Research

Working Papers

Political shocks and inflation expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine (with L. Dräger and K. Gründler), Revise and Resubmit, Journal of International Economics

Fiscal institutions and economic growth (with K. Gründler), Reject and Resubmit, Journal of Economic Growth 

Outside employment and activity in parliament (with K. Gründler and T. Wochner)

The economic consequences of fiscal rules

Green governments (with K. Wüthrich)

Protectionism and economic growth: Causal evidence from the first era of globalization (with F. Ruthardt and K. Wüthrich)

Populists in power (with L. Dörr and F. Rösel

Online versus offline: Which networks spur protests?  (with F. Rösel

Population aging, retirement, and aggregate productivity (with K. Gründler)

Gambling for re-election (with A. Langtry, M. Schlepper and T. Wochner)

Policy advice of experts, preferences, and the macroeconomy: Evidence from a global survey experiment  (with K. Gründler)

Moving out of the comfort zone: How cultural norms affect attitudes toward immigration (with Y. Giesing, B. Kauder, L. Mergele and P. Poutvaara)

Publications

Read my lips? Taxes and elections (with C. Fuest, K. Gründler and F. Ruthardt), Journal of Public Economics, forthcoming.

Political leaders and macroeconomic expectations: Evidence from a global survey experiment (with D. Boumans, K. Gründler and F. Ruthardt), Journal of Public Economics, forthcoming.

The beauty premium of politicians in office (with K. Gründler and T. Wochner). Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 217, 298-311. (2024).

Crisis experience and the deep roots of COVID-19 vaccination preferences (with E. Borisova, K. Gründler, A. Hackenberger, A. Harter and K. Schoors). European Economic Review, 160, 104607. (2023).

Determinants of social expenditure in OECD countries (with F. Hälg and J.-E. Sturm). Public Choice, 193, 233–261. (2022). 

Rewarding conservative politicians? Evidence from voting on same-sex marriage (with B. Kauder). Public Choice, 191, 161–172. (2022).

Trade openness and income inequality: New empirical evidence (with F. Dorn and C. Fuest). Economic Inquiry, 60(1), 202-223. (2022).

The Democrat-Republican presidential growth gap and the partisan balance of the state governments (with D. Cahan). Public Choice, 189, 577–601. (2021).

Collective memories on the 2010 European debt crisis (with L. Arnemann and K. A. Konrad). European Union Politics, 22(4), 762-784. (2021).

Do left-wing governments decrease wage inequality among civil servants? Empirical evidence from the German states (with B. Kauder and M. Krause). Public Finance Review, 49(1), 106-135. (2021).

Fiscal performance of minority governments: new empirical evidence for OECD countries. Party Politics, 27(3), 501-514. (2021).

Partisan bias in inflation expectations (with O. Bachmann, K. Gründler and R. Seiberlich). Public Choice, 186, 513-536. (2021).

Election systems, the “beauty premium” in politics, and the beauty of dissent (with M. Rösch and H. W. Ursprung). European Journal of Political Economy, 64, 101900. (2020).

Does a change of government influence compliance with international agreements? Empirical evidence for the NATO two percent target (with J. Blum). Defence and Peace Economics, 31(5), 485-501. (2020).

International political alignment under Donald Trump: Voting behavior of Western countries in line with the United States in the United Nations General Assembly (with M. Mosler). International Interactions, 46(3), 481-497. (2020).

 How new airport infrastructure promotes tourism: Evidence from a synthetic control approach in German regions (with L. Dörr , F. Dorn and S. Gäbler). Regional Studies, 54, 1402-1412. (2020).

Dragnet-controls and government ideology. Defence and Peace Economics, 31(5), 485-501. (2020).

General or central government? Empirical evidence on political cycles in budget composition using new data for OECD countries. European Journal of Political Economy, 63, 101860. (2020).

The real estate transfer tax and government ideology: Evidence from German states (with M. Krause). FinanzArchiv/Public Finance Analysis, 76(1), 100-120. (2020).

Publicly provided goods, spatial inequalities, and government ideology – Causal evidence from German hospital infrastructure (with F. Rösel). Regional Studies, 54(3), 340-351. (2020).

Compulsory voting and political participation: Empirical evidence from Austria (with S. Gäbler and F. Rösel). Regional Science and Urban Economics, 81, 103499. (2020). 

Opening hours of polling stations and voter turnout: Evidence from a natural experiment (with F. Rösel). Review of International Organizations, 15(1), 133-163. (2020). 

Do inheritance rules affect voter turnout? Evidence from an Alpine region (with A. Bonoldi, C. Dalle Nogare and M. Mosler). Constitutional Political Economy, 31(4), 395-445. (2020). 

Does development aid increase military expenditure? (with S. Langlotz). Journal of Comparative Economics, 47(3), 735-757. (2019). 

Corruption and economic growth: New empirical evidence (with K. Gründler). European Journal of Political Economy, 60, 101810. (2019). 

Does public sector outsourcing decrease public employment? Empirical evidence from OECD countries. CESifo Economic Studies, 65(4), 464-484. (2019). 

How to handle the fiscal crisis in Greece?  Empirical evidence based on a survey of economic experts (with M. Mosler and M. Reischmann). Fiscal Studies, 40(3), 375-399. (2019). 

Conservative politicians and voting on same-sex marriage. (with B. Kauder). German Economic Review, 20(4), e600-e617. (2019).

Government ideology and monetary policy in OECD countries (with D. Cahan and L. Dörr). Public Choice, 181(3-4), 215-238. (2019).

The KOF Globalisation Index – revisited (with S. Gygli, F. Hälg and J.-E. Sturm). Review of International Organizations, 14(3), 543-574. (2019).

Inter vivos transfers of ownership in family firms (with J. R. Hines, M. Riem and C. Schinke). International Tax and Public Finance, 26(2), 225-256. (2019).

Risk aversion, patience and intelligence: Evidence based on macro data. Economics Letters, 178, 116-120. (2019).

The globalization-welfare state nexus: Evidence from Asia. World Economy, 42(3), 959-974. (2019).

Electoral cycles in perceived corruption: International empirical evidence. Journal of Comparative Economics, 47(1), 215-224. (2019).

 A banana republic? The effects of inconsistencies in the counting of votes on voting behavior (with F. Rösel). Public Choice, 178, 231-265. (2019).

Behavioral determinants of proclaimed support for environment protection policies (with B. Kauder and H. W. Ursprung). European Journal of Political Economy, 54, 26-41. (2018).

Electoral cycles in MPs’ salaries: Evidence from German states (with B. Kauder and M. Krause). International Tax and Public Finance, 25(4), 981-1000. (2018).

Government ideology and economic policy-making in the United States – A survey. Public Choice, 174(1-2), 145-207. (2018).

Economic freedom and religion: An empirical investigation (with A. Hillman). Public Finance Review, 46(2), 249-275. (2018).

Minority votes in the Joint Economic Forecast of German economic research institutes: a political economic analysis (with Q. H. Ngo, M. Riem and C. Schinke). Eastern Economic Journal, 44(1), 135-152. (2018). 

Partisan Politics: The empirical evidence from OECD panel studies. Journal of Comparative Economics, 45, 712-750. (2017). 

Do parties punish MPs for voting against the party line? (with B. Kauder and M. Riem). CESifo Economic Studies, 63, 317-332. (2017).

Manipulating fiscal forecasts: Evidence from the German states  (with B. Kauder and C. Schinke). FinanzArchiv/Public Finance Analysis, 73, 213-236. (2017).

Support for free-market policies and reforms: Does the field of study influence students’ political attitudes? (with M. Fischer, B. Kauder and H. W. Ursprung). European Journal of Political Economy, 48, 180-197. (2017).

Gender equality in Muslim-majority countries (with M. Gouda). Economic Systems, 40, 683-698. (2016).

Do politicians award discretionary grants to core supporters? Evidence from a discretionary grant program (with B. Kauder and M. Reischmann). European Journal of Political Economy, 45, 39-56. (2016).

Policies against human trafficking: The role of religion and political institutions. Economics of Governance 17(4), 353-386. (2016).

The growth in military expenditure in Germany 1950-2011: Did parties matter? (with B. Kauder). Defence and Peace Economics, 27(4), 503-519. (2016).

Debt brakes in the German states: Governments’ rhetoric and actions (with M. Riem and C. Schinke). German Economic Review, 17(2), 253-275. (2016).

Did globalization induce credit market deregulation? (with P. Eppinger). World Economy, 39(3), 426-443. (2016).

Suicide terrorism and religious cleavage (with A. Filote and H. W. Ursprung). Public Choice 166(1-2), 3-28. (2016).

Supermajorities and political rent extraction (with B. Kauder). Kyklos, 68(1), 65-81. (2016).

Democracy with group identity (with A. L. Hillman and K. Metsuyanim). European Journal of Political Economy, 40(B), 274-287. (2015).

The preoccupation of the United Nations with Israel: Evidence and theory (with R. N. Becker, A. L. Hillman and A. H. Schwemmer). Review of International Organizations, 10(4), 413-437. (2015).

Fiscal transfers and fiscal sustainability (with M. Reischmann). Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 47(5), 975-1005. (2015). 

The UN Goldstone Report and retraction: An empirical investigation (with A. L. Hillman).  Public Choice 163(3-4), 247-266. (2015).

Globalization and social justice in OECD countries (with B. Kauder). Review of World Economics/Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 151(2), 353-376. (2015).

The evidence on globalisation. World Economy, 38(3), 509-552. (2015).

Just hire your spouse! Evidence from a political scandal in Bavaria (with B. Kauder). European Journal of Political Economy, 38, 42-54. (2015).

Explosive target balances of the German Bundesbank (with M. Reischmann). Economic Modelling, 42, 439-444. (2014).

Outside earnings, absence, and activity: Evidence from German parliamentarians (with F. Arnold and B. Kauder). European Journal of Political Economy, 36, 147-157. (2014).

Human capital and national institutional quality: Are TIMSS, PISA, and national average IQ robust predictors? (with G. Jones). Intelligence, 46, 148-155. (2014).

Was bringt uns die Große Koalition? Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik (with B. Kauder and B. Larin). Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, 15(1), 88-101. (2014).

Donor ideology and types of foreign aid (with V. Brech). Journal of Comparative Economics, 42(1), 61-75. (2014).

Government ideology and tuition fee policy: Evidence from the German states (with B. Kauder). CESifo Economic Studies, 59(4), 628-649. (2013).

Evidence on the political principal-agent problem from voting on public finance for concert halls. Constitutional Political Economy, 24(3), 215-238. (2013).

The size and scope of government in the US states: Does party ideology matter? (with C. Bjørnskov). International Tax and Public Finance, 20(4), 687-714. (2013).

Globalization and labor market institutions: international empirical evidence. Journal of Comparative Economics, 41(3), 829-842. (2013).

Minority positions in the German Council of Economic Experts: A political economic analysis. European Journal of Political Economy, 31, 180-187. (2013).

Electoral cycles in active labour market policies (with M. Mechtel). Public Choice, 156(1-2), 181-194. (2013).

Economic freedom and government ideology across the German states. Regional Studies, 47(3), 433-449. (2013).

Democracy and countries with Muslim majorities: A reply and update. Public Choice, 154(3), 323-332. (2013).

Is German domestic social policy politically controversial? Public Choice, 153(3), 393-418. (2012).

Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? A panel data analysis for OECD countries (with A. Belke). Journal of International Money and Finance, 31(5), 1126-1139. (2012).

Globalization and gender equality in the course of development (with H. W. Ursprung). European Journal of Political Economy, 28(4), 399-413. (2012).

The globalization-welfare state nexus reconsidered (with S. Meinhard). Review of International Economics, 20(2), 271-287. (2012). 

Unemployment, human capital depreciation and pension benefits: an empirical evaluation of German data. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 11(2), 243-241. (2012).

Political ideology and economic freedom across Canadian provinces (with C. Bjørnskov). Eastern Economic Journal, 38(2), 143-166. (2012).  

Islam and democracy. Public Choice, 151(1-2), 185-192. (2012).

Intelligence and corruption. Economics Letters, 114(1), 109-112. (2012).

Political cycles and economic performance in OECD countries: empirical evidence from 1951-2006. Public Choice, 150(1-2), 155-179. (2012).

Does government ideology influence budget composition? Empirical evidence from OECD countries. Economics of Governance, 12(2), 101-134. (2011).  

Gender inequality in education: political institutions or culture and religion? (with A. Cooray). European Journal of Political Economy, 27(2), 268-280. (2011).

Politics and privatization in Central and Eastern Europe: A panel data analysis (with C. Bjørnskov). Economics of Transition 19(2), 201-230. (2011).  

Public expenditures on education and cultural affairs in the German states: Does government ideology affect the budget composition? German Economic Review 12(1), 124-145. (2011). 

The growth of public health expenditures in OECD countries: Do government ideology and electoral motives matter? Journal of Health Economics 29(6), 797-810. (2010).

Labor market deregulation and globalization: empirical evidence from OECD countries. Review of World Economics/Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 146 (3), 545-571. (2010).

Does government ideology influence deregulation of product markets? Empirical evidence from OECD countries. Public Choice 143(1-2), 135-155. (2010).

Does government ideology influence political alignment with the US? An empirical analysis of UN General Assembly voting. Review of International Organizations 4(3), 245-268. (2009).

Did globalization restrict partisan politics? An empirical evaluation of social expenditures in a panel of OECD countries. Public Choice 140(1-2), 105-124. (2009).