. Meslé, S. Poniakina and J.-M. Robine (2021)
Differences in COVID-19 Mortality: the implications of imperfect and diverse data collection systems
Différences de mortalité par Covid-19 : conséquence des imperfections et de la diversité des systèmes de collecte des données
Population, 76 (1), 35-72.
DOI: 10.3917/popu.2101.0035
English version in open access here
Version française en accès libre ici
(paper)
Rizzi, S., S. Kjærgaard, M.-P. Bergeron-Boucher, C. G. Camarda, R. Lindahl-Jacobsen and J. W. Vaupel (2021)
Killing off cohorts: Forecasting mortality of non-extinct cohorts with the penalized composite link model
International Journal of Forecasting. 37, 95-104.
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.03.003
Available on-line here.
(paper)
Basellini, U. and C. G. Camarda (2020)
Modelling COVID-19 mortality at the regional level in Italy
Preprint on SocArXiv.
Basellini, U., D. Alburez-Gutierrez, E. Del Fava, D. Perrotta, M. Bonetti, C. G. Camarda and E. Zagheni (2020)
Linking excess mortality to Google mobility data during the COVID-19 pandemic in England and Wales
Preprint on SocArXiv.
Basellini, U. and C. G. Camarda (2020)
A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions
In Mazzuco, S. and Keilman N.: Developments in Demographic Forecasting. Springer, pp. 105-129
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5
R-codes for reproducing the outcomes can be found here
Basellini, U., S. Kjærgaard and C. G. Camarda (2020)
An age-at-death distribution approach to forecast cohort mortality
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. 91, 129-143.
DOI : 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.01.007
(paper)
Camarda, C. G. (2019)
Smooth Constrained Mortality Forecasting
Demographic Research. 41 (38), 1091-1130
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2019.41.38
Accepted version in pdf
Supplementary materials are available (DR link)
R-codes for reproducing the outcomes can be found here and in the journal web-site
This study has been presented in several occasions. A good instance is given by the talk during the 3rd HMD Users Conference (held on 18 November 2020). From the associated web-site: recorded talk and discussion and slides.
Camarda, C. G. (2019)
Forecasting vital rates from demographic summary measures
In Meira-Machado, L. and Soutinho, G.: Proceedings of the 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Guimarães (Portugal). 8-12 July, 2019. 89-94
(paper)
Carollo, A., A. Oksuzyan, S. Drefahl, C.G. Camarda, L. Ahrenfeldt, K. Christensen, A. van Raalte (2019)
Is the Age Difference Between Partners Related to Women’s Earnings?
Demographic Research. 41 (15), 425-460
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2019.41.15
Camarda, C. G. (2019)
Estimating transition coefficients for reconstructing coherent series of mortality by cause of death
Statistical Modelling. 19 (3), 299-322
Special Issue: Statistical Modelling in Demographics
DOI : 10.1177/1471082X19832398
(link and accepted version in pdf)
Gampe, J. and C. G. Camarda (2019)
Guest Editorial: Statistical Modelling in Demographics
Statistical Modelling. 19 (3), 223-224
Special Issue: Statistical Modelling in Demographics
DOI : 10.1177/1471082X19852227
Basellini, U. and C. G. Camarda (2019)
Modelling and forecasting adult age-at-death distribution
Population Studies. 73 (1), 119-138
DOI : 10.1080/00324728.2018.1545918
Paper and journal web-page.
Listed among the 2 of the most cited articles of 2020 from Population Studies. PopStudies link.
Camarda, C. G., L.H.K. Dang, F. Meslé, J.M. Robine, and J. Vallin (2018)
E-letter as response to "The plateau of human mortality: Demography of longevity pioneers" by Barbi et al. in Science (360) 1459-1461
5 October 2018
(link and extended PDF version)
Basellini, U. and C. G. Camarda (2018)
A Three-Component Lee-Carter approach to decompose and forecast human mortality
In Proceedings of the 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Bristol (UK). 16-20 July, 2018. 17-22.
(paper)
Remund A., C.G. Camarda and T. Riffe (2018)
A cause-of-death decomposition of young adult excess mortality
Demography. 55 (3), 957-978.
DOI : 10.1007/s13524-018-0680-9
Listed among the "Top 10 Demography Article Requests in the Last 2 Years (Publication years 2016-2018)", and downloaded over 47,000 times (on September 2019). PAA link.
A preliminary version of the manuscript is available as working paper
A technical report for introducing the associated R-package (MortHump) is available here.
MPIDR publication announcement
Presented as poster, this paper won the 2016 PAA Blue Ribbon Poster Award (PAA poster, PAA link)
Remund A., T. Riffe and C.G. Camarda (2018)
Analyzing the young adult mortality hump in R with MortHump
MPIDR Technical Report. TR-2018-003
Open access here. Associated package (MortHump) here.
Pechholdová, M. C.G. Camarda, F. Meslé and J. Vallin (2017)
Reconstructing Long-Term Coherent Cause-of-Death Series, a Necessary Step for Analyzing Trends
European Journal of Population. 33 (5), 629–650.
DOI : 10.1007/s10680-017-9453-1
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2017)
Modelling Trends in Digit Preference Patterns
Journal of Royal Statistical Society. Series C. 66 (5), 893–918.
DOI : 10.1111/rssc.12205
Appointed by Wiley as one of the journal’s top 20 most downloaded recent papers in 2017 with 523 downloads.
Brève présentation en français tirée du rapport d'activité INED 2017.
Landes, J., M. Perret, I. Hardy, C.G. Camarda, P. Henry and S. Pavard (2017)
State transitions: a major mortality risk for seasonal species
Ecology Letters. 20 (7), 883-891.
DOI : 10.1111/ele.12785.
Brève présentation en français tirée par le communiqué de presse du Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (Juin 2017)
Camarda, C. G. (2017)
Constrained Mortality Forecast
In Grzegorczyk, M. and Ceoldo, G.: Proceedings of the 32nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Gronningen (The Netherlands). 3-7 July, 2017. 75-78
(paper)
Oksuzyan, A., A. Carollo, S. Drefahl, C.G. Camarda, K. Christensen and A. van Raalte (2017)
Does the age difference between partners influence the career achievements of women?
Remund A., C.G. Camarda and T. Riffe (2017)
A cause-of-death decomposition of the young adult mortality hump
Camarda, C. G., P. H. C. Eilers and J. Gampe (2016)
Sums of smooth exponentials to model complex series of counts
Statistical Modelling. 16 (4), 279-296
DOI : 10.1177/1471082X19852227
Paper. Example data and code here.
Presented by Iain Currie in the blog Information Matrix on longevitas.co.uk with a post titled The age pattern of mortality.
Brève présentation en français tirée du rapport d'activité INED 2016.
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2016)
Trends in digit preference: Mastering a challenge with the penalized composite link model
In Dupuy, J.-F. and Josse, J.: Proceedings of the 31st International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Rennes (France). 4-8 July, 2016. 51-56
(paper)
Diaconu V., N. Ouellette, C. G. Camarda, R. Bourbeau (2016)
Insight on “Typical” Longevity: An Analysis of the Modal Lifespan by Leading Causes of Death in Canada
Demographic Research. 35 (17), 471-504
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.17
Camarda, C. G. and P. Eilers (2015)
Regression models with digit preference
In Friedl H. and Wagner H.: Proceedings of the 30th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Linz (Austria). 6-10 July, 2015. 123-128
(paper)
Camarda, C. G. (2014)
Reconstructing Mortality Series by Cause of Death: Two alternative approaches
In Kneib, T., Sobotka, F., Fahrenholz, J. and Irmer, H.: Proceedings of the 29th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Göttingen (Germany). 14-18 July, 2014. 69-74
(paper)
Jones, O. R., A. Scheuerlein, R. Salguero-Gomez, C. G. Camarda, R. Schaible, B. B. Casper, J. P. Dahlgren, J. Ehrlén, M. B. García, E. Menges, P. F. Quintana-Ascencio, H. Caswell, A. Baudisch, J. W. Vaupel (2014)
Diversity of ageing across the tree of life
Nature. 505, 169-173
DOI: 10.1038/nature12789
(link)
Review on "Le Monde" (link and paper version)
Ranked as "Exceptional" by "Faculty of 1000" (link and text)
Brève présentation en français tirée du rapport d'activité INED 2014.
Camarda, C. G., N. Hens and P. Eilers (2013)
Modelling Social Contact Data: a smoothing constrained approach
In Muggeo, V.M.R., Capursi, V., Boscaino, G. and Lovison, G.: Proceedings of the 28th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Palermo (Italy). 8-12 July, 2013. 103-108
(paper)
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2013)
Exploratory Exponential Tilting
In Muggeo, V.M.R., Capursi, V., Boscaino, G. and Lovison, G.: Proceedings of the 28th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Palermo (Italy). 8-12 July, 2013. 97-102
(paper)
Camarda, C. G. (2012)
MortalitySmooth: an R Package to Smooth Poisson Counts with P-splines
Journal of Statistical Software. 50 (1), 1-24
DOI: 10.18637/jss.v050.i01
(link)
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2012)
Additive Decomposition of Vital Rates from Grouped Data
In Komarek, A. and Nagy, S.: Proceedings of the 27th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Prague (Czech Republic). 16-20 July, 2012. 57-62
(paper)
Ouellette N., R. Bourbeau and C. G. Camarda (2012)
Regional Disparities in Canadian Adult and Old-age Mortality: A Comparative Study Based on Smoothed Mortality Ratio Surfaces and Age-at-death Distributions.
Canadian Studies in Population. 39 (3-4), 79-106
DOI:10.25336/P61P53
Barbi E. and C. G. Camarda (2011)
Period and Cohort Effects on Elderly Mortality: a New Relational Model for Smoothing Mortality Surfaces
Statistica. 71 (1), 51-70
DOI: 10.6092/issn.1973-2201/3604
(paper)
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2009)
Modelling trends in digit preference patterns
In Booth J.G.: Proceedings of the 24th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Ithaca (USA). 20-24 July, 2009. 81-88
(paper)
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2008)
Modelling General Pattern of Digit Preference
Statistical Modelling 8 (4), 385-401
DOI: 10.1177/1471082X0800800404
(link)
Camarda, C. G. and Maria L. Durban Reguera (2008)
Goodness of fit in models for mortality data
Statistics and econometrics working paper
Departamento de Estadistica, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid 8, 1-32
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2008)
A Warped Failure Time Model for Human Mortality
In Eilers P.: Proceedings of the 23rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Utrecht (The Netherlands). 7-11 July, 2008, 149-154
(paper)
Camarda, C. G., P. Eilers and J. Gampe (2007)
Modelling General Patterns of Digit Preference
In del Castillo, J.; Espinal, A. and Puig, P.: Proceedings of the 22nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Barcelona (Spain). 2-6 July, 2007, 148-153
(paper)
Vaupel, J.W., R. Rau, C.G. Camarda and K.G. von Kistowski (2006)
Can heterogeneity of populations explain differences in mortality?
Chestnut Hill, MA, Center for Retirement Research working paper wp2006-10
(paper)