Publications
2024
Chen, X., and F. D. Marks, 2024: Parameterizations of boundary layer mass fluxes in high-wind conditions for tropical cyclone simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 81, 77-91. [PDF] [Print Coverage] [New feature of the tc_pbl in HAFS-B]
Rios-Berrios, R., P. M. Finocchio, J. J. Alland, X. Chen, M. S. Fischer, S. N. Stevenson, and D. Tao, 2024: A review of the effects of vertical wind shear on tropical cyclone structure and intensity. J. Atmos. Sci., EOR. [PDF] [Print Coverage] [A useful "Handbook" for scientists studying TC-Shear interaction]
Hazelton, A., X. Chen, G. J. Alaka, Jr., G. Alvey, S. Gopalakrishnan, and F. D. Marks, 2024: Sensitivity of HAFS-B tropical cyclone forecasts to planetary boundary layer and microphysics parameterizations, Wea. Forecasting, 39, 655-678. [PDF]
Wang, W., J. Han, J. Shin, X. Chen, A. Hazelton, L. Zhu, H.-S. Kim, X. Li, B. Liu, Q. Liu, J. Steffen, R. Sun, and W. Zheng, 2024: Physics Schemes in the first version of NCEP Operational Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS), Frontiers in Earth Science, 12. [PDF]
2023
Chen, X., A. Hazelton, F. D. Marks, G. J. Alaka, and C. Zhang, 2023: Performance of an improved TKE-based eddy-diffusivity mass-flux (EDMF) PBL scheme in 2021 hurricane forecasts from Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 321-336. [PDF] [Print Coverage] [Featured at NOAA/AOML #HAFS]
Fischer, M. S., P. D. Reasor, B. H. Tang, K. L. Corbosiero, R. D. Torn, and X. Chen, 2023: A tale of two vortex evolutions: Using a high-resolution ensemble to assess the impacts of ventilation on a tropical cyclone rapid intensification event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 151, 297-320. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
Chen, X., C. M. Rozoff, R. F. Rogers, K. L. Corbosiero, D. Tao, J.-F. Gu, F. Judt, E. A. Hendricks, Y. Wang, M. M. Bell, D. P. Stern, K. D. Musgrave, J. A. Knaff, and J. Kaplan, 2023: Research advances on internal processes affecting tropical cyclone intensity change from 2018–2022. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, [PDF]
Ko, M.-C., X. Chen, M. Kubat, and S. Gopalakrishnan: The development of a consensus machine learning model for hurricane rapid intensification forecasts with Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) data. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 1253-1270. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
Hazelton, A., G. J. Alaka, Jr., L. Gramer, W. Ramstrom, S. Ditchek, X. Chen, B. Liu, Z. Zhang, L. Zhu, W. Wang, B. Thomas, J. Shin, C.-K. Wang, H.-S. Kim, X. Zhang, S. Gopalakrishnan, A. Mehra, and F. Marks, 2023: 2022 Real-Time Hurricane Forecasts from an Experimental Version of the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFSV0.3S), Frontiers in Earth Science, 11. [PDF]
2022
Chen, X., 2022: How do planetary boundary layer schemes perform in hurricane conditions: A comparison with large‐eddy simulations. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 14, e2022MS003088. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
Chen, X., G. H. Bryan, A. Hazelton, F. D. Marks, and P. Fitzpatrick, 2022: Evaluation and improvement of a TKE-based eddy-diffusivity mass-flux (EDMF) planetary boundary layer scheme in hurricane conditions. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 935-951. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
2021
Chen, X. and G. H. Bryan, 2021: Role of advection of parameterized turbulence kinetic energy in tropical cyclone simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 78(11), 3559-3574. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
Chen, X., G. H. Bryan, J. A. Zhang, F. D. Marks, and J. J. Cione, 2021: A framework for simulating the tropical-cyclone boundary layer using large-eddy simulation and its use in evaluating PBL parameterizations. J. Atmos. Sci., 78(11), 3593-3611. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
Chen, X., J.-F. Gu, J. A. Zhang, F. D. Marks, R. F. Rogers, and J. J. Cione, 2021: Boundary layer recovery and precipitation symmetrization preceding rapid intensification of tropical cyclones under shear. J. Atmos. Sci., 78, 1523-1544. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
Chen, X., M. Xue, B. Zhou, J. Fang, J. A. Zhang, and F. D. Marks, 2021: Effect of scale-aware planetary boundary layer schemes on tropical cyclone intensification and structural changes in the gray zone. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 2079-2095. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
Wu, D., F. Zhang, X. Chen, A. Ryzhkov, K. Zhao, M. R. Kumjian, X. Chen, and P.-W. Chan, 2021: Evaluation of microphysics schemes in tropical cyclones using polarimetric radar observations: Convective precipitation in outer rainband. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 1055-1068. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
2020
Cione J. J., G. H. Bryan, R. Dobosy, J. A. Zhang, G. Boer, A. Aksoy, J. B. Wadler, E. A. Kalina, B. A. Dahl, K. Ryan, J. Neuhaus, Ed Dumas, F. D. Marks, A. M. Farber, T. Hock, and X. Chen, 2020*: Eye of the storm: Observing hurricanes with a small unmanned aircraft system, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E186-E205. [PDF] [BAMS interview] [Print Coverage] [NOAA AOML Outstanding Paper Award]
2019
Chen, X., J. A. Zhang, F. D. Marks, 2019: A thermodynamic pathway leading to rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in shear. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 9241– 9251. [PDF] [Print Coverage]
2018
Chen, X., M. Xue, and J. Fang, 2018: Rapid intensification of Typhoon Mujigae (2015) under different sea surface temperatures: Structural changes leading to rapid intensification. J. Atmos. Sci., 75, 4313-4335. [PDF]
Chen, X., Y. Wang, J. Fang, and M. Xue, 2018: A numerical study on rapid intensification of Typhoon Vicente (2012) in the South China Sea. Part II: Inner-core processes. J. Atmos. Sci., 75, 235-255. [PDF]
Wu D., K. Zhao, M. Kumjian, X. Chen, H. Huang, M. Wang, A. C. Didlake, Y. Duan, and F. Zhang, 2018: Kinematics and microphysics of convection in the outer rainband of Typhoon Nida (2016) revealed by polarimetric Radar. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 2147-2159. [PDF]
2017 and earlier
Chen, X., Y. Wang, K. Zhao, and D. Wu, 2017: A numerical study on rapid intensification of Typhoon Vicente (2012) in the South China Sea. Part I: Verification of simulation, storm-scale evolution and environmental contribution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 877-898. [PDF]
Zhao, K., M. Wang, M. Xue, P. Fu, Z. Yang, X. Chen, Y. Zhang, W. Lee, F. Zhang, Q. Lin, and Z. Li, 2017: Doppler radar analysis of a tornadic miniature supercell during the Landfall of Typhoon Mujigae (2015) in South China. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1821-1831. [PDF]
Chen, X., Y. Wang, and K. Zhao, 2015: Synoptic flow patterns and large-scale characteristics associated with rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones in the South China Sea. Mon. Wea. Rev., 43, 64-87. [PDF]
Chen, X., K. Zhao, W.-C. Lee, B. Jong-Dao Jou, M. Xue, and P. R. Harasti, 2013: The improvement to the environmental wind and tropical cyclone circulation retrievals with the modified GBVTD (MGBVTD) technique. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 52, 2493-2508. [PDF]