Publications

PAPERS IN REFEREED JOURNALS

“The Welfare Effects of Mobile Broadband Internet: Evidence from Nigeria” (with K. Bahia, P. Castells, G. Cruz, T. Masaki, X. Pedros, T. Pfutze and H. Winkler), 2024. Journal of Development Economics (forthcoming). Also available as World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 9230. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 13219.

“Exports and Income Inequality in Mexico” (with E. Vázquez and H. Winkler), 2024. Journal of Development Studies. Also available as World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 9459. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 13610. 

“Mobile Broadband Internet, Poverty and Labor Outcomes in Tanzania” (with K. Bahia, P. Castells, G. Cruz, T. Masaki and V. Sanfelice), 2023. World Bank Economic Review. Also available as World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 9749. Washington D.C.  Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 14720.

“Market Concentration, Trade Exposure, and Firm Productivity in Developing Countries: Evidence from Mexico” (with L.F. López-Calva and O. Barriga-Cabanillas), 2023. World Development. Also available as World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 9210. Washington D.C. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 13147. 

“Urban Transport Infrastructure and Household Welfare: Evidence from Colombia” (with T. Pfutze and D. Valderrama), 2023. Empirical Economics. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8341, Washington D.C. 

“Wage Inequality in the Developing World: Evidence from Latin America” (with with L. F. López-Calva, N. Lustig and D. Valderrama), 2022. Review of Development Economics. Also available as  World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7795, Washington D.C. Also available as Working Papers 1608, Tulane University, Department of Economics.

“Mobile Internet Adoption in West Africa” (with G. Granguillhome, S. Lach and T. Masaki), 2021. Technology in Society, vol. 68. Also available as  World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 9560. Washington D.C. Also available as IZA Discussion Paper No. 14151. Also available as a Background Paper of the World Development Report 2021. “Data for Better Lives.” Online Appendix. 

“Within-country poverty convergence: Evidence from Mexico” (with L.F. López-Calva and E. Ortiz-Juárez), 2021.  Empirical Economics, vol. 62, 2547-2586. Also available as World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 9038, Washington D.C., and as IZA Discussion Paper No. 13577. 

“Competition Reform and Household Welfare: A Microsimulation Analysis of the Telecommunications Sector in Ethiopia"  (with A. Abdelkrim, G. Granguillhome and E. Malásquez), 2021. Telecommunications Policy, vol. 46(2). Also available as World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 9516 Washington D.C., and as IZA Discussion Paper No. 14043. 

“Can a Small Social Pension Promote Labor Force Participation? Evidence from the Colombia Mayor Program” (with T. Pfutze), 2019. Economia, vol. 20(1): 111-154. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 7516, Washington D.C.

“Moving to Safety and Staying in School: The Effects of Violence on Enrollment Decisions in Mexico” (with F. Márquez-Padilla and F. Pérez-Arce), 2019. Review of Development Economics vol. 23(4): 1624-1658. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 7230, Washington D.C., and RAND Corporation Working Paper WP-1082.

“Social Pension Income Associated with Small Improvements in Self-Reported Health of Poor Older Men in Colombia” (with M. Avendano, P. Hessel and T. Pfutze), 2018. Health Affairs, vol. 37(3): 456-463.

“Job Quality and Poverty in Latin America” (with P. Brummund and C. Mann), 2018. Review of Development Economics, vol. 22(4): 1682-1708. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7927, Washington D.C.

“Living on the Edge: Vulnerability to Poverty and Public Transfers in Mexico” (with A. de la Fuente, A. and E. Ortiz-Juárez), 2017. Oxford Development Studies, vol. 46(1): 10-27. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7165, Washington D.C. Also available as a Background Paper of the World Development Report 2014. “Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for Development.”

“Inequality Stagnation in Latin America in the Aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis” (with L. Cord, O. Barriga-Cabanillas, L. Lucchetti, L. D. Sousa, and D. Valderrama), 2017. Review of Development Economics, vol. 21(1): 157-181. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7146, Washington D.C.

“Weather Shocks and Health at Birth in Colombia” (with M. Andalón, J. P. Azevedo, V. Sanfelice and D. Valderrama), 2016. World Development, vol. 82: 69-82. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7081, Washington D.C.

“Income Inequality and Violent Crime: Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War” (with T. Enamorado, L-F Lopez-Calva and H. Winkler), 2016. Journal of Development Economics, vol. 120: 128-143. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6935, Washington D.C. Also available as Households in Conflict Network Working Paper No. 196, the University of Sussex - Falmer - Brighton.

“Is Uruguay more Resilient this Time? Distributional Impacts of a Crisis Similar to the 2001/02 Argentine Crisis” (with O. Barriga-Cabanillas, M. A. Lugo, H. Nielsen and M. P. Zanetti), 2015. Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, vol. 2(4): 64-90. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6849, Washington D.C.

“Crime and Growth Convergence: Evidence from Mexico” (with T. Enamorado and L-F Lopez-Calva), 2014. Economics Letters, vol. 125(1): 9-13. Also available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6730, Washington D.C.

BOOKS, EDITED VOLUMES AND PEER REVIEWED TECHNICAL REPORTS

“Rising Strong: Peru Poverty and Equity Assessment”  (with L. de la Flor and Y. Valdivia), World Bank, Washington D.C., 2023.

“Determinants and Welfare Impacts of Mobile Internet Adoption in African Countries”  (with D. Pierola), World Bank, Washington D.C., 2022.

“Digital Senegal for Inclusive Growth: Technological Transformation for Better and More Jobs”  (with M. Cruz and M. Dutz), World Bank, Washington D.C., 2022.

“Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum: Development for Peace” (w. R. Granguillhome, M. Hernandez, S. Lach and T. Masaki), World Bank, Washington D.C., 2021.

“Mexico Systematic Country Diagnostics” (with J. Chakeri), World Bank, Washington D.C., 2018.

“Shaking Up Economic Progress: Aggregate Shocks in Latin America and the Caribbean” (with J. Baez and A. Fuchs), Latin America and the Caribbean Regional Study, World Bank Publications, Washington D.C., 2017.

“Shared Prosperity and Poverty Eradication in Latin America and the Caribbean” (with L. Cord and M. E. Genoni), World Bank Publications, Washington D.C., 2015.

“Inequality in a Lower Growth Latin America” (with A. de la Torre, A., E. Levy Yeyati, G. Beylis, T. Didier and S. Schmukler), Latin America and the Caribbean Semiannual Report (October), World Bank Publications, Washington D.C., 2015.

“Social Gains in the Balance: A Fiscal Policy Challenge for Latin America and the Caribbean” (with L. Cord, L. Lucchetti and L. Sousa), Latin America and the Caribbean Poverty and Labor Brief, The World Bank (Report 85162), Washington D.C., 2014.

“Shifting Gears to Accelerate Shared Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean” (with L. Cord and L. Lucchetti), Latin America and the Caribbean Poverty and Labor Brief, The World Bank (Report 78507), Washington D.C., 2013.

“Theory and Practice of Environmental Insurance and Securities” (with M. Vazquez-García and A. Martínez-Cruz) (Spanish), Ministry of the Environment, Mexico City, 2003.

CHAPTERS IN BOOKS AND EDITED VOLUMES

“Towards Shared Prosperity in Colombia” (with L. Gimenez and D. Valderrama) in L. Cord, M. E. Genoni and C. Rodríguez-Castelán (eds.) Shared Prosperity and Poverty Eradication in Latin America and the Caribbean, World Bank Publications, Washington D.C., 2015.

“Poverty and Shared Prosperity in Uruguay” (with O. Barriga-Cabanillas, M. Gindelsky, M. A. Lugo and L. D. Sousa) in L. Cord, M. E. Genoni and C. Rodríguez-Castelán (eds.) Shared Prosperity and Poverty Eradication in Latin America and the Caribbean, World Bank Publications, Washington D.C., 2015.

“Overview” (with L. Cord and M. E. Genoni) in L. Cord, M. E. Genoni and C. Rodríguez-Castelán (eds.) Shared Prosperity and Poverty Eradication in Latin America and the Caribbean, World Bank Publications, Washington D.C., 2015.

“Building the Foundations of Shared Prosperity in Colombia: Recent Trends in Poverty, Shared Prosperity, and Inequality” (with L. Gimenez and D. Valderrama) in World Bank Towards Sustainable Peace, Poverty Eradication, and Shared Prosperity, The World Bank, Washington D.C., 2014.

“Socioeconomic Context” (with J. C. Fernández Ugalde) (Spanish) in R. Sánchez and K. Zahedi (eds.) General Environmental Outlook Mexico, United Nations Environmental Programme, Mexico City, 2004.

“The Relevance of the Environmental Insurance Industry in Mexico” (with A. Martínez-Cruz) (Spanish) in M. García, A. Martínez-Cruz and C. Rodríguez-Castelán (eds.) Theory and Practice of Environmental Insurance and Securities, Ministry of the Environment, Mexico City, 2003.

“Insurance and Securities as Environmental Protection Instruments: A Case Study for Mexico” (Spanish) in M. García, A. Martínez-Cruz and C. Rodríguez-Castelán (eds.) Theory and Practice of Environmental Insurance and Securities, Ministry of the Environment, Mexico City, 2003.

POLICY BRIEFS AND OTHER PUBLICATIONS

“The Poverty Reduction Effects of Mobile Broadband in Africa: Evidence from Nigeria” (with K. Bahia, P. Castells, G. Cruz, T. Masaki, X. Pedros, T. Pfutze and H. Winkler), 2020. Washington D.C.: World Bank Group.

“Welfare and Competition (WELCOM): A Simulation Approach” (with R. Granguillhome and E. Malasquez), 2020. Poverty and Equity Note No. 27. Washington D.C.: World Bank Group.

“Data for Policy (D4P) Initiative” (with A. Dabalen and K. Himelein), 2020. Poverty and Equity Note No. 23. Washington D.C.: World Bank Group.

“Broadband Internet Access and Local Development in Senegal” (with T. Enamorado, T. Masaki and H. Winkler).

“Who Benefits from Investments in Bus Rapid Transit Systems? Evidence from Colombia” (with T. Pfutze and D. Valderrama). World Bank Research Digest, Spring 2019.

“Job Quality and Poverty in Latin America” (with P. Brummund and C. Mann), 2018. Poverty and Equity Note No. 9. Washington D.C.: World Bank Group.

“Los Effects del Programa de Pensiones Colombia Mayor sobre la Salud y la Participacion Laboral en Colombia” (with M. Avendano, P. Hessel and T. Pfutze), 2018. Notas de Política No. 31, Universidad de los Andes.

“Distributional Effects of Investments in Road Infrastructure: The Case of Colombia's 4G Generation Concession Program” (with E. Malasquez and J. Franco), 2018. Poverty and Equity Note No. 8. Washington D.C.: World Bank Group.

“Urban Transport Infrastructure and Household Welfare: Evidence from Colombia” (with T. Pfutze and D. Valderrama), 2018. Poverty and Equity Note No. 7. Washington D.C,: World Bank Group.

“Living on the Edge in Mexico” (with A. de la Fuente and E. Ortiz-Juárez). World Bank Research Digest, Summer 2015.

“Convergence with Stagnation: Mexico’s Growth at the Municipal Level 1990–2010” (with M. E. Dávalos, G. Esquivel and L-F López-Calva), 2015. Working Papers Series Sobre Mexico, 2015001, Universidad Iberoamericana, Mexico.

“Regional Convergence in Colombia and Prospective Impacts of the Reform of the Regalias System” (with T. Enamorado and L-F López-Calva). World Bank Report, 2014.

World Bank-CONEVAL (joint report) 2013 “Desigualdad, Pobreza, y Politica Social en Mexico: Una Perspectiva de Largo Plazo” (Contributor).

PERMANENT WORKING PAPERS

“Conditionality as Targeting? Participation and Distributional Effects of Conditional Cash Transfers,” 2017. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7940, Washington D.C.

“Pro-Growth Equity: A Policy Framework for the Twin Goals” (with L. F. López-Calva), 2016. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7897, Washington D.C.

“Crime and Persistent Punishment: A Long-Run Perspective on the Links between Violence and Chronic Poverty in Mexico” (with A. Martínez-Cruz), 2016. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7706, Washington D.C.

“Unpacking the MPI: A Decomposition Approach of Changes in Multidimensional Poverty Headcounts” (with J. E. Pérez, J. D. Trujillo and D. Valderrama), 2015. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7514, Washington D.C.

“The Poverty Effects of Market Concentration,” 2015. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7515, Washington D.C.