Research Outputs

Buckley Paules, J., Fatichi S., Warring B., and Paschalis A.. "T&C-CROP: representing mechanistic crop growth with a terrestrial biosphere model (T&C, v1. 5)–model formulation and validation." Geoscientific Model Development 18, no. 4 (2025): 1287-1305.

Paschalis, A., Bonetti, S., & Fatichi, S. (2025). Controls of ecohydrological grassland dynamics in agrivoltaic systems. Earth's Future, 13(3), e2024EF005183.

Wilson, C., Shonk, J. K., Bohnenstengel, S. I., Paschalis, A., & van Reeuwijk, M. (2025). Microscale to neighbourhood scale: Impact of shading on urban climate. Building and Environment, 275, 112721.

Sadatieh, M. S. M., Tsiampousi, A., & Paschalis, A. (2025). Numerical study of the effect of soil-plant-atmosphere interaction under future climate projections and different vegetation covers. Geomechanics for Energy and the Environment, 100697.

Meili, N., Zheng, X., Takane, Y., Nakajima, K., Yamaguchi, K., Chi, D., ... & Fatichi, S. (2025). Modeling the effect of trees on energy demand for indoor cooling and dehumidification across cities and climates. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 17(3), e2024MS004590.

Ren, J., Luo, Z., Luo, X., Galelli, S., Paschalis, A., Ivanov, V., ... & Fatichi, S. (2025). A synthesis of water, energy, and carbon fluxes sensitivity to climate variables in Southeast Asia. EGUsphere, 2025, 1-53.

Jones, G., Zhang, Z., Clayton, K., Lancastle, L., Paschalis, A., & Waring, B. (2025). Utilizing soil centrifugation for accurate estimates of carbon dioxide removal via enhanced rock weathering. Environmental Science & Technology.

Gavasso-Rita, Y. L., Zaerpour, M., Abdelmoaty, H., Li, Y., Elshorbagy, A., Schuster-Wallace, C., ... & Papalexiou, S. M. (2025). Rainfed spring canola yield response to changing heat and water stress in the Canadian Prairie region. Agricultural Water Management, 322, 109966.

Lian, T., Zhang, Z., Paschalis, A., & Bonetti, S. (2025). A hybrid framework for the spin-up and initialization of distributed coupled ecohydrological-biogeochemical models.

Zhao, J., Paschalis, A., Gentine, P., Feng, Z., & Fatichi, S. (2025). Limited capability of current satellite solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence reconstructions to capture stomatal responses to environmental stresses. Communications Earth & Environment.

Zhang, Z., Jones, G., Calabrese, S., Bertagni, M., Fatichi, S., Waring, B., & Paschalis, A. (2025). An Integrated Modelling Framework to Determine Terrestrial Carbon Dioxide Removal via Enhanced Rock Weathering. Global Change Biology, 31(12), e70650.

Chen, M., Mahto, S. S., He, X., Jun, C., Paschalis, A., Peleg, N., ... & Fatichi, S. (2025). Record-breaking rainfall: a stochastic approach for its prediction. npj Natural Hazards, 2(1), 98.

Parolari, A. J., & Paschalis, A. (2025). New methods needed to assess ecosystem productivity response to precipitation variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(20), e2025GL116247.

Paschalis, A., De Kauwe, M. G., Sabot, M., & Fatichi, S. (2024). When do plant hydraulics matter in terrestrial biosphere modelling?. Global Change Biology, 30(1), e17022.

Markonis, Y., Vargas Godoy, M. R., Pradhan, R. K., Pratap, S., Thomson, J. R., Hanel, M., ... & Papalexiou, S. M. (2024). Spatial partitioning of terrestrial precipitation reveals varying dataset agreement across different environments. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 217.

Habib, A., Paschalis, A., Onof, C., Bloomfield, J. P., Sorensen, J. P., & Butler, A. P. (2024). Study of the effect of local forcing on the fractal behaviour of shallow groundwater levels in a riparian aquifer. Hydrological Processes, 38(8), e15253.

Huang, W. T. K., Masselot, P., Bou-Zeid, E., Fatichi, S., Paschalis, A., Sun, T., ... & Manoli, G. (2023). Economic valuation of temperature-related mortality attributed to urban heat islands in European cities. Nature communications, 14(1), 7438.

Moustakis Y., Fatichi S., Onof, C.J., Paschalis, A., Insensitivity of Ecosystem Productivity to Predicted Changes in Fine-Scale Rainfall Variability (2022), Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences, e2021JG006735

Meili, N., Paschalis A., Manoli G., Fatichi S. "Diurnal and seasonal patterns of global urban dry islands." (2022), Environmental Research Letters, 17 (054044).

Peleg N., Ban N., Gibson M.J., Chen A., Paschalis A., Burlando P., Leitao J., Mapping storm spatial profiles for flood impact assessments, (2022), Advances in Water Resources, doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2022.104258

Zhang, Z., Paschalis, A., Mijic, A., Meili, N., Manoli, G., van Reeuwijk, M., & Fatichi, S. (2022). A mechanistic assessment of urban heat island intensities and drivers across climates. Urban Climate, 44, 101215.

Paschalis, A., Bonetti, S., Guo, Y., & Fatichi, S. (2022). On the uncertainty induced by pedotransfer functions in terrestrial biosphere modeling. Water Resources Research, e2021WR031871.

Chiu, C.T., Wang, K., Paschalis, A., Erfani, T., Peleg, N., Fatichi, S., Theeuwes, N. and Manoli, G., (2022). An analytical approximation of urban heat and dry islands and their impact on convection triggering. Urban Climate, 46, p.101346.

Zhang, Z., Mijic, A., Paschalis., A., (2021), Planning London's green spaces in an integrated water management approach to enhance future resilience in urban stormwater control, Journal of Hydrology, In Press

Moustakis, Y., Papalexiou, S., Onof, C., Paschalis, A., (2021), Seasonality, intensity and duration of rainfall extremes change in a warmer climate, Earth’s Future, In Press

Chen, Y., Paschalis, A., Kendon, E., Onof, C., (2021), Changing Spatial Structure of Summer Heavy Rainfall, Using Convection-Permitting Ensemble, Geophysical Research Letters, In Press

Dobson, B., Jovanovich, T., Chen, Y., Paschalis A., Butler, B., Mijic, A., Integrated modelling to support analysis of COVID-19 impacts on London's water system and in-river water quality, (2021), Frontiers in Water, In Press

Paschalis, A., Chakraborty TC., Fatichi, S., Meili, N., Manoli G., (2021) Urban forests as main regulator of the evaporative cooling effect in cities, AGU Advances, In Press

Chen, Y., Paschalis, A., Wang, L. P., & Onof, C. (2021). Can we estimate flood frequency with point-process spatial-temporal rainfall models?. Journal of Hydrology, 600, 126667.

Parolari, A. J., & Paschalis, A. (2021) Precipitation variability can bias estimates of ecological controls on ecosystem productivity response to precipitation change. Ecohydrology, e2384.

Paschalis, A., Fatichi, S., Zscheischler, J., Ciais, P., Bahn, M., Boysen, L., ... & Hanson, P. J. (2020). Rainfall manipulation experiments as simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: Where do we stand?. Global Change Biology, 26(6), https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15024.

Moustakis, Y., Onof, C. J., & Paschalis, A. (2020). Atmospheric convection, dynamics and topography shape the scaling pattern of hourly rainfall extremes with temperature globally. Nature Communications Earth & Environment, 1(11), https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-0003-0.

Fatichi, S., Manzoni, S., Or, D., & Paschalis, A. (2019). A mechanistic model of microbially mediated soil biogeochemical processes - a reality check. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33(6), https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB006077.

Wu, D., Ciais, P., Viovy, N., Knapp, A. K., Wilcox, K., Bahn, M., … Piao, S. (2018). Asymmetric responses of primary productivity to altered precipitation simulated by ecosystem models across three long-term grassland sites. Biogeosciences, 15(11), 3421–3437. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3421-2018

Paschalis, A., Fatichi, S., Pappas, C., & Or, D. (2018). Covariation of vegetation and climate constrains present and future T/ET variability. Environmental Research Letters, 13(10), 104012. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae267

Peleg, N., Marra, F., Fatichi, S., Paschalis, A., Molnar, P., & Burlando, P. (2018). Spatial variability of extreme rainfall at radar subpixel scale. Journal of Hydrology, 556, 922–933. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.05.033

Peleg, N., Fatichi, S., Paschalis, A., Molnar, P., & Burlando, P. (2017). An advanced stochastic weather generator for simulating 2-D high-resolution climate variables. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 9(3), 1595–1627. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000854

Paschalis, A., Katul, G. G., Fatichi, S., Palmroth, S., & Way, D. (2017). On the variability of the ecosystem response to elevated atmospheric CO2 across spatial and temporal scales at the Duke Forest FACE experiment. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 232, 367–383. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.09.003

Paschalis, A., Katul, G. G., Fatichi, S., Manoli, G., & Molnar, P. (2016). Matching ecohydrological processes and scales of banded vegetation patterns in semiarid catchments. Water Resources Research, 52(3), 2259–2278. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017679

Fatichi, S., Ivanov, V. Y., Paschalis, A., Peleg, N., Molnar, P., Rimkus, S., … Caporali, E. (2016). Uncertainty partition challenges the predictability of vital details of climate change. Earth’s Future, 4(5), 240–251. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015EF000336

Ghannam, K., Nakai, T., Paschalis, A., Oishi, C. A., Kotani, A., Igarashi, Y., … Oishi, A. C. (2016). Persistence and memory timescales in root-zone soil moisture dynamics. Water Resources Research, 52(2), 1427–1445. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017983

Fatichi, S., Leuzinger, S., Paschalis, A., Langley, J. A., Donnellan Barraclough, A., & Hovenden, M. J. (2016). Partitioning direct and indirect effects reveals the response of water-limited ecosystems to elevated CO2. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(45), 12757–12762. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1605036113

Paschalis, A., Katul, G. G., Fatichi, S., Manoli, G., & Molnar, P. (2016). Matching ecohydrological processes and scales of banded vegetation patterns in semiarid catchments. Water Resources Research, 52(3), 2259–2278. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017679

Kianfar, B., Fatichi, S., Paschalis, A., Maurer, M., & Molnar, P. (2016). Climate change and uncertainty in high-resolution rainfall extremes. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, (October), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-536

Fatichi, S., Katul, G. G., Ivanov, V. Y., Pappas, C., Paschalis, A., Consolo, A., … Burlando, P. (2015). Abiotic and biotic controls of soil moisture spatiotemporal variability and the occurrence of hysteresis. Water Resources Research, 51(5), 3505–3524. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR016102

Paschalis, A., Fatichi, S., Katul, G. G., & Ivanov, V. Y. (2015). Cross-scale impact of climate temporal variability on ecosystem water and carbon fluxes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 120(9), 1716–1740. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JG003002

Paschalis, A., Fatichi, S., Molnar, P., Rimkus, S., & Burlando, P. (2014). On the effects of small scale space–time variability of rainfall on basin flood response. Journal of Hydrology, 514, 313–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.04.014

Paschalis, A., Molnar, P., Fatichi, S., & Burlando, P. (2014). On temporal stochastic modeling of precipitation, nesting models across scales. Advances in Water Resources, 63, 152–166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2013.11.006

Paschalis, A., Molnar, P., Fatichi, S., & Burlando, P. (2013). A stochastic model for high-resolution space-time precipitation simulation. Water Resources Research, 49(12), 8400–8417. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014437

Paschalis, A., Molnar, P., & Burlando, P. (2012). Temporal dependence structure in weights in a multiplicative cascade model for precipitation. Water Resources Research, 48(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR010679

Koutsoyiannis, D., Paschalis, A., & Theodoratos, N. (2011). Two-dimensional Hurst–Kolmogorov process and its application to rainfall fields. Journal of Hydrology, 398(1–2), 91–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.12.012