Unlocking New Methods to Estimate Country-specific Trade Costs and Trade Elasticities (with M. Larch, A. Theodorakopoulos, and Y. Yotov). Journal of Applied Econometrics. (2025). [BoE WP] [CESifo WP] [Drexel WP] [VoxEU]
Hidden Exposure: Measuring US Supply Chain Reliance (with R. Baldwin and A. Theodorakopoulos). Brookings Papers for Economic Analysis. (2023). [BPEA Conference Draft] [NBER WP] [CEPR DP] [VoxEU]
News Coverage: New York Times (30 December 2023); The Times (15 October 2023); EMS now (2 October 2023)
Brookings Commentary Podcast: What do we miss in standard supply chain measures? (21 December 2023)
Deconstructing Deglobalization: The Future of Trade is in Intermediate Services (with R. Baldwin and A. Theodorakopoulos). Asian Economic Policy Review. (2023). [WP]
The Impact of Non-Tariff Barriers on Trade and Welfare (with S. Dhingra and H. Huang). Economica. (2023) Vol. 90. [CEP/LSE WP] [VoxEU]
Risks and Global Supply Chains: What We Know and What We Need to Know (with R. Baldwin). Annual Review of Economics. (2022) Vol. 14. [NBER WP] [CEPR DP] [BoE WP] [VoxEU]
News Coverage: The Times (16 November 2021)
Gravity Model Estimates of the Spatial Determinants of Trade, Migration, and Trade-and-Migration Policies (with J. Lewis). Economics Letters (2021) Vol. 204. [VoxEU]
Are All Trade Agreements Equal? The Role of Distance in Shaping the Effect of Economic Integration Agreements on Trade Flows (with S. Pienkangura). Review of World Economics (2019) 155(2), 257–285. [WB WP] [VoxEU]
Deep Integration and Trade: UK Firms in the Wake of Brexit (with M. Garafolo, E. Longoni, K. Manova, R. Mari, T. Prayer and T. Sampson), LSE Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper 2066 (2024) [VoxEU] [Blog: UK In A Changing Europe] [Blog: CEP/LSE]
Selected News Coverage: Financial Times (18 Dec. 2024); The Times (18 Dec. 2024); The Guardian (18 Dec. 2024); Politico (18 Dec. 2024); City AM (18 Dec. 2024); nu.nl (18 Dec. 2024)
Related Working Paper (product-level analysis): UK Trade in the Wake of Brexit (with K. Manova, T. Prayer, and T. Sampson), LSE Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper 1847 (2022). Selected News Coverage: Financial Times (26 April 2022); Bloomberg (26 April 2022); The Economist (30 April 2022); Washington Post (4 May 2022); BBC (12 May 2022)
Shock Transmission, Global Supply Chains, and Development: Assessing Responses to Trade Shocks (with A. Burman, P. Egger, J.C. Maur, N. Rocha, and A. Theodorakopoulos), Bank of England Staff Working Paper 1092 (2024)
Under Revise & Resubmit
Horses for Courses: Measuring Foreign Supply Chain Exposure (with R. Baldwin and A. Theodorakopoulos), NBER Working Paper 30525 (2022). [BoE WP]
Beyond Tariff Reductions: What Extra Boost to Trade from Agreement Provisions? (with S. Dhingra and E. Mavroeidi), LSE Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper 1532 (2018). [VoxEU]
Career of Doctorate Holders: Analysis of Labour Market and Mobility Indicators (with L. Auriol and M. Toshioku), OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Paper 2013/4 (2013).
Accounting for the Self-Employed in Labour Share Estimates: the Case of the United States, OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Paper 2011/4 (2011).
Facilitacion de Comercio en el Mercado Centroamericano (Ch. 2C) in El Comercio de Bienes y Servicios en Centroamerica: Una nueva Mirada (ECLAC, 2014).
Boosting Value Chains via Regional Aid for Trade (Ch. 4) (with M. Plummer and A. Tafti) in Aid for Trade at a Glance 2013: Connecting to Value Chains (OECD/WTO, 2013).
The Wage Share (Ch. 2 & Appendix 2) (w/ J. Pasteels) in ILO Global Wage Report 2010/2011 (ILO, 2011).
Gravity with Unobserved Trade Costs (with R. Dewitte nd A. Theodorakopoulos)
Unequal Migration (with J. Lewis, A. Theodorakopoulos, J. M.C. Santos Silva, S. Szymanski and S. Tenreyro)