Research Papers

Publications

1. Politics at Work. (with Emanuele Colonnelli and Edoardo Teso). Forthcoming at the American Economic Review 

Covered by Kellogg Insight, Chicago Insight, Chicago Booth Review  and VoxDev

2. Firm and Worker Responses to Extensions in Paid Maternity Leave. (with Cecilia Machado and Christiane Szerman). Journal of Human Resources, 2025. 

3. Assessing Political Bias and Value Misalignment in Generative Artificial Intelligence. (with Fabio Motoki and Victor Rodrigues). Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2025. 

4. Natural disasters and financial technology adoption.  (with Bruno Delalibera, Fernando Barros, and Victor Rangel). Economics Letters, 2025. 

5. Social mobility and CCT programs: The Bolsa Família program in Brazil. (with Eloah Fassarella , Sergio Ferreira , Samuel Franco, Giovanna Ribeiro, Vinicius Schuabb e Paulo Tafner.). World Development Perspectives, 2024. 

6. Inequalities in the geographic access to delivery services in Brazil. (with Cecilia Machado, Felipe Lima, Soraya Roman & Gilson Dutra.). BMC Health Services Research, 2024. 

7. More Human than Human: Measuring ChatGPT Political Bias. (with Fabio Motoki and Victor Rodrigues.). Public Choice, 2023. 

Covered by almost 170 pieces of news coverage within the first five days after publication – including the Washington Post, Telegraph, Daily Mail, Sky News, Forbes, Yahoo News Radio 5 Live, and many more national and international outlets. See the attached list. 

8. Bonus for firearms seizures and police performance. (with Fernando Barros Jr, Bruno Delalibera and Victor Rodrigues.). Economics Letters, 2022.

Working Papers

1. Cash and Care: Evaluating the Role of Financial Support and Health Requirements on Birth Outcomes (with Tiago Bonomo and Cecilia Machado). R&R - Journal of Development Economics

2. Economic conditions and voting behavior (with Gustavo Correa-da-Silva, Fernando Barros, and Victor Rangel). R&R - Public Choice

3. Optimal Distribution of Hospital Infrastructure: Trade-off between distance and quality (with Gustavo Schlemper). R&R - Brazilian Review of Econometrics

4. Optimal Provision of Urban Infrastructure: Theory and Evidence from Brazilian Cities. (with Bruno Barsanetti and T.L. Padovani)

5. Epidemics Control Using Optimal Age-Dependent Vaccination Policies. (with Alexandre Madureira and Eduardo Campos). New version coming soon.

6. Technology and Distance in Delivery: The Role of Proximity to Specialized Neonatal Care in Reducing Neonatal Mortality.  (with Cecilia Machado,  Soraya Roman and Felipe Lima). New version coming soon.

7. Conditional Cash Transfers and Voting Behavior. New version coming soon.

8. Too Late for a Change? Youth Unresponsiveness to Cash Transfers.  (with Cecilia Machado and Christiane Szerman). New version coming soon.

9. With a Little Help from my Friends: Better Policy Outcomes Through Coordination (with Rudi Rocha and João Santos). New version coming soon.

10. Social Policy and Resilience: A Geospatial Analysis of Climate Change's Impact on Migration Among Vulnerable Agricultural Producers. (with with Vinicius Schuabb,  Pedro Chaves Maia, Sergio Guimarães, and Paulo Tafner). New version coming soon.

11. Resilience in Adversity: How Social Policies Amend Labor and Capital Mobility in the Face of Extreme Weather Events (with with Vinicius Schuabb,  Pedro Chaves Maia, Sergio Guimarães, and Paulo Tafner). New version coming soon.

Publications in Brazilian Journals

1. The Decline in the Return on Education for Wages at the Regional Level in Post-Pandemic Brazil. Brazilian Review of Econometrics, 2025. (with Guilherme Cota and Katia Aiko.)

2. Effects of Economic and Educational Conditions on Crime Rates. Brazilian Review of Econometrics, 2025. (with Kaio Torres.)

3. Parenthood and the Gender Gaps in the Brazilian Labor Market. Brazilian Review of Econometrics, 2023. (with Janaina Feijo and Luisa Cardoso.)

4. Desempenho dos estudantes ao final do ensino médio: Mensurando a influência direta e indireta da educação dos pais. Revista Brasileira de Economia (RBE), 2022. (with Janaina Feijo and João Mário)

5. Predictability of Aggregate Consumption in Brazil: habits, Non-Separability between Consumption and Leisure, or Credit Constraint? Brazilian Review of Econometrics, 2018. (with Fernando Barros Júnior and Bruno Delalibera)

6. Novas perspectivas decorrentes da decomposição da desigualdade de renda brasileira: descobrindo uma maior relevância para a formalização. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, 2018. (with Janaína Feijó and João Mário)

7. Transferências condicionais de renda e nutrição: efeitos do bolsa família nas áreas rurais e urbanas do Brasil. Economia Aplicada, 2017. (with Cecilia Machado)

8. Custo das flutuações econômicas após o Plano Real. Economia Aplicada, 2017. (with Fernando Barros Júnior)

9. Capital humano e desigualdade salarial no Brasil: uma análise de decomposição para o período 1995-2014. Estudos Economicos, 2016. (with Vitor Hugo and João Mário)

10. Um Novo Método de Decomposição da Variação da Pobreza usando Dados em Painel: Uma Aplicação para os Estados Brasileiros no Período 2001-2009. Revista Econômica do Nordeste, 2013.