WORKING PAPERS
“Shelter from the Storm: A Simulation Framework for Vulnerability under Climate Shocks” (with G. Canavire, A. Puerta-Cuartas and C. Velez-Ospina), 2026. IZA Discussion Paper No. 18893. Under review.
“Human Capital and the Uneven Geography of Poverty: Evidence from Peru” (wirh G. Canavire, L. De la Flor and Hugo Vaca), 2026. IZA Discussion Paper No. 18856. Under review.
“Trade Diversion and Josbs: Evidence from Mexican Municipalities” (w. E. Vazquez and H. Winkler), 2026. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 11419. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 18791. Under review.
“The Effects of Climate Change in the Poorest Countries: Evidence from the Permanent Shrinking of Lake Chad” (w. R. Jedwab, F. Haslop, and R. Zarate), 2023. World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 10561. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 16396. Revise and resubmit.
"Sustaining Poverty Gains: A Vulnerability Map to Guide Social Policy” (with O. Barriga-Cabanillas, T. Bussuroy, P. Corral, and E. Skoufias), 2024. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 10890. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 17193. Revise and resubmit.
“Distributional Effects of Competition: A Simulation Approach” (with A. Abdelkrim, E. Malásquez, S. Olivieri and T. Vishwanath), 2019. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8838. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 14043. Under review.
"Broadband Internet and Household Welfare in Senegal" (with G. Granguillhome and T. Masaki), 2020. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9386. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 13658. Under review.
“Distributional Effects of Intergovernmental Transfers in Mexico” (with K. Cadena and L. Moreno), 2020. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9209. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 13148.
WORK IN PROGRESS
"Climate Change, Structural Change and International Migration to the U.S.: Evidence from the Dry Corridor in Central America" (w. R. Jedwab, K. Nicholson and R. Zarate).
"Productive Assets and Vulnerability to Poverty in West Africa," ( with E. Ortiz-Juarez).
“More Market Concentration, More Poverty? Evidence from the Retail Sector in Mexico,” (with L. Rodríguez-Chamussy and E. Vázquez).