Working Papers
This article documents the impact of the Brazilian railway network on technology adoption in the textile sector between the middle nineteenth and twentieth century. I exploit variation induced by geographic location, where municipalities near the least-cost routes were more likely to be connected to the railway system, to identify the effects of railroads on mechanized cotton spinning capacity. I show that the expansion of railways increased the adoption of new technologies in the textile industry. This technological advance occurred because of the entry of new firms and the modernization of existing factories. I show that railroads built to export coffee connected the national industry to the modern overseas machinery market. Municipalities connected to the railway system imported more textile machines than those without railways. In the medium term, this technological catch-up resulted in the shift of workers from the agricultural sector to the industrial sector. Despite the closure of many railway stations after the 1950s, municipalities initially connected to the railroad system continue to have higher per capita income than the non-connected. Overall, the results show the importance of domestic trade costs to partly explain the slow diffusion of new technologies and industrialization to the peripheral countries between the XIX and XX centuries.
Agrarian Elites, Education, and Structural Transformation (with Claudio Ferraz) [draft coming soon]
We study the relationship between the political power of agrarian elites in the early 20th century and the spread of mass schooling in Brazil. We use a novel dataset on the occupational structure of the voting elites, the identity of elected local politicians, and historical censuses to test whether the political power of agrarian elites explains differences in the expansion of mass schooling and patterns of structural transformation across municipalities. We find that the political power of agriculture elites in 1905 reduced investments in education and lower literacy rates for many decades. As a consequence of the educational backwardness, municipalities, where the agrarian elite had more political power, took longer to undergo structural transformation. Finally, we present evidence that improvements in education outcomes occurred only when elected politicians diversified from the original agricultural elites after the 1930s.
[Prepared for the book “Roots of Underdevelopment: A New Economic and Political History of Latin America and the Caribbean - volume 2”, edited by Felipe Valencia Caicedo.]
Publications
Subsidizing Access to Prescription Drugs and Health Outcomes: The Case of Diabetes (with Rudi Rocha)
Journal of Health Economics, v. 72, July 2020. [WP Version]
Renda Interna Bruta Real, Ganhos de Comércio e Termos de Troca no Brasil de 1948 a 2016 (with Estêvão Bastos)
Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, v. 48, August 2018, p. 39-56.
Books, Invited Papers and Reports
Efeitos do Copagamento de Medicamentos sobre Saúde no Brasil: Evidências do Programa Aqui Tem Farmácia Popular. Rio de Janeiro: BNDES, September 2017. 1. ed., v. 1. 124p .
Novos Cálculos da Taxa Efetiva Real de Câmbio para o Brasil (with Marcelo Nonnenberg, Alejandro Padrón and Beatriz Araujo). Nota Técnica, IPEA, 2015.