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Yonghong Zhou's Homepage
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  • Research
    • Politics, Conflict, and International Relations
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Yonghong Zhou's Homepage
  • Home
  • Research
    • Politics, Conflict, and International Relations
    • Culture, Behavior, and Informal Institutions
    • other topics of Hong Kong and Macao
    • other
  • Teaching
  • CV
  • Living
  • More
    • Home
    • Research
      • Politics, Conflict, and International Relations
      • Culture, Behavior, and Informal Institutions
      • other topics of Hong Kong and Macao
      • other
    • Teaching
    • CV
    • Living

Google Scholar Researchgate

Politics, Conflict, and International Relations

> Yonghong Zhou. Influence of Political Movement on Fields of Study: Evidence from Hong Kong, European Journal of Political Economy, 2023, 79, 102417. (link)

Exposure to political movements may influence individuals' behavior, such as decisions on fields of study. On the basis of the Hong Kong Population Census 2011 and 2016, this paper investigates the difference in fields of study between two cohorts, one exposed to the Occupy Central movement in 2014, by applying the cohort difference-in-differences approach. As a global business center, business-related fields of study have been popular among students in Hong Kong. However, the political movement triggered the interests of young people to study several nonbusiness-related fields, such as humanities, social and behavioral sciences, life sciences, health, and law. Significant differences in the effect exist across language speaking, household income, and gender. The study shows that political movement may affect education by triggering public awareness of related knowledge, but it varies by human capital, identity, and family background.

> Chaoqun Chen, Yonghong Zhou, Institutional Endowment, Curse, and the Impact of External Political Shock: Case of Macao, Review of Development Economics, 2021, 25, 2433-2453. (link) 

This study investigates the influence of external political shock under a special institutional endowment brought by a high degree of autonomy, taking Macao as an example. Macao monopolizes gambling industry in China under the arrangement of “One country, Two systems” and depends heavily on tourists from Mainland China. To illustrate the problem under such an institutional endowment, this study estimates the impact of the decline in casino consumption caused by the 2014 anti-corruption campaign in Mainland China, by employing the difference in differences and synthetic control approaches. The results indicate that Macao experienced approximately three years of decline in the revenue growth of the gambling industry, which is nearly 231 billion MOP, under the political shock. Thus, an economy with institutional endowment may also face uncertainties caused by exogenous political shock. This paper contributes to the extension of the concept related to the tourism-induced Dutch disease.

> Xian Zheng, Yonghong Zhou, The Cohort Effect of Political Change on Language Speaking: Evidence from Hong Kong, Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, 2021, 29(4), 575-596. (link)

It has been proven that language is a symbol of culture and politics. This study investigates the cohort effect of the Hong Kong's handover on the language speaking in adulthood based on the 2006 and 2011 Hong Kong population censuses. We find that Mandarin is more likely to be used by Hong Kong natives who were exposed to the transfer of sovereignty over Hong Kong in 1997 during their school-age years, especially for the generation that were exposed during their primary-school years. Besides, the Hong Kong natives who experienced the handover in their school-age years insist on speaking Mandarin even when the political environment changes from the year 2006 to 2011. Our evidences reveal that political change that occurs during school-age years has a long-term impact on an individual's behavior in their later adulthood. Further discussion implies that exposure to political change such as regime transfer during school-age years impacts individual's national identity.

> Jiaqiang Yan, Yonghong Zhou, Economic Return to Political Support: Evidence from Voting on the Representation of China in the United Nations, Journal of Asian Economics, 2021, 75, 101325.(link)

This study investigates the effect of political support in the United Nations on international trade by taking the votes on the representation of China as a case study. We document a strongly positive link between political support toward the People's Republic of China and bilateral trade in the next year. This conclusion is robust when we consider different quantitative methods, sample selections, and dataset. In addition, the results still holds when the interest similarity with Albania is applied as an instrumental variable to solve the problem of endogeneity.

> Zijun Luo, Yonghong Zhou, Decomposing the Effects of Consumer Boycotts: Evidence from the Anti-Japanese Demonstration in China, Empirical Economics, 2020, 58(6), 2615-2634. (link)

This paper quantifies the Chinese consumers' boycott of Japanese cars that immediately followed the anti-Japanese demonstrations in September 2012. We decompose the total boycott effect into two effects: the transfer effect, which refers to consumers switching from Japanese to non-Japanese brands, and the cancellation effect, which captures decline in sales due to consumers exiting the market. We find that the cancellation effect accounts for more than 90% of the total decline in Japanese car sales, implying a small substitution effect in the automobile market, even though brands of all other countries have benefited. This paper provides evidence of both negative and positive impacts of political conflicts for different market participants and includes analysis with welfare implications.

> Yonghong Zhou, Rong Zhu, Xian Zheng, Second Language Skills and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the Sovereignty Transfer of Hong Kong, China Economic Review, 2020, 59, 101366. (link)

This paper analyzes the effects of second languages skills on labor market outcomes in Hong Kong. Using data from the Hong Kong Population Censuses, we find that both Mandarin and English language skills are linked to improved labor market performance, and the premiums for English are much larger than those for Mandarin. We further show that the sovereignty transfer of Hong Kong from the UK to China in 1997 has strengthened the positive role of Mandarin and English language skills in finding a job in Hong Kong. The political change has also increased the earnings of people with the ability to speak Mandarin. As a comparison, the earnings premium for speaking English has declined in magnitude after the sovereignty transfer. Investigating into the mechanisms, we show that the rising premiums for Mandarin language skills are operated through choices of occupations and industry sectors. Our findings suggest that important political changes can affect the economic returns to language skills in the labor market.

> Yi Pan, Yonghong Zhou, War Memory: Evidence from Assistance during Great East Japan Earthquake, Defence and Peace Economics, 2019, 30(7): 830-845. (link)

On the basis of a natural experiment related to the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, the present work empirically analyzes the relationship between historical events and current attitude and determines whether regions that suffered severely during the Japanese invasion in World War II expressed small concern during the earthquake. After controlling for geographical distance, bilateral trade, and political characteristics, a negative relationship is found between the duration of invasion and number of related deaths in the invaded regions and their governments’ efforts in assisting Japan after the earthquake. Further analysis shows that political similarity to Japan helped in assisting them after the earthquake, but this effect was reduced for regions that sustained many deaths during the Japanese invasion. In addition, a mediation effect test shows that the help extended by Japan to several countries after the war through the Japanese official development assistance did not positively influence the amount of aid provided by such regions to Japan after the earthquake. These studies provide new evidence of the long-lasting influence of war. However, no robust evidence is found about the relationship between death rate and war memory. Therefore, even large countries cannot tolerate serious suffering during painful historical events.

Chinese

林淑贞、周泳宏:饥荒、性格形成与心理健康,劳动经济研究,2019,7(6),117-143. 

周泳宏、王璐:国际政治冲突对贸易的影响分析:以中日关系为例,中国经济问题,2019,5,54-67. 

周泳宏、谭海泉:抵制日货有效吗?来自汽车销售的证据,经济学报,2017,4(3),108-126. 

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