Hazardous Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Tulsa OK

505 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as

much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

RISK...Limited.

AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

ONSET...This Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.

RISK...Limited.

AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this morning across northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas as an outflow/frontal boundary sags into the area. No severe weather is expected this morning. Redevelopment is expected this afternoon and evening along the boundary, mainly impacting northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Afternoon and evening storms may become strong to severe and produce large hail and damaging wind gusts, mainly between 3 and 8 PM. There is a low chance storms may impact locations as far south as Interstate 40 by this evening. Precipitation will decrease in coverage and intensity by late evening with loss of daytime heating. Heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding will also be possible due to slow storm motions, particularly along and north of Highway 412.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...

Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

There is a low chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms Saturday for much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. No severe weather is expected Saturday afternoon. Additional storms

will approach the area from the west late Saturday night into Sunday morning. This activity will likely be weakening with time, but some strong winds will be possible as storms move into northeast Oklahoma. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms may develop Sunday afternoon and evening with potential for large hail, damaging winds, and a low tornado threat.

The weather pattern remains active into early next week, with additional thunderstorm and severe weather chances Monday through Wednesday. There is potential for more significant severe weather during this period as several disturbances move into the plains. Timing and spatial details will be refined as more data becomes available, so please monitor the forecast during this period.

In addition to the severe potential, heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding will also be possible over the next several days. Mainstem river flooding 

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.