Hazardous Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Tulsa OK

1258 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as

much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.

RISK...Limited.

AREA...North and west of Tulsa.

ONSET...Ongoing...ending by sunset.

DISCUSSION...

Northeast winds will gust to around 20 mph behind a weak front mainly west of highway 75 and north of I-44. The winds and low humidity will yield a limited fire weather danger through the afternoon.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...

Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

Saturday through Thursday.

SATURDAY...High Wind Potential.

SUNDAY...Thunderstorm...Winter Weather...Very High Fire Weather and High Wind Potential.

MONDAY through WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.

THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Gusty winds will develop Saturday and persist through Saturday night. A strong cold front will sweep quickly across the region on Sunday. A line of showers and scattered storms is expected to develop along the front by early afternoon mainly along and east of highway 69. Some of this storm activity may become severe with damaging winds and possibly some hail the primary threat. Strong northwest winds will overspread the region behind the fast-moving front and will become very gusty, with gusts between 45 and 55 mph expected. Despite the cooling temps behind the front, the drier air moving into the region and gusty winds will support aggressive fire spread behavior. Light precipitation is expected to linger long enough behind the front for temperatures to cool enough to support a change over to snow mainly close to the Kansas and Missouri borders. Some light accumulations are forecast mainly across far northeast Oklahoma into the Ozarks of northwest Arkansas. A killing freeze is expected Sunday and Monday nights. Warmer weather arrives for the middle to latter part of next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.