Journal Articles

Badolato, L., A. Decter-Frain, N.J. Irons, M. Miranda, E. Walk, E. Zhalieva, M. Alexander, U. Basellini and E. Zagheni (forthcoming). 

The Limits of Predicting Individual-Level Longevity: Insights from the U.S. Health and Retirement Study

Demography. OSF R codes ; MPIDR Working Paper (OA)

Zazueta-Borboa, J.-D., U. Basellini, E. Zagheni, L. van Wissen, P. Martikainen and  F. Janssen (forthcoming).  

The Contribution of Educational Expansion to Trends in Life Expectancy and Lifespan Variation in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin)

Demography.

Miranda, M., C. Turra and U. Basellini (2025). 

Forecasting life expectancy in São Paulo City, Brazil, amidst the COVID-19 pandemic

Population Health Metrics, 23(36). Journal link (OA); Github R codes ; MPIDR Working Paper (OA)

Alburez-Gutierrez, D., U. Basellini and E. Zagheni (2025). 

When do mothers bury a child? Heterogeneity in maternal age at offspring loss

Population Studies, 79(1), 45-57. Journal link (OA); Github R codes ; MPIDR Working Paper

Gomez Ugarte, A.C., U. Basellini, C.G. Camarda, F. Janssen and E. Zagheni (2025). 

Reassessing socioeconomic inequalities in mortality via distributional similarities

Population Health Metrics. Journal link (OA); OSF R codes ; MPIDR Working Paper

Basellini, U. (2024). 

Open science practices in demographic research: an appraisal

Demographic Research, 50(43), 1265-1280. Journal link (OA); Github R codes ;  SocArXiv preprint 

Bonetti, M., U. Basellini and A. Nigri (2024). 

The Average Uneven Mortality index: Building on the "e-dagger" measure of lifespan inequality

Demographic Research, 50(44), 1281-1300. Journal link (OA); Github R codes ; SocArXiv preprint

Conte Keivabu, R., U. Basellini and E. Zagheni (2024). 

Racial disparities in deaths related to extreme temperatures in the United States

One Earth, 7(9), 1630-1637. Journal link (OA); OSF R codes ; MPIDR WP 

van Raalte, A.A., U. Basellini, C.G. Camarda M. Nepomuceno and M. Myrskylä  (2024). 

Response to Carl Schmertmann Commentary -- Drawing Cohort Profiles From Period Data: Improvements and Risks.

Demography, 61(4), 973-977. Journal link (OA); OSF R codes ; SocArXiv preprint 

Basellini, U., C.G. Camarda and H. Booth (2023). 

Thirty years on: A review of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality

International Journal of Forecasting, 39(3), 1033-1049. Journal link (OA); Github R codes ; SocArXiv pre-print (open access)

van Raalte, A.A., U. Basellini, C.G. Camarda M. Nepomuceno and M. Myrskylä  (2023). 

The dangers of drawing cohort profiles from period data: a research note

Demography, 60(6), 1689-1698. Journal link (OA); OSF R codes ; SocArXiv pre-print (open access)

Aburto, J.M., U. Basellini, A. Baudisch and F. Villavicencio (2022). 

Drewnowski's index to measure lifespan variation: Revisiting the Gini coefficient of the life table

Theoretical Population Biology, 148, 1-10. Journal link (OA); Github R codes ; arXiv pre-print

Basellini, U. and C.G. Camarda (2022). 

Explaining regional differences in mortality during the first wave of Covid-19 in Italy 

Population Studies, 76(1), 99-118.  Journal link (OA); OSF R codes ;  SocArXiv pre-print 

Nigri, A., J.M. Aburto, U. Basellini and M. Bonetti (2022). 

Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition

Scientific Reports, 12, 22624.  Journal link (OA); OSF R codes ; SocArXiv pre-print

 Vanella, P., U. Basellini and B. Lange (2021). 

Assessing Excess Mortality in Times of Pandemics Based on Principal Component Analysis of Weekly Mortality Data – The Case of COVID-19

Genus, 77, 16. Journal link (OA); ArXiv pre-print

Riffe, T., E. Acosta, U. Basellini, the COVerAGE-DB team (2021). 

Data Resource Profile: COVerAGE-DB: a global demographic database of COVID-19 cases and deaths.

International Journal of Epidemiology, 50(2), 390-390f.  Journal link (OA); OSF database ; Github page ; medRxiv pre-print

Basellini, U., D. Alburez-Gutierrez, E. Del Fava, D. Perrotta, M. Bonetti, C.G. Camarda and E. Zagheni (2021). 

Linking excess mortality to mobility data during the COVID-19 pandemic in England and Wales

SSM - Population Health.  Journal link (OA); OSF R codes ; SocArXiv pre-print

Press release from the MPIDR available here

Winner of the 2021 Jan M. Hoem Paper Award (MPIDR announcement)

Camarda, C.G. and U. Basellini (2021). 

Smoothing, Decomposing and Forecasting Mortality Rates

European Journal of Population, 37, 569-602. Journal link (full-text available from ResearchGate); OSF R codes

Short interview from INED (in French) available here

Bonetti, M. and U. Basellini (2021). 

Epilocal: A real-time tool for local epidemic monitoring

Demographic Research, 44(12), 307-332.  Online link (OA) ; Dedicated shinyapp ; ArXiv pre-print

Bocconi Knowledge News available here

Pascariu, M.D., U. Basellini, J.M. Aburto and V. Canudas-Romo (2020). 

The Linear Link: Deriving Age-Specific Death Rates from Life Expectancy

Risks, 8(4), 109. Online link (OA), Github R codes 

Basellini, U., S. Kjærgaard and C.G. Camarda (2020). 

An age-at-death distribution approach to forecast cohort mortality

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 91, 129-143. Science direct link, Pre-print version, GitHub R codes 

Short summary (in French) in the INED 2020 Annual Report available here

Aburto, J.M., F. Villavicencio, U. Basellini, S. Kjærgaard and J.W. Vaupel (2020). 

Dynamics of life expectancy and life span equality 

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(10), 5250-5259. PNAS link (OA), Zonedo R codes 

Basellini, U., and C.G. Camarda (2019). 

Modelling and Forecasting Adult Age-at-death Distributions

Population Studies, 73(1), 119-138. Taylor & Francis link, Post-print version, GitHub R codes 

Basellini, U., V. Canudas-Romo and A. Lenart (2019). 

Location-Scale Models in Demography: A Useful Re-parameterization of Mortality Models

European Journal of Population, 35, 645-673. Springer link, Post-print version, GitHub R codes

Sutter, A., S. Barton, M.D. Sharma, U. Basellini, D. Hosken and C.R. Archer (2018). 

Senescent declines in elite tennis players are similar across the sexes

Behavioral Ecology, 29(6), 1351-1358.  Oxford Academic link (OA)

Archer, C.R., U. Basellini, J. Hunt, S.J. Simpson, K.P. Lee and A. Baudish (2018). 

Diet has independent effects on the pace and shape of aging in Drosophila melanogaster

Biogerontology, 19(1), 1-12.  Springer link (OA)

Gigliarano, C., U. Basellini and M. Bonetti (2017). 

Longevity and concentration in survival times: the log-scale-location family of failure time models

Lifetime Data Analysis , 23(2), 254-274.  Springer link ; Full-text view-only version ; Dondena working paper