WORLD BANK: “There is no certainty that adaptation to a 4°C world is possible”, 145 million climate migrants by 2050

World Bank (2012); “There is no certainty that adaptation to a 4°C world is possible” (World Bank , “Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided”, World Bank, 2012, Washington DC ).

World Bank Climate Report overview (2019): “Countries need sustainable economic growth and good development outcomes and climate change puts both at risk. Natural disasters cost about $18 billion a year in low- and middle-income countries through damage to power generation and transport infrastructure alone. They also trigger wider disruptions for households and firms costing at least $390 billion a year. The impact of extreme natural disasters is equivalent to a global $520 billion loss in annual consumption, and forces some 26 million people into poverty each year. Without urgent action, climate impacts could push an additional 100 million people into poverty by 2030. By 2050, it could mean that as many as 143 million people across three developing regions will become climate migrants, with individuals, families and even whole communities forced to seek more viable and less vulnerable places to live. Under the Paris Agreement, the world committed to limiting the rise in global temperatures to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century” (World Bank Climate Report overview, 2019: https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/climatechange/overview ).