Promises vs. Performance

Ridership & Cost Predictions

Sound Transit is notorious for inflating ridership predictions and underestimating costs to obtain funding.

References & Calculations

a. Sound Transit, "Sound Move -- The 10-Year Regional Transit System Plan As Adopted May 31st 1996,"

b. Table 16:Rail station boardings:Seattle to SeaTac light-rail line 105,000 daily boardings, 32 million annual boardings by 2010

c. Sound Move includes 25-miles of a starter light rail system

d. 25-miles total - 1.6 miles Tacoma = 23.4 miles Seattle (a minimum of 21 miles promised for Seattle)

e. ten-year implementation-"RTA is committed to the entire system being completed and operational within 10 years," (2006)

f. "Sound Move is based on extremely conservative cost and ridership assumptions"

Cost Overruns and Missed Construction Deadlines

While Sound Transit advertised being, "on-time and on-budget," in their ST3 voter literature, their own publications prove that is a total lie.

References & Calculations

i. Sound Transit 2015 annual riders from Sound Transit Light Rail Obscene Costs , Sound Transit Seattle Light Rail Key Facts and Data, ref. f) 11,707,604 2015 Central link boardings 11.707 million 2015 riders / 305 = 38,3833 weekday riders


Construction Cost per Rider

References & Calculations

a. Sound Transit, "Sound Move -- The 10-Year Regional Transit System Plan As Adopted May 31st 1996,"

Table 16:Rail station boardings:Seattle to SeaTac light-rail line 105,000 daily boardings, 32 million annual boardings by 2010

Sound Move includes 25-miles of a starter light rail system

25-miles total - 1.6 miles Tacoma = 23.4 miles Seattle (a minimum of 21 miles promised for Seattle)

ten-year implementation-"RTA is committed to the entire system being completed and operational within 10 years," (2006)

"Sound Move is based on extremely conservative cost and ridership assumptions"

Table 18: Farebox recovery: Light Rail 53% (2010)

m. Progress Report Link Light Rail, March 2015, Sound Transit, 3.15 miles, $1.948 billion

n. Cost per mile as of 2014

from Sound Transit Light Rail Extreme Costs , Sound Transit Voter Approved Light Rail Taxpayer Funding ,

ref. e) 2.835 billion (2014$) / 21.0 miles = 135 million (2014$)/mile: Promised

ref. f) 2.9315 billion (2014$) / 15.6 miles = 188 million (2014$)/mile: Reality (before University Link)

o. Cost per mile as of 2016 (including University Link)

(2.9315 billion (2014$) + 1.948 billion (year of expenditure))/ 15.6 + 3.15 miles = 260 million (2014$)/mile