Published Article
Abstract
The use of the Internet to access news has an impact on African citizens’ perceptions of democracy. Using repeated cross-sectional data from the Afrobarometer survey across 35 African countries over the period 2011–2018, along with an instrumental variable approach, allows addressing potential endogeneity bias between Internet use and citizens’ perceptions. The results indicate that using the Internet to obtain information has a significant negative effect on both the preference for and the perception of the extent of democracy. This negative effect is due to several factors. First, Internet use erodes trust in government institutions, mainly in the parliament and the ruling party. It increases the perception that parliament members are involved in corruption. In addition, the erosion of trust is correlated with more political mobilization, in the form of greater participation in demonstrations and voting. These results echo the existing literature and, in particular, hint at the risks of reversal of nascent democratization processes. Finally, the Internet seems to act as a misinformation channel. On the one hand, Internet users’ perception of the extent of democracy and perception of the corruption of legislators diverge from experts’ assessments. On the other hand, Internet use increases the likelihood of inconsistency in respondents’ stances on their preference for democracy. The Internet is not a neutral information channel: it tends to undermine citizens’ preference for democracy while also altering perceptions about political institutions.
Working Papers
Immigration, Identity Choices, and Cultural Heterogeneity. (With Riccardo Turati and Jérôme Valette)
How does immigration challenge the identities and cultural homogeneity of receiving societies? This paper investigates this question by analyzing the impact of immigration on cultural heterogeneity in Europe between 2004 and 2018. It combines regional cultural fractionalization indices derived from the European Social Survey with immigration shares from the European Labor Force Survey. The findings indicate that immigration increases the salience of birthplace along cultural lines and fosters a shift toward nativist identities and nationalism among the population. In response to the perceived challenge of cultural diversity, natives increasingly align their norms and values with those of the broader native-identified population.
Labor Market Effects of Public Employment Guarantee. (with Nelly Elmallakh, Luca Flabbi, Roberta Gatti, Mohamed Saleh)
Public employment guarantee schemes, which channeled graduates into lifetime positions in the civil service and state-owned enterprises, were central to state-led industrialization across the postcolonial world, yet they have remained far less studied than temporary workfare programs. This paper provides the first causal estimates of their labor market effects, exploiting the Arab Republic of Egypt’s archetypal public employment guarantee, which from the early 1960s guaranteed public sector jobs to secondary and university graduates without competitive examination. The paper measures district-level exposure by secondary school supply on the eve of the reform (1959/60) and links it to individual-level census microdata from 1986, 1996, and 2006. Using an event-study design with continuous treatment intensity, the analysis compares cohorts that differed in age at the time of the public employment guarantee’s introduction across districts with differing pre-reform school supply. The findings show that the public employment guarantee reallocated urban male wage employment away from the private sector and toward state-owned enterprises, with no comparable shift in rural districts, where state-owned enterprises were largely absent. The reallocation was concentrated in manufacturing and high-skilled white-collar occupations, consistent with the policy channeling educated workers into sectors that were central to the state’s industrialization drive. The paper finds little evidence that the public employment guarantee raised educational attainment, indicating that it primarily redirected an already growing pool of educated workers rather than expanding the supply of schooling.
Work in Progress
The Impact of Nursery Quality, Empowerment, and Nutrition Interventions on Early Childhood Development and Women’s Employment in Egypt. (with Bruno Crépon, Caroline Krafft, Abdelrahman Nagui, Mohamed Elkaramany) - Implementation phase
Evaluating the environmental and economic impact of used cooking oil collection through local partners in Egypt. (with Bruno Crépon and Abdelrahman Nagy) – Inception phase
The Double-Edged Sword: Male Migration and Females Left Behind Labor Supply in Egypt.