Publications:
The Gendered Effects of Droughts: Production Shocks and Labor Response in Agriculture (with Farzana Afridi & Kanika Mahajan), Labour Economics, July 2022, 102227
Abstract: Climate change has increased rainfall uncertainty, leading to greater production risks in agriculture. We examine the gender-differentiated labor impacts of droughts using unique individual-level panel data for agricultural households in India over half a decade. Accounting for unobserved heterogeneity across individuals, we find that women’s workdays are 19% lower than men’s when a drought occurs, driven by the former’s lack of diversification to the non-farm sector. Women are less likely to work outside their village and migrate relative to men in response to droughts and are consequently unable to cope fully with the adverse agricultural productivity shock. We find suggestive evidence in support of social costs emanating from gender norms that constrain women’s access to non-farm work opportunities. The results highlight the gendered impact of climate shocks, potentially exacerbating extant gender gaps in the labor market.
Employment Guaranteed? Social Protection during a Pandemic (with Farzana Afridi & Kanika Mahajan), Oxford Open Economics, February 2022
Media Mention - World Bank Blogs: Development Impact | View
Abstract: The Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the potential of social protection programs in mitigating labor market shocks. We examine the role of one of the world's largest employment guarantee schemes, India's MG-NREGA, in cushioning job losses in one of the worst affected economies due to the pandemic. Our findings indicate that regions with greater historical state capacity to provide public workdays under the scheme generated relatively higher employment during the pandemic. Consequently, an increase in state capacity by one MG-NREGA workday per rural inhabitant in a district reduced job losses in rural areas in April-August 2020 by 7% overall and by 74% for rural women, over the baseline employment rate. These cushioning effects strengthened as the mobility restrictions eased and were larger for women who were less mobile and less skilled. Our results suggest that employment guarantee programs can protect livelihoods, but for certain demographic groups relatively more than others depending on the nature and skill level of work offered.
Labor force participation of rural women and the household’s nutrition: Panel data evidence from SAT India (with Shalander Kumar), Food Policy, Volume 102, July 2021, 102117
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Abstract: This paper investigates the role of women’s labor force participation in the household’s dietary diversity and the value of home-production. Using unique household panel data from Semi-Arid tropics of India, empirical estimations from a household fixed effects model reveal a positive significant effect of workdays of women on dietary diversity (overall and home-produced) and home-production. Our findings highlight a significant heterogeneity in the effect by type of work—paid and unpaid. The results for paid work are driven by a greater decision-making power emanating from labor force participation of women. Unpaid work, on the other hand, operates through the self-consumption of home-produced goods. We show that correcting for endogenous labor force participation of women leaves our conclusions unchanged. The results suggest that interventions boosting female labor force participation in paid activities are nutrition enhancing for the household and work towards improving women’s bargaining power within the household. Moreover, we rule out deleterious effects on health indicators of women despite increased time burden.
Working Papers:
Technological and Behavioral Strategies to Mitigate Effects of Air Pollution on Children: Empirical Evidence from an RCT in Delhi's Schools (with J. Cristobal Ruiz-Tagle V. , Marcela Jaime, Cesar Salazar, Kanishka Kacker and Pankaj Kumar), Revise and resubmit, Journal of Development Economics, 2024
Labor market shocks, Social Protection and Women’s Work (with Swati Sharma), Working Paper Series - QBS Working Paper 2024/04, April 2024
Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the vulnerabilities women encounter in labor markets worldwide. We investigate the potential of social protection measures in mitigating declines in women’s labor market participation. Specifically, we look at the Indian context, where lockdowns spurred a reverse migration of male workers from urban to rural areas, exerting pressure on rural labor markets. Despite a 6% rise in reliance on India’s largest demand driven employment guarantee scheme, our analysis reveals a 0.4% decrease in women’s participation during the pandemic, equivalent to a loss of 11,500 person-days of work. However, a gender quota provision helped sustain women’s employment status. In districts where the reservation quotas had not been exhausted pre pandemic, women’s share in public works increased by 2.7%. Our findings underscore the need for mandated provisions and targeted programs for women to counteract labor market withdrawals and bolster overall labor market participation in times of crisis.
Social Networks, Gender Norms and Labor Supply: Experimental Evidence Using a Job Search Platform (with Farzana Afridi, Amrita Dhillon, & Sanchari Roy), STEG Working Paper, WP044, December 2022
Abstract: Using a cluster randomized control trial, we study the role of women’s social networks in improving female labor force participation. In the first treatment arm, a hyper-local digital job search platform service was offered to a randomly selected group of married couples (non-network treatment) in low-income neighborhoods of Delhi, India. In the second treatment arm, the service was offered to married couples and the wife’s social network (network treatment), to disentangle the network effect. Neither couples nor their networks were offered the service in the control group. Approximately one year after the intervention, we find no increase in the wife’s likelihood of working in either treatment group relative to the control group. Instead, there is a significant improvement in their husbands’ labor market outcomes, including the likelihood of working, work hours, and monthly earnings, while in contrast home-based self-employment increased among wives – both in the network treatment group. We argue that our findings can be explained by the gendered structure of social networks in our setting, which reinforces (conservative) social norms about women’s (outside) work.
Policy Writings:
The gendered effects of climate change: Evidence from droughts in rural India (with Farzana Afridi & Kanika Mahajan), VoxDev, 1 December 2023.
Why Women In India Are Less Likely To Find Jobs (with Farzana Afridi), IndiaSpend, 8 November 2023.
Reprinted in The ScrollIncreasing women’s involvement in the workforce can improve dietary diversity (with Shalander Kumar), CGIAR Gender Impact Platform, 02 December 2022.
More women in workforce means better food security (with Shalander Kumar), EfD Impact Stories, 26 August 2022.
Did MNREGA cushion job losses during the pandemic? (with Farzana Afridi & Kanika Mahajan), Ideas for India, 11 February 2021.
Reprinted in The Wire
Book Chapter:
"Reverse migration and women employment in rural Indian households: a reflection on employment policies during Covid" (with Swati Sharma) in Contextualizing the COVID pandemic in India: A Development Perspective. Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore, 2023. 127-141.
Works in Progress:
"Technological Changes, Social Norms, and Fertility Choices" (with Helu Lucia Jiang & Sounak Thakur) [draft coming soon]
Abstract: This paper examines how the introduction of agricultural technology, known as the Green Revolution, impacted the sex ratio in rural India - a setting characterized by patrilocal marriage and son preference. The Green Revolution resulted in higher wages for farmers, which in turn increased the value of having a son instead of a daughter as married daughters do not make substantial material contributions to their natal families. Our analysis shows that this led to an exacerbation of male-biased fertility-stopping behaviors. To better understand the mechanisms, we construct a life-cycle model that endogenizes sequential fertility choices in a patrilocal setting. Our quantitative results indicate that the Green Revolution can account for about 55% of the increase in male bias in the population sex ratio. We also conducted counterfactual exercises and found that a formal social security system may play an important role in reducing the male bias in the population sex ratio. This research highlights the need to consider societal structures when assessing the impact of technological progress on economic growth.
"Assessing the Persistence of Extreme Weather Events on Labour and their Impact on Climate Resilience" [draft coming soon]
Abstract: This study aims to investigate the effects of extreme weather events on labor dynamics. In light of climate change's contribution to the increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather phenomena, comprehending their long-term implications for labor is essential for effective adaptation and resilience-building strategies. Using unique individual panel data from agricultural households in India over a period of five years, this research examines the persistence of labor impacts resulting from extreme weather events. Additionally, it explores whether the long-term effects differ between genders, analyzing how men and women respond to such shocks in subsequent years. Furthermore, the study assesses whether extreme weather events limit access to coping mechanisms and result in reduced investments in climate resilience, highlighting the need for policy interventions to break this cycle. This research emphasizes the importance of developing targeted policies to mitigate the adverse effects of extreme weather events on labor and foster sustainable resilience.
"Labor Productivity in a warming world: Evidence from Panel of farm Households" (with Farzana Afridi & Kanika Mahajan)
Abstract: Climate change has resulted in a rise in average temperatures adversely affecting the agriculture sector. While there is considerable interest in understanding the impact of climatic changes on labor productivity the literature continues to be sparse due to data constraints. Using a novel panel of agricultural households, we use a farm fixed-effects model to examine the causal impacts of exogenous temperature shocks on labor usage and productivity on the farm. First, we examine the adjustments made to labor input usage by farming households in response to temperature changes. Then, we look at the impact on the productivity of labor employed on the farm. We find evidence of a gender-differentiated impact of climate change as these adjustments affect male and female labor differently. Finally, we investigate the role of technology adoption as a mitigation strategy to minimize the costs of climate change.