I'm going to come clean with Y'all, on the Right my predictions from (9/24/2020) on the left (10/17/2020). I'll admit I became(wrongly) more bullish on senate dems as Time went on.
(9/24/2020)
(10/17/2020)
(8/5/2020)
(9/3/2020)
I also beleived there would be a Dem wave, so, that colors some of the bullishness in my predictions.
Note* This was confidence and I watched way too much left media during the election season
Also, Though this does not excuse my awful ratings this was my first time at this rodeo.
Also I bought into the ET Hype that the Ann Selzer poll did not matter and was burned for it. Hence why Iowa is lean D in the final one. I thought nothing had changed from the mid-October season where Ernst was the underdog because of her bad debate.
One mistake I won't repeat
I am proud of my Michigan and final North Carolina ratings though. I thought those Races would be closer than expected and I was right.
Lastly on the Senate Front, Doug Jones in Alabama was likely my most egregious call at Lean R, should have been safe, or at worst, Likely in Retrospect.
Also here's my Final Presidential Prediction. Maine's 2nd and Missouri were very bad calls on my part
Election Day
Also here’s my gubernatorial Ratings. (Last updated on October 17)
I made no House Predictions, or State Row Officer Predictions, or State Legislature predictions