Upcoming Seminars

場所：2号館11階経済学部会議室B

Venue: 11th Floor, Bldg. No.2 Meeting Room B 

幹事/Organizer：長谷部拓也/Takuya Hasebe

言語/Language：日本語/Japanese

要旨/Abstract: This study examines how wartime destruction affects postwar fertility beyond directly damaged areas by analyzing spatial spillovers of World War II air raids in Japan. Exploiting Allied forces’ city-targeting strategy, this study investigates whether urban bombing affected postwar fertility in nearby undamaged towns and villages. Using town- and village-level data for the Kinki region, covering birth rates in 1935 and 1947, combined with information on city-level bombing intensity and proximity to bombed cities, the study finds that air raids influenced postwar fertility within at least 15 kilometers. Furthermore, the study leverages the fact that the Allied bombers approached Japan from the southeast, generating directional variation in exposure to air raid threats and associated fear, as a natural experiment to identify potential mechanisms. The estimated increase in fertility is larger in the southeast than in other directions, suggesting that wartime fear is a key channel driving higher fertility after the war. 

場所：2号館11階経済学部会議室B

Venue: 11th Floor, Bldg. No.2 Meeting Room B 

幹事/Organizer：長谷部拓也/Takuya Hasebe

言語/Language：TBA

要旨/Abstract: TBA