Policy Work

Publications

Stefan Gebauer (2022) "The Importance of Supply-Side Bottlenecks in France", Banque de France Eco Notepad No. 252.

Stefan Gebauer, Jean-François Ouvrard, Camille Thubin (2021) "Uncertainty Due to Covid-19 is Contributing to French Household Savings", Banque de France Eco Notepad No. 206.

Heike Belitz, Marius Clemens, Stefan Gebauer, Claus Michelsen (2020) "Öffentliche Investitionen als Triebkraft privatwirtschaftlicher Investitionstätigkeit", DIW Politikberatung Kompakt 158.

Marius Clemens, Stefan Gebauer, Tobias König (2020) "European Bank Deposit Insurance Could Cushion Impact of Corona-Induced Corporate Insolvencies", DIW Economic Bulletin 32/33/2020.

Kerstin Bernoth, Marius Clemens, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Stefan Gebauer (2020) "Identifying Effective Combinations of Economic Policy Measures for the Coronavirus Recession in Europe", DIW Economic Bulletin 23/2020.

Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Stefan Gebauer, Thore Schlaak (2020) "Nach dem Brexit kommt die Übergangsphase: Deutsche Wirtschaft leidet weiter unter Unsicherheit" (German), DIW Aktuell 26

Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Andrej Drygalla, Stefan Gebauer, Oliver Holtemöller, Martina Kämpfe, Axel Lindner, Claus Michelsen, Malte Rieth, Thore Schlaak (2019) "Short-Term Effects of a "Brexit" on the German Economy", IWH Online 3/2019

Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Stefan Gebauer, Thore Schlaak (2019) "Falls das Brexit-Abkommen scheitert: Wie teuer harter Brexit und Verschiebung wären" (German), DIW Aktuell 25

Stefan Gebauer (2019) "Noch schlechter als ein ungeordneter Brexit wäre nur eine andauernde Hängepartie" (German), DIW Economic Bulletin 31/2019.

Stefan Gebauer, Alexander S. Kritikos, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Anselm Mattes, Malte Rieth (2019) "Italy Must Foster High Growth Industries", DIW Economic Bulletin 9/2019.

Stefan Gebauer (2018) "Streit um italienischen Haushalt: Kompromiss ist noch möglich" (German), DIW Economic Bulletin 44/2018. (Video)

Stefan Gebauer (2018) "Neuwahlen allein lösen Italiens Probleme nicht", DIW Economic Bulletin 22/2018.

Marius Clemens, Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth (2017) "Early Exit from ECB Bond Purchase Program Could Reduce GDP Growth and Inflation", DIW Economic Bulletin 49/2017.

Hanne Albig, Marius Clemens, Ferdinand Fichtner, Stefan Gebauer, Simon Junker, Konstantin Kholodilin (2017) "How Rising Income Inequality Influenced Economic Growth in Germany", DIW Economic Bulletin 10/2017.

Stefan Gebauer (2017) "The Use of Financial Market Variables in Forecasting", DIW Roundup 115.

Kerstin Bernoth, Stefan Gebauer, Dorothea Schäfer (2017) "Monetary Policy Implications of Financial Innovation: In-Depth Analysis", European Parliament Monetary Dialogue IP/A/ECON/2017-02 May 2017.

Forecasting Activities

Banque de France/Eurosystem macroeconomic projections (quarterly forecasting exercise) between December 2020 and June 2022. List of published forecasts available here.

DIW Berlin Economic Outlook (quarterly forecasting exercise) between fall 2016 and summer 2020. List of published forecasts available here.

Joint Economic Forecast ("Gemeinschaftsdiagnose") of Germany's leading economic research institutes between fall 2018 and spring 2020. List of published forecasts available here.