My PhD looked at how the economic theories central bankers hold shape monetary policy-making. Specifically, I studied how the theory of the so-called "natural rates" (of unemployment, of interest and of growth) not only underpins the paradigm of modern monetary policy-making and central banks' mandates but also shapes how central banks act. It is (one of) the main justification for the paradigm but has increasingly come under strain with "empirical anomalies" (hysteresis, endogeneity) after the 2008 crisis building up. My empirical analysis included, one the one hand, semi-structured interviews with high-level central bankers to examine how they square belief in the theory with these anomalies. On the other hand, I conducted both a quantitative and and qualitative text analysis of central bankers' speeches and research papers published by central banks. The central banks of the Eurozone, Chile, Argentina and the US serve were my cases. The time horizon under investigation was the monetary policy after the 2008 financial crisis.
Here you can read the Introduction which gives a fairly good idea of the whole thing:
A first step in my research has recently been published in this paper on how policy-makers at the Federal Reserve think about the NAIRU (see below). The work was picked up by Josh Mason in a piece he wrote for Barrons.
The goal of this project was simple: who does the state owe to? That is, who are the state's creditors? As is well-known, for every private debt, for example in the form of a loan or bond, there is a counterpart that lent the money in the first place (i.e., the creditor). The same is true for public debt. Surprisingly, however, we know relatively little about who these creditors are. Most publicly available data is very general, giving only an aggregate perspective on the holding structure of government debt while disaggregated data are either non-existent or highly confidential. I've conducted an in-depth investigation for the case of Italian public debt securities and published the work here (open access).
At the moment, I'm working on a project to make existing data on this question more publicly available and also build a website to compile different data sources. If you're interested in this topic and/or might want to join the collaborative effort to create more transparency, feel free to get in touch.
The papaer was cited by the ECB in its Economic Bulletin Issue 3/2021 (p. 65) and Adam Tooze wrote a piece on it for Social Europe