Below are lecture notes from my Spring 2025 course on Probabilistic Methods. Source material include The Probabilistic Method by Noga Alon and Joel Spencer as well as online materials from Yufei Zhao and Luke Postle. Beware: there may be many typos!
Basics
Linearity of Expectation
Turan Theory
Alterations
Second Moment Methods
Chernoff Bounds
Rodl Nibble
Lovasz Local Lemma
Moser--Tardos Algorithm
Correlation Inequalities
Martingales and Tight Concentrations
McDiarmid and Talagrand Inequalities
The Poisson Paradigm
Codes, Games, and Entropy: Liar games
Entropy and Applications
Dependent Random Choice
Discrepancy
Lower bounds