• Data weeks 1 - 10

• New hospitalizations per week per 100,000 people.

• Data generated by a hidden model with a fixed set of parameters.

• The model may have more than one infectious agent. (Similar to Influenza A and B)

• Data is expressed to the nearest tenth of a person.

• No uncertainty has been added to the data.

• Predict Hospitalization_per_100K forward 5 weeks 

Data Release 1: Predict forward 5 weeks (11-15)

Week,  Hospitalizations_per_100K

1,  0.1

2,  0.1

3,  0.2

4,  0.3

5,  0.4

6,  0.5

7,  0.6

8,  0.8

9,  1.0

10,  1.3

Data Release 2: Predict forward 5 weeks (16-20)

week,hospitalizations_per_100k,r0

1,0.1,2.

2,0.1,2.

3,0.2,2.

4,0.3,2.

5,0.4,2.

6,0.5,2.

7,0.6,2.

8,0.8,2.

9,1.0,2.

10,1.3,2.

11,0.1,1.2

12,0.1,2.0

13,0.2,2.1

14,0.3,2.8

15,0.6,2.0

Data Release 3: Predict forward 5 weeks (21-25)

Week,  Hospitalizations_per_100K

1,  0.1

2,  0.1

3,  0.2

4,  0.3

5,  0.4

6,  0.5

7,  0.6

8,  0.8

9,  1.0

10,  1.3

11,  1.5

12,  1.8

13,  2.0

14,  2.1

15,  2.3

16,  2.6

17,  3.1

18,  3.7

19,  4.5

20,  5.2

Data Release 4: Predict forward 5 weeks (26-30)

Week,  Hospitalizations_per_100K

1,  0.1

2,  0.1

3,  0.2

4,  0.3

5,  0.4

6,  0.5

7,  0.6

8,  0.8

9,  1.0

10,  1.3

11,  1.5

12,  1.8

13,  2.0

14,  2.1

15,  2.3

16,  2.6

17,  3.1

18,  3.7

19,  4.5

20,  5.2

21,  5.3

22,  4.8

23,  3.8

24,  2.8

25,  1.9

Solution Data 

Week, Hospitalizations_per_100K, r0

0, 0.1, 2.00

1, 0.1, 2.00

2, 0.1, 1.91

3, 0.2, 1.73

4, 0.3, 1.64

5, 0.4, 1.59

6, 0.5, 1.56

7, 0.6, 1.53

8, 0.8, 1.51

9, 1.0, 1.49

10, 1.3, 1.47

11, 1.5, 1.45

12, 1.8, 1.43

13, 2.0, 1.41

14, 2.1, 1.38

15, 2.3, 1.36

16, 2.6, 1.33

17, 3.1, 1.29

18, 3.7, 1.25

19, 4.5, 1.18

20, 5.2, 1.11

21, 5.3, 1.03

22, 4.8, 0.95

23, 3.8, 0.89

24, 2.8, 0.85

25, 1.9, 0.84

26, 1.3, 0.84

27, 0.8, 0.85

28, 0.5, 0.86

29, 0.3, 0.87

30, 0.2, 0.88

31, 0.1, 0.88

32, 0.1, 0.89

33, 0.0, 0.89

34, 0.0, 0.89

35, 0.0, 0.89