Contributions: Lab members (in bold) and collaborators (bold-italic)
Embedded Files
2026
2026
56. Hossain MP, Chen D, Yeung A, Dillon CA, Lim WW, Lau YC, Lau EHY, Wong JY, Ho F, Gao H, Wang L, Du Z, Wu P, Cowling BJ, Ali ST†,#; Inferring diagnostic serial intervals to understand COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Hong Kong and Mainland China. Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2026, jiag443. [Senior/last author and corresponding author, IF 4.1 (2025), rank 25/142 infectious diseases]. LINK.
55. Hossain MP, Mahmood R, Bari FS, Kana AN, Ahamed B, Shanta MA, Afrin S, Akter M, Anika TA, Nurunnahar M, Tasnim SJ, Siddique AB, Li L, Ali ST†,#; Clinical and haematological correlates of severe dengue using 2023 epidemic data: a multicentre tertiary hospital-based analysis from Dhaka, Bangladesh 2025. PLOS Negl. Trop. Med., 2026, 20(7): e0013729. [†Senior/last and #communicating author, IF 3.6 (2026), rank 3/35 Tropical Medicine]. LINK.
54. Guo Z, Pan K, Zhao Y, Ali ST, Wang K, Cao L, Cui Z, Liu S, Chong KC, He D, Zhao S, Hao Y; Characteristics and Superspreading Potential of Andes Virus Person-to-Person Transmission. Emerg Infect Dis., 2026;32(10). [IF 7.9 (2026), rank 10/141 infectious diseases] LINK.
53. Guo Z, Yu Y, Ding Z, Cao L, Ali ST, Cui Z, Wang K, Chong MKC, He D, Zhao S, Habib AG, Hao Y; Early transmission risks of Ebola disease outbreak caused by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Journal of Travel Medicine, 2026; Accepted. [IF 5.19 (2025), rank 4/92 Infectious Diseases (Science)]. LINK.
52. Achangwa C, Cho S, Ko Y, Kim BI, Ali ST, Pei S, Ryu S, Incubation Period of Pertussis During a School-based Outbreak, South Korea, 2024, The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2026, jiag318 [IF 4.1 (2025)]. LINK.
51. Chen L, Mi J, Wang Y, Chen Z, Wang J, Guo Z, Gu H, Chi Q, Cao L, Ji R, Luotebula K, Yang S, Kong Y, Wang K, Ali ST, He D, Chong MC, Zhao S, Wang K, Hao Y, Hui DSC, Feng Z. Influenza vaccine protection and contact patterns among outpatients with influenza-like illness during the 2024–2025 season in China: a test-negative case-control study. J Glob Health. 2026; 16:04253. [IF 5.5 (2025), rank 12/180 Public Health]. LINK.
50. Wu Q, Guo Z, Yuan Z, Ali ST, Wang K, Ryu S, Cao L, Sun S, Chong MKC, Musa SS, He D, Zhao S, Feng Z, Habib AG, Hao Y. Rapid assessment of local disease control measures against the Marburg virus outbreak in Ethiopia in late 2025. Infectious Disease Modelling, 2026, 11(4), 1579-82. [IF 2.5 (2025)]. LINK.
49. Kailun Pan K, Guo Z, Yuan Z, Ali ST, Wang K, Ryu S, Cao L, Sun S, Chong MKC, Mandal S, He D, Zhao S, Feng Z, Hao Y; Superspreading potential of Nipah virus disease despite self-limited human-to-human transmission in community. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2026, 168, 108683. [IF 4.3 (2024)]. LINK.
2025
2025
48. Chen D, Adam D, Lau, YC, Wang D, Lim WW, Ho F, Tsang T, Lau EYC, Wang L, Wu P, Wallinga J, Cowling BJ, Ali ST†; Investigating setting-specific superspreading potential and generation intervals of COVID-19 in Hong Kong. Nature Communications, 2025, 16:5816. [†Senior/last author, IF 16.6 (2024), rank 7/71 Multidisciplinary Sciences]. LINK.
47. Yao Z, Ryu S, Chan KYE, Xiong J, Lau YC, Kim T, Lee S, Wang L, Li L, Wu P, Cowling BJ, Ali ST†; Environmental and social driving factors of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease (HFMD) seasonality in South Korea and Hong Kong. Journal of Infection and Public Health, 2025, 2025, 18 (12): 102963. [†Senior/last author, IF 4.00 (2024), rank 14/72 in Infectious Diseases]. LINK.
46. Liu Z, Yin J, Huang J, Ali ST, Song P, Zhou Y, He Q, Zhang L, Wang Y, Gao H, Li L; Health Impact Assessment of Greenness Promotion on Mortality in 98 Cities in China; Landscape and Urban Planning, 2025, 263 (105457) [IF 9.2 (2024), rank 1/41 Urban Studies]. LINK.
45. Yuan Z, Ge Y, Guo Z, Lei H, Cai J, Musa SS, Ali ST, Xue J, Wang K, Ryu S, Chong KC, He D, Zhao S, Habib AG, Hao Y; Transmission characteristics of Sudan virus disease outbreak in Uganda in early 2025, Journal of Travel Medicine, 2025; 32(4), taaf036. [IF 39.19 (2022), rank 4/92 Infectious Diseases (Science)]. LINK.
44. Lee EW, Cho S, Kang HM, Ali ST, Ryu S; Post-pandemic shift in scarlet fever incidence toward older children in South Korea and Taiwan, Journal of Infection, 2025, 91 (3), 106593. [IF 11.9 (2024), rank 4/94 infectious diseases]. LINK.
43. Oh J, Kim D, Achangwa C, Ali ST, Ryu S; Identifying gaps in research on infectious diseases among migrants in Korea: implications for future studies, J Korean Med Sci. 2025; 40(28): e142. [IF 3.00 (2023)]. LINK.
2024
2024
42. Ali ST, Chen D, Lim WW, Yeung A, Adam DC, Lau YC, Lau HYE, Wong JTY, Xiao J, Ho F, Gao H, Wang L, Xu XK, Du Z, Wu P, Leung GM, Cowling BJ; Insights into COVID-19 epidemiology and control from temporal changes in serial interval distributions in Hong Kong. Am. J. Epidemiol., 2024, 194(4), kwae220. [First author, IF 5.00 (2024), rank 48/207 Public, Environmental & Occupational Health]. LINK.
41. Lau, YC, Shan S, Wang D, Chen D, Du Z, Lau EHY, He D, Tian L, Wu P, Cowling BJ, Ali ST†; Forecasting of Influenza Activity and Associated Hospital Admission Burden and Estimating the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on 2019/20 Winter Season in Hong Kong. PLOS Comput. Biol., 2024, 20(7): e1012311. [†Senior/last author, IF 4.78 (2021), rank 3/20 Bioinformatics and Computational Biology]. LINK.
40. Lau, YC, Ryu S, Du Z, Wang L, Wu P, Lau EYC, Cowling BJ, Ali ST†; Impact of COVID-19 control measures on respiratory syncytial virus and hand-foot-and-mouth disease transmission in Hong Kong and South Korea. Epidemics, 2024, 49, 100797. [†Senior/last author, IF 3.0 (2024)]. LINK.
39. Ali ST#, Wu P, He D, Tian L, Cowling BJ; Forecasting influenza epidemics in Hong Kong using multiple streams of syndromic and laboratory surveillance data: abridged secondary publication; Hong Kong Med J 2024;30(Suppl 1): S4-8. [First & #Corresponding author, IF 3.7 (2023)]. LINK.
38. Kim D, Lei H, Xiao S, Ali ST, Ryu S, Vicente CR; Editorial: Impact of public health and social measures for COVID-19 control on infectious disease epidemiology. Front. Public Health, 2024, 12: 1440084. [IF 5.20 (2022)]. LINK.
37. Guo F, Zhang P, Do V, Gerhardus A, Runge J, Zhang K, Han Z, Deng S, Lin H, Ali ST, Chen R, Guo Y, Tian L. Ozone as an environmental driver of influenza. Nature Communications, 2024, 15, 3763. [IF 17.69 (2021), rank 7/71 Multidisciplinary Sciences]. LINK.
2023
2023
36. Ryu S, Han C, Ali ST*, Achangwa C, Yang B and Pei S; Association of public health and social measures on the hand-foot-mouth epidemic in South Korea; Journal of Infection and Public Health 16 (2023) 859–864. [*Joint-first author, IF 7.54 (2022), rank 14/72 in Infectious Diseases]. LINK.
35. Bai Y, Shao Z, Zhang X, Chen R, Wang L, Ali ST, Chen T, Lau EHY, Jin D-Y, Du Z; Reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants, China, December 2022–January 2023; Journal of Travel Medicine, 2023, 30 (5), taad049. [IF 39.19 (2022), rank 4/92 Infectious Diseases (Science)]. LINK.
34. He D, Cowling BJ, Ali ST, Stone L; Rapid global spread of Variant of Concern of SARS-CoV-2. Int J Infect Dis Reg. 2023, 7: 63-65. LINK.
2022
2022
33. Ali ST, Lau YC, Shan S, Ryu S, Du Z, Wang L, Xu X, Xiong J, Chen D, Tae J, Tsang TK, Wu P, Lau EHY, Cowling BJ; Prediction of upcoming global infection burden of influenza seasons after relaxation of public health and social measures for COVID-19 pandemic, Lancet Global Health, 2022, 10(11), e1612-22. [First author, IF 38.93 (2022), rank 4/793 under the category of “Medicine”]. LINK.
32. Chen D, Lau YC, Xu XK, Wang L, Du Z, Tsang T, Wu P, Lau HYE, Wallinga J, Cowling BJ, Ali ST†; Inferring time-varying generation time, serial interval and incubation period distributions for COVID-19, Nature Communications, 2022, 13 (1): 7727. [† Senior/last author, IF 17.69 (2021), rank 7/71 Multidisciplinary Sciences]. LINK.
31. Ali ST, Cowling BJ, Wong JY, Chen D, Shan S, Lau EHY, He D, Tian L, Li Z, Wu P; Influenza seasonality and its environmental driving factors in mainland China and Hong Kong, Science of the Total Environment, 2022, 818, 151724. [First author, IF 10.75 (2021), rank 25/274 Environmental Sciences]. LINK.
30. Ali ST, Yeung A, Shan S, Wang L, Gao, H, Du Z, Xu X, Wu P, Lau EHY, Cowling BJ; Serial intervals and case isolation delays for COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clinical Infectious Diseases (2022);74(4):685–94. [First author, IF 21.00 (2021), rank 6/94 infectious diseases]. LINK.
29. He D, Ali ST*, Fan G, Gao D, Song H, Lou Y, Zhao S, Cowling BJ, Stone L; Evaluation of Effectiveness of Global COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign. Emerg Infect Dis., 2022;28(9):1873-1876. [Joint-first author, IF 16.16 (2021), rank 4/82 infectious diseases]. LINK.
28. Ryu S, Chun JY, Lee S, Yoo DS, Ali ST†, Chun BC; Epidemiology and transmission dynamics of infectious diseases and control measures. Viruses 2022, 14(11), 2510. [Joint Senior author, IF 5.82 (2021), rank 10/36 virology]. LINK.
27. Kim D, Ali ST, Kim S, Jo J, Lim JK, Lee S and Ryu S; Estimation of serial interval and reproduction number to quantify the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in South Korea. Viruses 2022, 14, 533. [IF 5.82 (2021), rank 10/36 virology]. LINK.
26. Lin Y, Yang B, Cobey S, Lau EHY, Adam D, Wong JY, Bond H, Cheung JK, Ho F, Gao H, Ali ST, Leung N, Tsang TK, Wu P, Leung GM, and Cowling BJ; Incorporating temporal distribution of population-level viral load enables real-time estimation of COVID-19 transmission, Nature Communications. (2022), 13, 1155. [IF 17.69 (2021), rank 7/71 Multidisciplinary Sciences]. LINK.
25. Kang M, Xin H, Yuan J, Ali ST, Liang Z, Zhang J, Hu T, Lau EHY, Zhang Y, Zhang M, Cowling BJ, Li Y, Wu P; Transmission dynamics and epidemiological characteristics of Delta variant infections in China. Euro Surveill. 2022;27(10). [IF 21.0 (2021), rank 5/95 infectious diseases]. LINK.
24. Ryu S, Kim D, Lim J-S, Ali ST, Cowling, BJ. The serial interval and transmission dynamics during the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant predominance in South Korea. Emerg Infect Dis., 2022;28(2):407-410. [IF 16.16 (2021), rank 4/82 infectious diseases]. LINK.
23. Mefsin YM, Chen D, Bond HS, Lin Y, Cheung JK, Wong JY, Ali1 ST, Lau EHY, Wu P, Leung GM, Cowling BJ; Epidemiology of infections with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 variant in Hong Kong, 3 January-March 2022. Emerg Infect Dis., 2022;28(9):1856-1858. [IF 16.16 (2021), rank 4/82infectious diseases]. LINK.
22. Hua X, Kehoe AD, Tome J, Motaghi M, Ofori SK, Lai P-Y, Ali ST, Chowell G, Spaulding AC, Fung IC; Late surges in COVID-19 cases and varying transmission potential partially due to public health policy changes in 5 Western states, March 10, 2020-January 10, 2021. Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness, 2022, pp. 1-28. [IF 5.56 (2021), rank 51/210 Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health (Science)]. LINK.
21. Shao Z, Ma L, Bai Y, Tan Q, Liu XF, Liu S, Ali ST, Wang L, Lau EHY, Cowling BJ, Du Z; Impact of mass rapid antigen testing for SARS-CoV-2 to mitigate Omicron outbreaks in China, Journal of Travel Medicine, 2022; 29 (8), taac110. [IF 39.19 (2022), rank 4/92 Infectious Diseases (Science)]. LINK.
20. Du Z, Wang L, Shan S, Lam D, Tsang TK, Xiao J, Gao H, Yang B, Ali ST, Pei S, Fung IC, Lau EHY, Liao Q, Wu P, Meyers LA, Leung GM, Cowling BJ; Pandemic fatigue impedes mitigation of COVID-19 in Hong Kong. PNAS, 2022 119 (48), e2213313119. [IF 12.78 (2021), rank 9/73 Multidisciplinary Sciences]. LINK.
2021
2021
19. Ali ST, Cowling BJ; Influenza Virus: Tracking, Predicting and Forecasting. Annual Review of Public Health, 2021, 42:43-57. [First author, IF 21.98 (2021), rank 4/203 Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health (Science)]. LINK.
18. Ryu S, Hwang, Y, Ali ST*, Kim D, Klein EY, Lau EHY, Cowling, BJ. Decreased use on broad-spectrum antibiotics during COVID-19 epidemic in South Korea. J Infect Dis. 2021 224, 6: 949–955. [Joint-first author, IF 5.02 (2019), rank 4/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
17. Ryu S, Ali ST, Noh E, Kim D, Lau EHY, Cowling, BJ. Transmission dynamics and control of two epidemic waves of SARS-CoV-2 in South Korea. BMC Infectious Diseases (2021) 21:485. [IF 3.09 (2020), rank 57/92 infectious diseases]. LINK.
16. Du Z, Wang L, Yang B, Ali ST, Tsang TK, Shan S, Wu P, Lau EHY, Cowling BJ, and Meyers LA; Risk for International Importations of Variant SARS-CoV-2 Originating in the United Kingdom. Emerg Infect Dis. (2021), 27 (5). [IF 6.88 (2020), rank 7/94 infectious diseases]. LINK.
15. Xin H, Wong JY, Murphy C, Yeung A, Ali ST, Wu P, Cowling BJ, The incubation period distribution of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clinical Infectious Diseases (2021), 16;73(12):2344-2352. [IF 21.00 (2021), rank 6/94 infectious diseases]. LINK.
14. Martín-Sáncheza M, Lima WW, Yeung A, Adam DC, Ali ST, Lau EHY, Wu P, Yuen K-Y, Leung GM, Cowling BJ; COVID-19 transmission in Hong Kong despite universal masking. J. Infect. 2021, 83 (1), 92-95. [IF 38.64 (2021), rank 4/94 infectious diseases]. LINK.
13. Lau YC, Tsang TK, Kennedy-Shaffer L, Kahn R, Lau1EHY, Chen D, Wong JY, Ali ST, Wu P, Cowling BJ, Joint Estimation of Generation time and Incubation period for Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), J Infect Dis. 2021 224,10,1664-1671. [IF 7.76 (2021), rank 4/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
2020
2020
12. Ali ST, Wang L, Lau EHY, Xu X, Du Z, Wu Y, Leung GM, Cowling BJ; Serial interval of SARS-CoV-2 was shortened over time by non-pharmaceutical interventions. Science (2020), 369, 6507, pp. 1106-1109. [First author, IF 47.73 (2020), rank 2/64 multidisciplinary sciences]. LINK.
11. Cowling BJ, Ali ST*, Ng TWY, Tsang TK, Li JCM, Fong MW, Liao Q, Kwan MYW, Lee SL, Chiu SS, Wu JT, Wu P, Leung GM; Impact assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions against coronavirus disease 2019 and influenza in Hong Kong: an observational study. Lancet Public Health. (2020) 5 (5), e279-e288. [Joint-first author, IF 21.65 (2020), rank 5/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
10. Ali ST, Tam CC, Cowling BJ, Yeo, KT, Yung CF; Role of meteorological factors on respiratory syncytial virus transmission in Singapore; Scientific Reports (2020), 10 (1), 20469. [First author, IF 5.13 (2020), rank 15/69 multidisciplinary sciences]. LINK.
9. Xu X, Liu X, Wu Y, Ali ST*, Du Z, Bosetti P, Cowling BJ, Wang L; Reconstruction of Transmission Pairs for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China outside Hubei Province: Estimation of Super-spreading Events, Serial Interval, and Hazard of Infection. Clinical Infectious Diseases (2020); 71(12), ciaa790. [Joint first author, IF 9.08 (2020), rank 3/92 infectious diseases]. LINK.
8. Ryu S, Ali ST, Jang C, Kim B, Cowling BJ. Effect of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on Transmission of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, South Korea. Emerg Infect Dis. (2020), 26 (10): 2406-2410. [IF 7.42 (2018), rank 5/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
7. Ryu S, Ali ST, Cowling BJ, Lau EHY. Effects of school holidays on seasonal influenza in South Korea, 2014-2016. J Infect Dis. (2019) 4; 222(5): 832-835. [IF 5.02 (2020), rank 4/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
6. Ryu S, Ali ST, Lim J, Chun BC; Estimate number of individuals infected with the 2019-novel coronavirus in Seoul, South Korea due to the influx of international students from countries with virus risk: a simulation study. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2020, 17(9), 3113. [IF 3.39 (2020), rank 73/180 Public, Environmental & Occupational Health]. LINK.
2019 and before
2019 and before
5. Ali ST, Cowling BJ, Lau EHY, Fang VJ and Leung GM; Mitigation of influenza B epidemic with school closures, Hong Kong, 2018. Emerg. Infect. Dis (2018); 24(11), 2071-2073. [First author, IF 7.42 (2018), rank 5/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
4. Ali ST, Wu P, Cauchemez S, He D, Fang VJ, Cowling BJ and Linwei T; Ambient ozone and influenza transmissibility in Hong Kong. Eur. Respir. J. (2018); 51 (5), 1800369 [First author, IF 12.24 (2018), rank 4/63 respiratory system]. LINK.
3. Yang J, Lau Y, Wu P, Feng L, Wang X, Chen T, Ali ST, ...Cowling BJ; Variation in Influenza B Virus Epidemiology by Lineage, China. Emerg. Infect. Dis (2018); 24(8), 1536-1540. [IF 7.42 (2018), rank 5/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
2. Ali ST#, Kadi AS and Ferguson NM; Transmission dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in India: The impact of holiday related school closure. Epidemics (2013); 5 157-163 [First & #Corresponding author, IF 2.38 (2013), rank 31/89 infectious diseases]. LINK.
1. Gani SR, Ali ST and Kadi AS; The transmission dynamics of pandemic influenza A/H1N1 2009-2010 in India; Current Science (2011); 101 8, p1065. [IF 0.94 (2011)]. LINK.
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