In science, inference is an explanation that is made after one or more observations. Naturally, during our observations, we bring in our own prior knowledge and blend it with the new information that we gather through our observations. Our ability to make inferences comes at the intersection of our prior knowledge and our gathering of new knowledge.
Inferences are occasionally confused with guesses. A guess is made without sufficient information and the person making the guess is not sure if he or she is correct. An inference is supported by observations or data, and is often the best conclusion available at the time the inference is made.
An activity with mystery bags encourage students to make observations and gather evidence as they learn the contents of the bag. Students will use their prior knowledge and the new knowledge gained through their observation to infer what is inside each bag.
Materials for multiple bags:
One brown paper bag (or box) per group
Stapler or tape
Common materials found at home or at school, such as:
Unsharpened pencils
Empty soda cans
Marbles in a tin can
Golf ball
Crumpled paper
A paper towel dipped in vanilla extract and left to dry
Place one or two items in each bag. Attempt to pair items that create interesting sounds, textures or smells when paired together. For example, a marble in an Altoids container will make a unique sound when students shake the bag. Once the items are in the bag, staple or tape the bag shut.
Instruction
Provide one mystery bag per group. Tell students that they will attempt to describe the inside of the mystery bag to the best of their ability without looking in the bag and without destroying the bag.
Students get 10 minutes to explore the contents of the bag in groups. At the ten minute mark, bring the groups back together and ask what strategies each group has used. List the strategies on the board. Provide the students an additional 15 minutes to explore the contents of the bag.
Once time is up, ask students to use inferences to draw the contents of their mystery bag on a piece of paper.
When the drawings are done, each group shares their findings with the rest of the class.
If you need to keep the bags sealed for another group, take a photograph of the contents of each bag to share with the students instead. This way, students can confirm their inferences. Alternatively, do not tell students the content of the mystery bags. After all, scientists are not always able to discover the "correct answer" at the end of their observations!
View the photographs on the left. Based on what you know and what you see, what conclusion can you come to?
In these two examples, we use our prior knowledge related to human emotion to come to conclusions or interpretations.
Try finding photographs that are ambiguous and share them with your students. The selected photographs do not need to be science content related. Instead, students are practicing their science skills that they can later use within a science content context.