Chapter Summary and Narrative Analysis
This chapter gives insight into the state of the world in the 2030s, and depicts the event called "Crash Day" by the general public. The 2030s, according to this chapter, were characterized by stagnation and dread as the world began to fall apart due to human action. Crash Day is described as a day characterized by a large scale terrorist attack, similar to 9/11, where hundreds of planes were crashed by drones. The chapter also positions this day as the beginning of the "war for the earth". In this war, more planes are crashed, container ships are sunk, beef is poisoned, and power plants are sabotaged, all in the interest of massively reducing emissions and saving the earth through any means necessary. The chapter does not reveal who committed these attacks, but suggests the Children of Kali had some role to play in it.
This chapter represents a turning point in the novel. We had already seen the creation and actions of certain eco-terrorist groups like the Children of Kali before this point in the novel, but this chapter ramps the eco-terrorism up to a central point. The actions of groups like the Children of Kali and the Ministry's Black-Ops Wing were major contributors to the changes that actually happened and the end state of the world in the novel. It is difficult to determine if the novel is arguing in favor of this kind of action, but it is undeniable that the novel presents it as highly effective in achieving its desired goals. This chapter follows through on previous setup of groups like the Children of Kali by showing the reader the most effective actions that could be taken, while also setting up further developments like Badim asking the Children of Kali to lay down their arms, as the war for the earth has already been won.
51
The thirties were zombie years. Civilization had been killed but it kept walking the Earth, staggering toward some fate even worse than
death.
Everyone felt it. The culture of the time was rife with fear and anger, denial and guilt, shame and regret, repression and the return of the repressed. They went through the motions, always in a state of suspended dread, always aware of their wounded status, wondering what massive stroke would fall next, and how they would manage to ignore that one too, when it was already such a huge effort to ignore the ones that had happened so far, a string of them going all the way back to 2020. Certainly the Indian heat wave stayed a big part of it. They could neither face it nor forget it, they couldn't think about it but they couldn't not think about it, not without a huge subconscious effort. The images. The sheer numbers. These recalled the Holocaust, which had left a huge hole in civilization's sense of itself; that was six million people, but an old story, and of Jewish people killed by Germans, it was a German thing. The Palestinians' Nakba, the partition of India; on and on these bad stories went, the numbers always unimaginable; but always before it had been certain groups of people who were responsible, people from an earlier more barbaric time, or so they told themselves. And always these thoughts obtruded in an attempt to stave off the heat wave, which was now said to have killed twenty million. As many people, in other words, as soldiers had died in World War One, a death toll which had taken four years of intensely purposeful killing; and the heat wave had taken only two weeks. It somewhat resembled the Spanish flu of 1918 to 1920, they said; but not. Not a pathogen, not genocide, not a war; simply human action and inaction, their own action and inaction, killing the most vulnerable.
And more would surely follow, because they all were vulnerable in the end.
And yet still they burned carbon. They drove cars, ate meat, flew in jets, did all the things that had caused the heat wave and would cause the next one. Profits still were added up in a way that led to shareholder dividends. And so on.
Everyone alive knew that not enough was being done, and everyone kept doing too little. Repression of course followed, it was all too Freudian, but Freud's model for the mind was the steam engine, meaning containment, pressure, and release. Repression thus built up internal pressure, then the return of the repressed was a release of that pressure. It could be vented or it could simply blow up the engine. How then people in the thirties? A hiss or a bang? The whistle of vented pressure doing useful work, as in some functioning engine? Or boom? No one could say, and so they staggered on day to day, and the pressure kept building.
So it was not really a surprise when a day came that sixty passenger jets crashed in a matter of hours. All over the world, flights of all kinds, although when the analyses were done it became clear that a disproportionate number of these flights had been private or business jets, and the commercial flights that had gone down had been mostly occupied by business travelers. But people, innocent people, flying for all kinds of reasons: all dead. About seven thousand people died that day, ordinary civilians going about their lives.
Later it was shown that clouds of small drones had been directed into the flight paths of the planes involved, fouling their engines. The drones had mostly been destroyed, and their manufacturers and fliers have never been conclusively tracked. Quite a few terrorist groups took credit for the action in the immediate aftermath, and demanded various things, but it has never been clear that any of them really had anything to do with it. That multiple groups would claim responsibility for such a crime just added to the horror felt at the time. What kind of world were they in?
One message was fairly obvious: stop flying. And indeed many people stopped. Before that day, there had been half a million people in the air at any given moment. Afterward that number plummeted. Especially after a second round of crashes occurred a month later, this time bringing down twenty planes. After that commercial flights often flew empty, then were cancelled. Private jets had stopped flying. Military planes and helicopters had also been attacked, so they too curtailed their activities, and flew only if needed, as if in a war. As indeed they were.
It was noticed that none of the experimental battery-powered planes had been brought down, and no biofuel-powered planes, also no blimps, dirigibles, or hot-air balloons; no airships of any kind. But in that period there were so few of these, it was hard to tell at the time if they had been given a pass or not. It looked like they had, it seemed to make sense, and the surge in airship manufacture, which had already gotten a small start, has never ceased to this day.
The War for the Earth is often said to have begun on Crash Day. And it was later that same year when container ships began to sink, almost always close to land. Torpedoes from nowhere: a different kind of drone. It was noticed early on in this campaign that ships often went down where they could form the foundations for new coral reefs. In any case, they were going down. They ran on diesel fuel, of course. Loss of life in these sinkings was minimal, but world trade was severely impacted. Stock markets fell even lower than they had after Crash Day. A worldwide recession, a feeling of loss of control, price spikes in consumer goods, the clear prospect of the full-blown depression that indeed followed a few years later ... it was a time of dread.
Two months after Crash Day a group called Kali, or the Children of Kali, issued a manifesto over the internet. No more fossil-fuel-burning transport. That was about twenty to twenty-five percent of civilization's total carbon burn at this point, and all of it vulnerable to disruption, as the manifesto put it.
Next up, the Children of Kali (or someone using that name) told the world: cows. Later that same year the group announced that mad cow disease, bovine spongiform encephalopathy, had been cultured and introduced by drone dart into millions of cattle all over the world. Everywhere but in India, but especially in the United States and Brazil and England and Canada. Nothing could stop these cattle from sickening and dying in a few years, and if eaten their disease could migrate into human brains, where it manifested as Variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease and was invariably fatal. So to stay safe, people needed to stop eating beef now.
And indeed in the forties and ever after, less beef got eaten. Less milk was drunk. And fewer jet flights were made. Of course many people were quick to point out that these Children of Kali were hypocrites and monsters, that Indians didn't eat cows and so didn't feel that loss, that coal-fired power plants in India had burned a significant portion of the last decade's carbon burn, and so on. Then again those same Indian power plants were being attacked on a regular basis, so it wasn't clear who was doing what to whom. Scores of power plants were being destroyed all over the world, often by drone attacks. Power outages in those years were most common in India, but they happened everywhere else too. The War for the Earth was real, but the aggressors were nowhere to be found. It was often asserted they were not in India at all, and were not even an Indian organization, but rather an international movement. Kali was nowhere; Kali was everywhere.
"The thirties were zombie years."
It is interesting that Robinson would choose to make the 30s the time of this great global recession. It mirrors the great depression, which began in the late 1920s and continued through the 1930s. As an additional aside, it is interesting that the narrator refers to the decades of the 2000s as the twenties, thirties, etc, as most people have not yet adopted this convention.
"The Palestinians' Nakba"
The Nakba, which means "The Catastrophe" in arabic, refers to the violent displacement and ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in 1948 by early Zionist militias. Its estimated that 75% of the Palestinian population, about 750,000 people, were forced to flee the territory that would later become the state of Israel. Thousands of Palestinians were killed by these militias.
"the partition of India"'
The partition of India refers to the process of the dividing of India and Pakistan by the British in their attempt to cede official governance to local elites. The borders established caused massive upheavals and violence. Millions rushed to cross to the other side of the border, and were rendered susceptible to attack in refugee columns. 12-20 Million people became refugees due to the partition, and upwards of 2 million people were killed.
"One message was fairly obvious: stop flying"
Attached below is a graph of US flights after 9/11, the 2008 recession, and the 2020 pandemic. 2 of the major factors represented in this graph that impact flights are public fear and economic downturns, both of which are shown to be relevant factors in the novel's world by this chapter, meaning a decrease in flights would be likely in this scenario.
https://globalnews.ca/news/8169977/911-air-travel-changed/