Decision support systems
Development of reliable medical decision support systems has been the subject of many studies among which Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) gained increasing popularity and gave promising results. However, wider application of ANNs in clinical practice remains limited due to the lack of a standard and intuitive procedure for their configuration and evaluation which is traditionally a slow process depending on human experts. The principal contribution of this study is a novel procedure for obtaining ANN predictive models with high performances. In order to reach those considerations with minimal user effort, optimal configuration of ANN was performed automatically by Genetic Algorithms (GA). The only two user dependent tasks were selecting data (input and output variables) and evaluation of ANN threshold probability with respect to the Regret Theory (RT). The goal of the GA optimization was reaching the best prognostic performances relevant for clinicians: correctness, discrimination and calibration. After optimally configuring ANNs with respect to these criteria, the clinical usefulness was evaluated by the RT Decision Curve Analysis.
The method is initially proposed for the prediction of advanced bladder cancer (BC) in patients undergoing radical cystectomy, due to the fact that it is clinically relevant problem with profound influence on health care. Testing on the data of the ten years cohort study, which included 183 evaluable patients, showed that soft max activation functions and good calibration were the most important for obtaining reliable BC predictive models for the given dataset. Extensive analysis and comparison with the solutions commonly used in literature showed that better prognostic performances were achieved while user-dependency was significantly reduced. It is concluded that presented procedure represents a suitable, robust and user-friendly framework with potential to have wide applications and influence in further development of health care decision support systems.
Bone injures (BI) are reported to be one of the major health problems, together with cancer and cardiovascular diseases. Moreover, assessment of the risks associated with BI is nontrivial since fragility of human cortical bone is varying with age. Due to restrictions for performing experiments on humans, only a limited number of fracture resistance curves (R-curves) for particular ages have been reported in the literature. This study proposes a novel decision support system for the assessment of bone fracture resistance by fusing various artificial intelligence algorithms. The aim was to estimate the R-curve slope, toughness threshold and stress intensity factor using the two input parameters commonly available during a routine clinical examination: patients age and crack length.
Using the data (R-curves for specific ages) from the literature, the evolutionary assembled Artificial Neural Network was developed and used for the derivation of linear regression (LR) models of R-curves for arbitrary age. Finally, by using the patient (age)-specific LR models and diagnosed crack size one could estimate the risk of bone fracture under given physiological conditions. Compared to the literature, we demonstrated improved performances for estimating nonlinear changes of R-curve slope (R2=0.82 vs. R2=0.76) and toughness threshold with ageing (R2=0.73 vs. R2=0.66). Besides clinical diagnosis, possible applications could be: insurance risk estimation, prosthesis design and optimization as well as bioengineering simulations, to name a few related topics.