Embedded Files
The 2024 U.S. House elections in New Jersey, a cluster of contests that Democrats won by a combined 7.1% is the second most Republican that the NJ House vote was relative to the nation throughout the Trump Era, with NJ only having a redder lean in 2016.
Mostly off off a collapse amongst Hispanic support, in addition to relatives of Representative Rob Menendez Jr, and Donald Norcross being indicted For Crimes (of which neither representative are currently implicated) NJ Dems had their worst House performance since 2014 when Dems won the Generic House vote by D+2%
The Swing since 2022 makes what occured Plain as day, in addition to losing longtime Paterson Legend Bill Pascrell, and the aforementioned scandal Penalties,
losing Hispanic support and an increase in incumbency advantage in the Westfield area (which he repped as it's state senator for over a decade) for (R) Tom Kean Jr was the main reason that NJ swung by R+3% vs 2022
Here, the rise in turnout also dampened GOP Reps Jeff Van Drew and Chris Smith's margins vs 2022.
However, while the suburbs did ever so slightly trend towards Democrats—the overal failure to make substancial absolute gains in NJ's educated suburbs to counterbalance the Hispanic vote further contributed to the swing right vs 2022.
Page updated
Google Sites
Report abuse