Knowledge Base

General Trading

Q001. What do y’all think of a possible recession coming soon in the next year or two? Fed can’t keep pumping billions of dollars into the repo market forever. The rug will be pulled sooner or later and we’ll see a collapse in the financial markets worse than in 2008?

A. Do not fight the Fed. Play until the music stops but you get nimbler/up here at these levels. Play smaller/with hedges. all the impt CBs are going full blown QE again, you cant fight that. I am afraid there is NO cookie cut answer for this, it depends on your age, your risk tolerance - aggressive, balanced, or conservative. Old rule of thumb used to be have 100 - your age % in stock, but with people living longer the recommendation is leaning to have 110 - age or even 120 - age allocated in stocks.

Read this article to get a better insight: https://www.thebalance.com/allocate-your-401k-money-2388534

Q002: Why should people buy apr month strikes in January?

A: Those strikes are cheaper now and stock may make a big upside move in the upcoming month strike may get closer to ATM or ITM (at the money or inside the money) giving big gains after an earnings/other events in between. If it does not happen you lose the premium. Its like a calculated guess/risk/ratio. Don't buy these far strikes for buying today and selling tomorrow. you may not be even sell the option position because the bid is lower than your purchase price even though the stock has gone up the next day.

Q003: 01/07/20 Can someone explain why FCEL is bearish although it went up today morning?

A. They upgraded their stack life from 5 to 7 yrs. Why Is It Moving?: FuelCell Energy (FCEL): FuelCell Energy shares are trading higher after the company gave an update on the switch from five-year stack design to seven-year stack design. The stack life improvement was achieved with less than a 5% increase in the cost of the stack module

Q. What does this mean?

AMZN
01/24/20
1815
CALLS
1908.31
67 @ 102.00
BLOCK
$683K

A. Look at the original message; trade if for AMZN 1815 calls and stock was at 1908, deep in the money.


What is Deep In The Money? A deep in the money option has an exercise, or strike price, significantly below (for a call option) or above (for a put option) the market price of the underlying asset. The value of such an option is nearly all intrinsic value and minimal premium.

A. If 50 day moving avg. crosses 100 day and 200 day moving avg. it's a big bullish breakout scenario. eg: China internet ETF.

Q. "SNAP flagging near 17.70 +1.03 Looks higher" what does that mean?

Means it went 1.03 up since market open at the time I posted it and has chance to go 17.7 price today

Q. What does the term lotto mean "I bought zm 70C 0117 and 72 weekly as lotto"

A. Its makes it or break it, but be ready to lose capital. So zm weekly 72 is lotto meaning am ready to lose all money with that call

Q. What is FLOAT ?

A. The float is the number of shares actually available for trading. Float is calculated by subtracting closely held shares -- owned by insiders, employees, the company's Employee Stock Ownership Plan or other major long-term shareholders -- from the total shares outstanding

Q. What Are FAANG Stocks ?

A. In finance, “FAANG” is an acronym that refers to the stocks of five prominent American technology companies: Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Netflix (NFLX); and Alphabet (GOOG) (formerly known as Google).

Trading Jargon

ww = Worth Watching (put the chart on screen, if you see volume come in or if it breaking a resistant spot add)


UT = Up Trend

DT = Down Trend

LOD = Low of Day

HOD = High of day

SHOD = Stop high of day

SLOD = Stop low of day

H/S = Head and shoulders chart formation

SS = Short Sale (short the stock)

Pull = Stock sold off quickly

Rip = Stock going parabolic (pushing to the upside quickly)

Pop = Stock went up quickly, .15-.5 on a bid

Next Spot = Next resistance area on chart aka the chart has ROOM to this area, typically the chart will push up into the resistance spot if the volume is there. (always take some money into the spots)

Former = Former runner. Usually a .01-$10 stock that goes parabolic fairly quickly and has had a history of running up quickly

Keep on radar = put the chart up on side charts, watch for volume to come in

take some = take some profits (sell) or Cover

mm = Market Makers

b = Buy

s = Sell

pig = typically low floats or smaller stocks that move up in higher percentages because they get over crowded by retail buying on PR or MOMO

itm = in the money

R/R = Reward to Risk Ratio

+ = Positive Note (relating to news or PR)

-= Negative Note (relating to news or PR)

d/g = Downgrade

u/g = Upgrade

Lotto = Options that expire that day and are usually out of the money, Risk to Zero

Weekly = This weeks Expiration

PTP = is a Ponytail Pimp: any unusual option flow mentioned and followed by one of the Najarian Bros on Fast Money Halftime

Trgt = price target on the position

Roll = Taking the profits form the last position on the name and buying a higher or lower strike

Q. What is a golden Cross?

A. If 50 day moving avg. crosses 100 day and 200 day moving avg. it's a big bullish breakout scenario. eg: China internet ETF.

Q. What is Day Trading?

A. Day trading is the practice of buying and selling stocks in a short timeframe, typically a day. The goal is to earn a tiny profit on each trade and then compound those gains over time.

Q. Who is a Pattern Day Trader?

A. Pattern day trader is a FINRA designation for a stock market trader who executes four or more day trades in five business days in a margin account, provided the number of day trades are more than six percent of the customer's total trading activity for that same five-day period.

Q. What if I violate Pattern Day Trader Rule?

A. if you violate PDT no new positions can be entered (you can only close existing position) for next 90 days. you can do a PDT reset once every 90 days or 180 days

Q. What happens if an account with less than $25,000 is flagged as a day trading account? Or, if the account is flagged as a PDT account, and the value subsequently falls below the SEC required $25,000 minimum (intraday included)?

A. The customer has the following options:

Deposit funds to bring the account's equity up to the SEC required minimum of $25,000

Wait the required 90 day period before any new positions can be initiated

Request a PDT account reset

Q. What happens If I do multiple PDT violations?

A. if you violate it will you get a 90 day ban or you can still do BTST within that 90 days. Then with multiple violations you could be in jeopardy of having your account closed.

Q. How do I reset PDT violations?

A. The flag can be reset 1 time in 90 days . Call the broker and ask them to reset it. Some say 3 times per 90 days but as per FINRA rules its 1.

Q. What is Swing Trading?

A. Swing trading is a speculative trading strategy in financial markets where a tradable asset is held for between one and several days in an effort to profit from price changes or 'swings'. Swing trading seeks to capitalize on the upward and downward “swings” in the price of a security. Traders hope to capture small moves within a larger overall trend. Swing traders aim to make a lot of small wins that add up to significant returns.

Q. What are the platforms that allow for premarket orders?

A. IBKR - from 4am, TDAmeritrade, Charles Schwab, E*Trade etc.

Q. Typically ITM calls should be closed when ? A day before expiry ? On the day ?

A. There's no requirement to close. You can let it expire too, but they will assign stocks if you have enough cash to carry the stock or they will close the position and give you the profit as of friday 4pm. Another thing with ITM is you may get assignment any night before expiration, but no big deal you can close the stocks next morning and take the same profit

Q. When will issue arise in closing ITM calls?

A. Issue is (happens in friday lotto too) you don't close by 4pm and its inside the money the assign the stock friday night if you have cash, the monday morning that stock drops you will have a loss until stock bounces again

Q. When to exit a profitable trade?

A. For example lets consider the ticker "TTD", if you had multiple contracts (2,3,4 etc) best strategy is to sell first one to lock your profit, second one on next price target and the last contract let it run till 3.55pm

Tools

Q. How do you draw support and resistance automatically in ThinkorSwim.

A. https://usethinkscript.com/threads/auto-pivot-points-support-resistance-indicator-for-thinkorswim.158/

Q: In Robinhood you can set only one type of SELL/BUY order but not more then that. For example SEED I did a stop order for 4.69 but i also wanted to do a sell limit for 7.50. Cant do that. I am assuming its not just Robinhood its all trading platforms ?



A. Its call bracket order. A.K.A OCO (One Cancel Other). I use on Fidelity. I guess other good platforms offer too.

Q. Why you need a better broker than Robinhood?

  • You cannot trade options on last day
  • Margin requirements are much higher 5 to 7 times when doing naked options sells.
  • Bid/ask you can do a better spread on other brokers 1 cent wise vs robinhood forces for 5 cent min increment

Options Trading

Q. How far out from expiration do you usually trade? Anything specific to protect against theta decay?

A. For each type of trade I have a different goal. There is no one size fit all when it comes to options. Here my goal is to play increasing vol and hopefully delta. I am not trying to hold past earnings. I wanna sell before earnings when vol is highest. When we sell spreads we want not the absolute theta to be negative but derivative of theta to be highly negative. Meaning its rate of decrease is more important than just absolute theta.

Q: What’s ‘unusual’ options activity?

A: Unusual options activity (UOA) many times is a ‘tell’, a signal that there is a likelihood of a potential large move in the underlying stock. This informed activity is usually initiated by hedge funds and institutional traders. These insiders will use the options market to make very large bets to profit on the leverage that options provide. Frequently they will use the options market to pre-position in advance of an impending news announcement, such as a takeover, that may not be public knowledge.

Q. What is a lotto option?

A. Rolling a lotto option. You enter a lotto call for that week friday expiration and run it go higher. But if you think stock may drop or has peaked you encashed the full gains and enter a higher strike for smaller premium. The point is you maximised your gains on initial lotto run and rolled over to the next one for next leg higher which is not sure sometimes

Q. What is Calendar Spread?

A. Example" Bought Amzn 2000 C Calendar spread 1/31 - 2/7 for $3.75

Q. What are some common Option Strategies

A. Covered Call

Married Put

Credit Spreads vs. Debit Spreads

Straddles

Strangles

Iron Condors

Butterfly Spreads

401K

Q. we have funds in 401 which are positive and I am in a thought to make into cash to avoid the volatility due to Iran issue. Can you share your thoughts?

Opinion 1: You cannot time the market; while you may think that sitting on the sidelines you’re safeguarding your money but at the same time you may miss on any growth. Attempting to time the market is not advised, particularly for beginning investors. Here are the statistics even if you’re not an active saver and say you put your money in SP500. You may even think about dollar cost averaging.

The S&P 500 Index originally began in 1926 as the "Composite Index" comprised of only 90 stocks. According to historical records, the average annual return since its inception in 1926 through 2018 is approximately 10%. The average annual return since adopting 500 stocks into the index in 1957 through 2018 is roughly 8% (7.96%).

Opinion 2: Good article on why to not sit out : https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2020/01/08/gradual-improvements-redux/ recession will eventually come, but if you think this is it, you will continue to miss out on the gains.

Opinion 3: For those who fear the all the highs..it's better to do half bonds and half others.. just to give peace of mind.. u can get some positive side.. but still remain a bit ok with bonds.

Q: On January 1st when Apple (AAPL) stock was at $300 I bought an Apple 380 call option and it went down today. But 410 call option went up. Does it happen like this?

A: Yes, it could. Reason? these are two far out of the money strike calls with low to no volume the % up or down are based on ask/bid which are very wide spread and last transaction that happened on that strike. For a thinner ask/bid spread you should trade on a lower strike.

Q. How to detect point of stock breakout and enter a position? 9day, 20 day, 100 day ema and find out the crossing curve/point.

A. What it means is find the point where it is supposed to cross the 100ema and set an alert on your trading platform. once the alert triggers you can put a market buy order. you cannot put a limit order in advance because it will buy immediately and support break many not happen and you will lose money from the first minute